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Where is the IRAN war headed at this point?

It seems like escalation is impossible, as any attempt to es...
Thriller ocher heaven background story
  05/09/26
you mean the special military operation?
flirting orchestra pit stock car
  05/09/26
Sex with men for money
Duck-like sexy pisswyrm
  05/09/26
Blockade right up until the last minute for midterms (August...
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
I'll chime in here that the US is also making out like a ban...
mildly autistic immigrant
  05/09/26
Supposedly France and the UK are sending ships now (now that...
Translucent appetizing dysfunction cuckoldry
  05/09/26
Energy is important because AI is energy = computation. But ...
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
Why are fuel prices so high in America?
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
He never said anything to make this question relevant.
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
Because refinery owners in CHYNA and to a lesser extent the ...
mildly autistic immigrant
  05/09/26
So it doesn't matter whether the oil comes from America. Ira...
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
Iran can't export, and they can't meaningfully hurt America....
mildly autistic immigrant
  05/09/26
Now you're trying to change the subject🤣
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
ur a kike. hth
Sinister location
  05/09/26
I'm a well documented Irish-Italian papist who should probab...
mildly autistic immigrant
  05/09/26
XO posters are desperate to believe Iran is winning for some...
Translucent appetizing dysfunction cuckoldry
  05/09/26
Sadly it's the entire brown underclass who believes this. Ha...
mildly autistic immigrant
  05/09/26
...
odious genital piercing mental disorder
  05/10/26
or some people believe in facts and the real world
Sinister location
  05/09/26
There is no winning for Iran because they aren't the game. T...
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
I know posters think Iran is some sort of based paradise tha...
Translucent appetizing dysfunction cuckoldry
  05/09/26
The despite having very similar resources and population in ...
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
Iran just escalated by seizing undersea Internet cables. lol...
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
Didn't he poast supporting what you just said?
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
Nope
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
Rc score?
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
100% correct
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
Lol
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
How was Fordham?
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
COLUMBIA LAW
painfully honest trust fund
  05/10/26
Didn't you used to claim you went there?
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/10/26
OP here--yes this was the point of my OP.
Thriller ocher heaven background story
  05/09/26
Thanks for confirming that I'm right about Iran seizing unde...
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
Iran destroying desalinization plants is in the same thread ...
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
Gotcha
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
You're welcome
painfully honest trust fund
  05/09/26
greater israel
Iridescent wagecucks senate
  05/09/26
...
Bateful trailer park
  05/09/26
Iran gaining financial control of the Strait, worth tens of ...
Sinister location
  05/09/26
🚨🇮🇷 Iran is moving to take control of 7 undersea in...
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
Please God let them cut India off from the developed world's...
mildly autistic immigrant
  05/09/26
Take your meds
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26
you are talking to a jew... hope you know that
Sinister location
  05/09/26
You fuck men for sport, idk why you think I'm a heeb but you...
mildly autistic immigrant
  05/09/26
the leadership of both sides alternately taking massive long...
Burgundy spot
  05/09/26
...
painfully honest trust fund
  05/10/26
Peace through insider trading. #TrumpEffect
chestnut reading party athletic conference
  05/10/26
Israel really wants to see the nuclear program gone and Trum...
aphrodisiac locus
  05/09/26
...
chestnut reading party athletic conference
  05/10/26
Update from Polymarket. I guess they think this is significa...
Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo
  05/09/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 6:53 PM
Author: Thriller ocher heaven background story

It seems like escalation is impossible, as any attempt to escalate will just cause Iran to destroy more of the middle east -- including desalination plants. Iran isn't going to give up nuclear materials. So at this point, what exactly is Trump et al. going to do?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877270)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:05 PM
Author: flirting orchestra pit stock car

you mean the special military operation?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877292)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:13 PM
Author: Duck-like sexy pisswyrm

Sex with men for money

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877302)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:21 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

Blockade right up until the last minute for midterms (August?), followed by drummed up bullshit that results in some massive attack that sets the country on fire. Gas prices drop in the fall. 2 things: the blockade will continue as long as the US consumers can stomach it, and the Trump will have to fuck up Iran because that's what Americans want. The last part is sad and unnecessary but its the only politically viable option.

