The ghost of defeat begins to haunt

Anyone who has been following me for several days will have seen that I’ve been tracking and repeating this same perception, which has now been published today by several major American newspapers.

And I’ll go even further: The US-Israel alliance is suffering a defeat the likes of which hasn’t been seen in a very long time.

The number of hospitalized people in Israel has risen to nearly 2,500, which reflects the scale of the Iranian response. Unfortunately, the vast majority are civilians, just as they are in Iran.

Air-defense batteries are being rushed in from Asia because Iran has destroyed or severely damaged several radars that are critical to these systems. Interceptors are also being urgently flown in from Asian countries.

150 American soldiers have been wounded and 7 have been killed so far.

Around 30 expensive Israel-US drones have been lost.

Billion-dollar damage has been inflicted on bases across the region, as well as on satellite communication systems in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Israel.

Iran has been launching missiles across 7 fronts for 11 straight days, day and night, with no sign of stopping.

And what are the US and Israel doing in response? The exact same thing: dropping bombs on Iran. Do you know what this has changed in the conflict? Absolutely nothing.

Iran remains resilient in the face of these airstrikes, which so far have destroyed only a small portion of its arsenal.

But if Iran isn’t winning on the damage game, where exactly is it winning?

In an asymmetric war, you don’t need to dispute the damage on the front line , you just need to be resilient and exhaust your opponent, because he will eventually be consumed by “the pressure and critics”.

Iran has thousands of modern drone and of many types and models to secure the strait, along with a large stockpile of anti-ship missiles.

I see no realistic chance of Iran losing the Strait of Hormuz now or at any other point in this war. For that to happen, there would need to be a massive ground invasion, and it would have to actually succeed.

Meanwhile, Iran is not only striking on 7 fronts but is also enforcing the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

What cards do the US and Israel still have left when it comes to forcing Iran’s surrender?

Only the nuclear option. But I don’t believe there’s even the political atmosphere to seriously consider that.

If the strait is actually mined, Iran will have taken one more decisive step toward checkmate against the Israel-US coalition.

Can Iran’s arsenal sustain a prolonged conflict?

My estimate is that they have already fired 2,000–2,500 missiles and still have at least 10 times that number left in the 300-2,000 km range. ( considering the years of production and the industrial size)

I do not see Iran being defeated due to a lack of missiles, at least at this moment.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734631)

https://x.com/pati_marins64/status/2031651770544398835

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734641)

https://x.com/Microinteracti1/status/2031684036846895311

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734667)

Can you please, please explain to me how these boats are supposed to lay mines or fire missiles from inside a tunnel where they're parked one by one? Oh wait, they can't because that video is very clearly AI too.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734673)

1. virtually guaranteeing nuclear proliferation among those countries that are least desirable as custodians

2. cementing Iran's stranglehold on the region

3. corroding of the illusion of American power

4. weakening the value placed on America by every single ally everywhere in the world--including Israel

5. at least modestly increasing our speed towards the fiscal cliff

6. hastening the end of the petrodollar

7. revealing that the US military is so far behind the times that its military approach is like the French Maginot line in the face of blitzkrieg, with no realistic way to change it due to the stranglehold defense contractors have on our military (and the importance of the jobs they field for our antiquated idea of war)

Item 7 above is particularly damning and is like a multi-trillion dollar gift to our enemies

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734670)

The number of people who will resist in whatever way they can should not be underestimated

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734696)

https://x.com/sumonkais/status/2031599599270731991

You Jews still want this smoke?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734672)

Again, shut up idiot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734688)

This is where we need a president who is able to tell Israel that he will join Iran in wiping them off the fucking map if they deploy nuclear capabilities. But we have a fucking dishrag in office

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734683)

And I don't think they'd accept Kushner and Witkoff as emissaries anymore.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734714)

Israel is always indulged with relief when it asks for it. I really think it may believe nuclear strikes are the answer if/when it can't stop the conventional onslaught

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734759)

Yeah and that would be 180 but I don't think they can stomach dropping nukes -- that's the end of Jews as we know them. They will just have to accept the L and look like the bitches that they are.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734799)

It would actually be fitting if our "greatest ally" actually outdid North Korea at the "holding everybody hostage at the point of an ICBM" game

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5844371&forum_id=2)#49734781)