Has Iran shown any signs that an escalation of force might break them?
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 29th, 2026 10:47 AM Author: '"'"'"''"
Yes, if there was a sustained ground war against Iran to actually remove the regime, but America shouldn't be engaged in that. The "Islamic Republic" of Iran sucks and should be removed, but let Israel and the Gulf states put boots on the ground instead.
But no, Trump's tit-for-tat bullshit only emboldens them and wastes money/resources/puts American soldiers at risk.
Better to just share intelligence and some air support with Israel/Saudi/Jordan and let them do a real invasion.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5887333&forum_id=2).#50031736) |
Date: July 29th, 2026 11:07 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
The blockade is working
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5887333&forum_id=2).#50031768) |
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Date: July 29th, 2026 11:11 AM
Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,...,
You have terminal TDS
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5887333&forum_id=2).#50031774) |
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Date: July 29th, 2026 12:38 PM Author: ...,....,,........
I'm confused, too.
According to Trump, they've been BEGGING for a ceasefire.
Do they have the right phone number for the Pentagon? Are they sending it to an old e-mail address? Maybe SecDef@obama.gov?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5887333&forum_id=2).#50031962) |
Date: July 29th, 2026 3:30 PM Author: Gloostick
We should drop nukes on population centers until they capitulate imo
Not jewish but I don’t want America to look weak
Gotta show those mullahs whose boss
Win one for Graham
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5887333&forum_id=2).#50032393) |
Date: July 29th, 2026 9:35 PM
Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;
The most charitable steelman case is basically hoping that two major problems the war has created for the IRI regime will escape their containment, so to speak, and trigger a cascade of further problems that could either implode the regime or cause them to cry uncle on controlling/tolling the Strait of Hormuz. Those two factors are 1) 400+% inflation and a 6% collapse in GDP mean Iran is essentially experiencing Great Depression levels of economic collapse, and 2) the infighting between hardliners and the rest of the regime has already reached levels that are confusing and complicating their responses to events, and Mojtaba seems to be either dead or injured enough that he’s unable to mediate and defuse the situation like his dad did for 37 years. Along with all that, the longer the U.S. can drag things out the more that alternative transport capacity to avoid the SoH can be built out, which ultimately destroys Iran’s leverage.
To pursue this approach we have to play chicken with oil prices rising to the point where gas goes above $6/gallon nationally by the fall and we will deplete our missile and drone defense capacity to the point that increasingly GCC and Jordanian targets are sitting ducks. And those wishcasted outcomes of collapse/capitulation of the regime are impacted by the regime’s own capacity to cover up problems and placate security forces for the next 90 days. So it’s an insane bet by Trump that could never work and has to be a fig leaf to procrastinate on eating the shit sandwich of permanently Iranian control of SoH.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5887333&forum_id=2).#50033516) |
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Date: July 29th, 2026 9:52 PM
Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,;
In all seriousness if we had asked the gay porn star/special forces bros you favor back in February they would have told us that our best bet was to find tens of thousands of Iranians in Iran willing to kill Basiji and foreign militia fighters, and assume the risk of a very high likelihood that they would die too. Then arm, train and quietly support them with satellite and logistics advice and assets. If we’d let that kind of internal resistance force build up first and kill ~5-10k Basiji a dozen at a time or so with multiple attacks every day, day after day for the last 5 months, and then started the air war in June-July on the original timeline it’s much more likely the regime would have collapsed. Sadly both the U.S. and Israel are led by impulsive, megalomaniacal narcissists and a cadre of morons around them, and none of these idiots could sit still long enough to hear and comprehend why that was obviously a much better strategy than their quick strike approach, which had been war gamed hundreds of times over the last 40 years and always ended with the IRI taking the SoH hostage to fuck the global economy.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5887333&forum_id=2).#50033537) |
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