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Hey Republicucks, how hard will you COPE when you see this in November?
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:31 PM Author: frisky navy deer antler mental disorder LOL I actually can't wait for your wailing and gnashing of teeth.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/RyXD4 |
Date: July 9th, 2024 3:41 PM Author: fishy private investor reasonable prediction
former battlegrounds like OH and FL are now pretty red
really comes down to PA, MI, WI, MN and lol at rustbelt cucks deciding are future |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:50 PM Author: frisky navy deer antler mental disorder This map is just Nate Silver's state by state poll averages. For any state with a sub-3% margin, I threw it to the Dems for max chaos.
Technically Trump is leading in PA, MI, and WI, but the above map is absolutely within margin of error and would result in bort meltdowns. |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:54 PM Author: concupiscible mood persian On Election Day in 2020 the 538 average had Biden ahead by over 8.5% and he won by 20k votes. Biden is down 10 points in PA, Mich and Wisc today. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824787) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:55 PM Author: frisky navy deer antler mental disorder This time I believe Biden is being underestimated in polling. Below thread explains: https://x.com/madrid_mike/status/1810387774329204925 |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:14 PM Author: comical box office Why not? It's all fraud and lies anyways. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824874) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:15 PM Author: frisky navy deer antler mental disorder Start coping now Trumpkin. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824876) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:29 PM Author: comical box office Thank you, will do (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824964) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:22 PM Author: amethyst motley patrolman fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824920) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: frisky navy deer antler mental disorder "Biden's going to lose" consensus is firing up the base in a way that won't be picked up on polls. Not to mention rust belt states are in margin of error. You'll find out in November. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824937) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:39 PM Author: amethyst motley patrolman fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47825008) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:29 PM Author: comical box office He seemed to take the midterms - which Biden's numbers were down but dems did fine - and just say (without evidence) that the same will happen in November. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824960) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:37 PM Author: amethyst motley patrolman fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47825001) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:50 PM Author: Puce Community Account Dog Poop You're forgetting Sunbelt states like GA, AZ, and NV, which Dems won in 2020 and at least for the latter two did well in 2022 (Ds also won GA senate race in 2022 while losing statewide offices).
Polling is pretty good for Trump in those states though, outside of margin of error leads in AZ/NV. But recent polling is all Trump +5 in PA -- Nate Silver currently has Trump up 2 points exactly in PA.
If he wins PA, it's over. |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:58 PM Author: charcoal shivering reading party UNNNNGGHHHH, this made me DIAMOND hard. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824796) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 3:59 PM Author: charcoal shivering reading party TO Be Fair,
Trump is not winning Georgia.
GOP lost 2 CONSECUTIVE Senate races on top of Biden taking the state. |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:01 PM Author: frisky navy deer antler mental disorder That's just not what polling is bearing out unfortunately. Besides, you would deny us this delicious map? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824807) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:05 PM Author: charcoal shivering reading party lol, just like how polls in 2020 had Trump taking the state, too?
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2020/georgia/trump-vs-biden |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:13 PM Author: frisky navy deer antler mental disorder The difference is that Georgia was always within 1-1.5 points - firmly within the margin of error. While Trump has been leading it by 5+ points this time consistently since March.
Generally you stop calling states a toss-up once the margin gets larger than 3%. Now of course, those polls can be wrong, but why even make a map based off of polling then?
To humor you, the map where Biden wins Georgia isn't nearly as dramatic: https://www.270towin.com/maps/OxXBG |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:26 PM Author: Stirring station son of senegal Georgia is where MAXFRAUD happened. sooooo. yeah could happen again. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824942) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:27 PM Author: frisky navy deer antler mental disorder Anything is possible, except for a Trump win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824951) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:21 PM Author: emerald preventive strike Also, trump is bleeding support (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824907) |
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Date: July 9th, 2024 4:27 PM Author: Bright whorehouse all because Bbbboooom forgot to vote :( (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#47824945) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 9:30 PM Author: gay voter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5552750&forum_id=2).#48303406) |