I hope people understand that Iran has been allowed to act tough because the US doesn't want to disrupt oil infrastructure. The US military could level the country in 6 hours. The IRCG could continue to fight but it would be for nothing at that point. The US has actually let empty tankers through the blockade to prevent Iranian wells from getting total fucked. Each empty tanker is like 3% of Irans storage capacity.

Also while I'm here, Iran is poor as fuck. Their GDP per cap is half of Saudi arabia. The Iranian regime has been the worst thing for the Iranian people. It's a totally artificial hindrance.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877312)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:47 PM
Author: mildly autistic immigrant

I'll chime in here that the US is also making out like a bandit by supplying the world with Oil. The real losers here are EUROPE and CHINA, because they lack the capacity to OPEN UP DAT HORMUSSY and choose to do nothing about it. $5/gal might be the market clearing price in the US, but eurocucks are paying double and lots of Chinese refineries are going to be assfucked because running out of oil and shutting down is an absolute DISASTER for them. Just imagine you have a pipe full transporting super glue, it's fine as long as the glue keeps moving but once its allowed to sit still it will harden and ruin the pipe.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877365)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:49 PM
Author: Translucent appetizing dysfunction cuckoldry

Supposedly France and the UK are sending ships now (now that the US has made it safe to do so)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877372)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:51 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

Energy is important because AI is energy = computation. But the US is now the only supplier of the helium needed to manufacturer high end chips. China is pretty far behind in the AI game.

Lots of countries that entertained belt and road efforts now realize China doesn't have the ingredients needed for the future. GDP as a percentage of US peaked in 2022 and it's not ever getting that close again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877374)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:56 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

Why are fuel prices so high in America?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877389)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:04 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

He never said anything to make this question relevant.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877410)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:21 PM
Author: mildly autistic immigrant

Because refinery owners in CHYNA and to a lesser extent the rest of asia will pay ANYTHING for a barrel of crude right now in order to avoid shutting down. US producers know this situation is temporary so are being cautious about firing up more production. We know there are plenty of plays profitable only above $80/barrel out there sitting idle, but it costs to reopen and then shut them down again and producers don't think it makes sense yet.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877419)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:25 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

So it doesn't matter whether the oil comes from America. Iran still wins

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877423)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:33 PM
Author: mildly autistic immigrant

Iran can't export, and they can't meaningfully hurt America. How are they winning? Europe and China are losing here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877427)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:34 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

Now you're trying to change the subject🤣

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877429)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:37 PM
Author: Sinister location

ur a kike. hth

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877437)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:43 PM
Author: mildly autistic immigrant

I'm a well documented Irish-Italian papist who should probably have been deported just for being an Ellis Islander descendant.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877445)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:41 PM
Author: Translucent appetizing dysfunction cuckoldry

XO posters are desperate to believe Iran is winning for some reason, even now - it's ridiculous

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877441)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:42 PM
Author: mildly autistic immigrant

Sadly it's the entire brown underclass who believes this. Hart-Cellar was an unmitigated disaster and probably the end of the US in retrospect.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877443)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 4:50 AM
Author: odious genital piercing mental disorder



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49878194)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:44 PM
Author: Sinister location

or some people believe in facts and the real world

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877446)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 11:46 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

There is no winning for Iran because they aren't the game. That makes the shits rooting for them two levels of stupid away from what's really being played.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877836)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:37 PM
Author: Translucent appetizing dysfunction cuckoldry

I know posters think Iran is some sort of based paradise that's winning and pwning the US but Iran is a joke at this point. They've been treated with kid gloves and are still totally screwed. They have no real military capability left. They made all these grandiose statements they haven't backed up and have been embarrassed multiple times. They will have to make some sort of deal and they'll be stuck with being a pariah state in a worse position than North Korea

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877334)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 11:49 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

The despite having very similar resources and population in the 70s Iran has massively underperformed compared to their Arab neighbors. It's really tragic. So much wealth and treasure wasted on pointless endeavors while the people live in poverty.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877841)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:38 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

Iran just escalated by seizing undersea Internet cables. lol@ OP (it's a pumo of course)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877336)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:41 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

Didn't he poast supporting what you just said?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877341)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:42 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

