Taking bets on whether the Iranian government will collapse in the next year
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: January 8th, 2026 5:10 PM Author: opaque menage filthpig
In order to the my bet you must say "I'll that that bet." You may not add/modify/delete any words.
I bet it won't.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2)#49573349) |
Date: January 8th, 2026 6:58 PM Author: opaque menage filthpig
No change to US military posture in the Middle East in response to Tehran protests
https://x.com/i/status/2009400809562284230
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2)#49573697) |
Date: January 9th, 2026 7:18 PM Author: opaque menage filthpig
Saving this before monikers get scrambled. He goes by "As far as they will go but even farther (🧐)" right now
https://i.imgur.com/GoBDzzb.jpeg
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2)#49577252) |
Date: January 9th, 2026 8:36 PM Author: opaque menage filthpig
Witness report from Tehran:
"Tehran, January 9, 2026—they killed many tonight, many...
I spoke with a few of my friends. In our alley in Sohrawardi, Tehran, right in front of my mother’s eyes, they shot a boy from behind and he was killed. My mother is in very bad shape, and I have completely lost my mind over it.
My friends also said that in Dowlat, Pasdaran, Sohrawardi, Shariati, and Andarzgoo, they [security forces] were firing many direct shots."
https://x.com/i/status/2009780516783042595
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2)#49577441) |
Date: January 10th, 2026 2:12 PM Author: opaque menage filthpig
🇮🇷 If you’re wondering why I think the regime won’t survive these protests, my answer is is simple: Starlink
The regime has shut off access to the internet during previous massive protests in 2019 and 2022.
This makes it harder for protesters to coordinate, and makes it easier for the regime to conceal their violent crackdown.
Starlink changes the calculus. Protesters now have an alternative, and that could become the deciding factor on whether they succeed in toppling the regime.
https://x.com/i/status/2010027211177500718
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5819288&forum_id=2)#49578909) |
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