So USA basically has NO shot at the World Cup? +15,000
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Date: December 6th, 2013 11:39 PM Author: Spectacular mewling fortuitous meteor
that's 1500-1.
are they that bad? isn't soccer random enough that usa has a puncher's chance?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2434447&forum_id=2,#24585070) |
Date: December 6th, 2013 11:48 PM Author: Burgundy brethren
150 is about right
50% chance to win vs Ghana / Portugal
40% chance to win each game after that
.5^2 + .4^4 = .0064 = .64% of winning, 1/150 = .0066 (.64% = .0064 or ~ .0066)
If anything its generous to the US
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2434447&forum_id=2,#24585142) |
Date: December 7th, 2013 12:26 AM Author: aromatic mint menage
Objectively their odds going up make them a real value bet. They got a puncher's chance to get out of the group, as Portugal is overrated as fuck and Ghana are Buckwild niggers who seem to only make waves against us. If the US can advance they play someone from that shitty group H, an ideal spot.
Subjectively not only is Germany a nightmare, but playing Portugal in a in the middle of nowhere jungle of a Portuguese speaking country means it's basically an away WC game. That's a nightmare turn of events. If we don't beat Ghana we are probably instadone, and even then we might lose the next two.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2434447&forum_id=2,#24585434) |
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