Nope

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877343)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:43 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

Rc score?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877348)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:44 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

100% correct

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877350)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:46 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

Lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877362)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:48 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

How was Fordham?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877366)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 1:03 AM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

COLUMBIA LAW

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877978)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 1:06 AM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

Didn't you used to claim you went there?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877989)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:48 PM
Author: Thriller ocher heaven background story

OP here--yes this was the point of my OP.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877368)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:50 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

Thanks for confirming that I'm right about Iran seizing undersea cables

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877373)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:52 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

Iran destroying desalinization plants is in the same thread as them destroying Internet cables. Jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877377)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:52 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

Gotcha

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877378)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:53 PM
Author: painfully honest trust fund

You're welcome

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877385)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:45 PM
Author: Iridescent wagecucks senate

greater israel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877361)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 7:52 PM
Author: Bateful trailer park



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877379)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:17 PM
Author: Sinister location

Iran gaining financial control of the Strait, worth tens of billions annually.

UAE/Saudi split growing even more.

US traded $100b in war costs plus losing Saudi, Qatar, Kawait as allies plus giving Iran tens of billions of dollars annually in free money in exchange for destroying Iran's current military.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877417)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:38 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

🚨🇮🇷 Iran is moving to take control of 7 undersea internet cables in the Strait of Hormuz...

The details are remarkable.

Under the new policy being considered, foreign operators would be required to obtain permits to use these cables, pay fees, follow Iranian law, and all management and maintenance would be handled by Iranian companies.

The IRGC has previously warned it could physically target these same cables.

This is the same Hormuz playbook applied to digital infrastructure.

Iran already passed parliamentary legislation establishing toll collection on shipping.

Now Tehran is preparing to apply identical leverage to the data cables that carry traffic between Europe, Asia, and the Gulf.

The strait isn't just a chokepoint for oil anymore.

Iran is positioning it as a chokepoint for global communications.

The strategic implications are MASSIVE.

These cables carry an enormous share of data traffic between Asian economies and European markets.

Banking transactions. Stock trading. Cloud services. Government communications.

The same infrastructure that powers global commerce runs through waters Iran is now claiming jurisdiction over.

For Tehran, this is the next iteration of the leverage strategy that has worked all war.

Block oil shipping until you get sanctions relief.

Now propose to control data flows until you get more concessions.

Each new chokepoint Iran formalizes creates additional pressure that the U.S. has to address in any final deal.

The IRGC's warning that it could target the cables physically is the velvet glove on the iron fist.

Pay the fees, follow Iranian law, accept Iranian management, or risk the entire global communications architecture between Europe and Asia going dark.

That's the kind of asymmetric threat that doesn't require nuclear weapons or even particularly sophisticated military capability.

https://x.com/i/status/2053254237836972235



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877439)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:45 PM
Author: mildly autistic immigrant

Please God let them cut India off from the developed world's Internet forever I'm begging you!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877448)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:48 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

Take your meds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877451)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:50 PM
Author: Sinister location

you are talking to a jew... hope you know that

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877454)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 8:52 PM
Author: mildly autistic immigrant

You fuck men for sport, idk why you think I'm a heeb but you need to get right with Jesus before you lose the opportunity.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877456)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 9:10 PM
Author: Burgundy spot

the leadership of both sides alternately taking massive long & short positions into the weekend before announcing peace negotiations or new attacks on monday, every week, forever

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877466)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 8:37 AM
Author: painfully honest trust fund



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49878246)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 11:51 AM
Author: chestnut reading party athletic conference

Peace through insider trading. #TrumpEffect

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49878468)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 11:18 PM
Author: aphrodisiac locus

Israel really wants to see the nuclear program gone and Trump can't refuse them because blackmail held by Israel is the reason why we are in this war in the first place. I think there might be another special operations raid on the nuclear enrichment site. This time likely larger than the last. 500 rather 100 troops.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877784)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 10th, 2026 8:13 AM
Author: chestnut reading party athletic conference



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49878228)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2026 11:42 PM
Author: Nighttime Meetinghouse Water Buffalo

Update from Polymarket. I guess they think this is significant

https://x.com/i/status/2053297239250878565

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5865402&forum_id=2),#49877816)