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Hypo: Would you rather have $3M or a 99 mph fastball?
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:32 PM Author: Nazca Redlines Two options:
(1) You get $3M, tax free, in your account today.
(2) You can throw a fastball 99 mph with as much control and movement as the average MLB all-star pitcher. You can ratchet down to about 94 mph (and get a little more control when you do so). Below 94 mph and for pitches other than fastballs, you're IRL you in terms of what you're able to throw.
In terms of sustaining your fastball, you will have the longevity and injury proclivity of the average MLB rookie. It's possible you throw your arm out year one. It's possible you can still throw 99 mph in 10 years or more. The likelihood of each depends on how well you take care of your body.
Which do you pick? |
Date: October 20th, 2025 4:34 PM Author: Covid was a Hoax https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVhbCA2IXnA
would 100% have "lightning crashes" play every time i came out of the bullpen. |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:37 PM Author: PooMow Take the $3M.
You're not going to have any success with just the fastball if you can't rely on any secondary pitches. You won't be able to compete when half the guys on today's pitching staffs throw upper-90s but also have the offspeed stuff to complement it. |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:45 PM Author: Nazca Redlines I have a decent curve ball already. Plus, I can try to develop an off-speed pitch to tunnel with the fastball. It would be a pretty good combo, and way more fun than just taking the $3M. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362360) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:49 PM Author: todd bonzalez cr. the whole point of “off-speed” is it’s slower. if anything, i should be *more* equipped than your average fastballer to change it up. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362373) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:57 PM Author: Nazca Redlines (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362392) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:39 PM Author: dickhole 4nicatiounzzzz 99 mph fastball
you'd make more than $3m over the course of washing out of baseball with the attributes describe in the OP |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:45 PM Author: Nazca Redlines What's your plan? How long until you have an MLB contract? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362362) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:13 PM Author: dickhole 4nicatiounzzzz there are a lot of baseball people out there. if I really don't know anyone like a baseball scout, baseball coach, someone in the front office of a baseball team, etc., I go down to a baseball training facility (i.e., a baseball "gym") and show someone what I can do. ride the tryout circuit from there until I'm Rookie of The Year (starring Ralph Macchio as Thomas Ian Nicholas) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362443) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:50 PM Author: hank_scorpio make it a knuckleball and I might take it, but nobody is letting and oldmo into the big leagues just because he can throw heat at the park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362376) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:51 PM Author: todd bonzalez not with that attitude, they aren’t. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362378) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 4:59 PM Author: Nazca Redlines It's not just throwing heat. It's throwing 99 mph with as much control and movement as an MLB all star has on his fastball. Plus, you can develop other pithces to go with your fastball. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362396) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:43 PM Author: dave ramsey Does the arm speed translate to other pitches too? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362502) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:01 PM Author: Metal Up Your Ass How old are we? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362400) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:02 PM Author: Nazca Redlines You're you, IRL today. But, see the OP re the longevity of your arm in option 2. If you take care of yourself, there is a good chance you can get 10 years of quality high-speed pitching. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362405) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:10 PM Author: Metal Up Your Ass I take the $3mil.
Despite my outwardly xo poa top 1% appearance, I do not have a doctored birth certificate like many islanders. I dont like my chances of an MLB team coughing up the dough from day 1.
I do absolutely believe they would give you a deal out of curiosity, but it would be a morbid curiosity. Joe Bimel got a look at 44, but he was already a 10+ yr veteran. |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:14 PM Author: Nazca Redlines Why do you need a team to cough up the dough from day 1? If you can throw a curve ball for a strike, a decent off-speed pitch, and a 99 mph fastball with all-star level control, you can work your way to the majors and a real contract pretty quick. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362449) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:50 PM Author: Metal Up Your Ass I'd have to sign for a paltry bonus, if any, and make $2500 a month in the minors while trying to convince them that I can maek it without falling apart, all the while at risk of injury.
The other major flaw is that my curveball won't be effective when compared to my 94-99mph fastball. Pros will sit on my fastball and then hit my curve 525 feet when they see it a mile away at 78mph.
IF I did make it to the majors, I'm getting signed for league minimum, which will require many years before I beat the $3mil. |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:05 PM Author: kumbaya moderate sashaying into your thread (gunneratttt) i'll take the fastball. i don't expect i'd be able to profit off it, but it would be pretty 180 to be a badling skinny fat lawyer and somehow be able to crank out a 99mph fastball. in fact i'd probably be able to generate some biz with that bar trick.
if i had $0 i'd take the $3m. the marginal value of $3m is not worth the value of something i could never earn or create at this point in my life. i'd probably just start playing a lot of baseball leagues for balding middle aged professionals and enjoy basking in the godhood of being a local legend. |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:15 PM Author: Nazca Redlines 180. Are you trying to make your way to the MLB, or just throwing gas in rec leagues? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362451) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:20 PM Author: kumbaya moderate sashaying into your thread (gunneratttt) your hypos are 180 because they always create a plausible path for daydreaming, middle-aged lawyers to make it in the majors. but no, i think it'd be an uphill battle especially since i'd have rec league defense.
it would actually be pretty 180 to be this mythical email job faggot who throws heaters in rec league. like "bro the guy that filed that motion throws a 100mph fastball. i'm serious man, we busted out a radar and everything." |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:28 PM Author: Nazca Redlines ty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362482) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:39 PM Author: elefantastisch Accountant to NHL Goalie is close:
https://www.espn.com/nhl/story/_/id/26424427/15-minutes-insane-accountant-nhl-goalie |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:24 PM Author: elefantastisch Fastball easily, and have the time of my life throwing heaters for the Durham Bulls, Columbus Clippers etc. and with a chance I could get called up to be a one inning closer. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362476) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:29 PM Author: you\'re the puppet I pick 3 million and my couch tyvm. It's a great couch. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362484) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:32 PM Author: Candy Ride $3 million.
I am afraid my talent would be overlooked since I don't really look like a big league pitcher. |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:35 PM Author: \'\'\"\"\'\'\'\" $3M and not even close. baseball is shit and if you break your hand or whatever then you're unemployed for life. $3M you just plow into Tbills and get a fuck ton per month risk free and plow asian pussy in thailand until you die (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362491) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:36 PM Author: We poisoned their asses with poisonous gasses 3 million. Easy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362492) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:36 PM Author: .,.,.;.,..,..,.,:.,:,..,..,::,..,:,.,.:,..:.,:.:, $3 million easily. need to add 15 mph to the fastball to make it interesting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362493) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 5:51 PM Author: Emperor CRISPR Chad von Neumann III Cash. Any attempt to monetize the pitching would take me away from my family too often (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362527) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 6:37 PM Author: Nazca Redlines MLB pitchers are only on the road 81 games per year, they probably have a pretty good time on the road, and they are off completely (in most cases) from circa October 1-February 10. I'd probably spend more time with my family as an MLB pithcer than as a lawmo, not less. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362641) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 6:39 PM Author: Nazca Redlines Everyone ITT saying they'd take the money is very lame. Not only is there a decent chance that you make more than $3M (plus your otherwise foregone wages) taking the fastball, it would be way, way more fun to be great at something and try to maek it than it would to keep chasing commas. And you can always go back to the comma chasing and thank emails, with some great stories to boot, if you don't make it to the Show. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362645) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 6:42 PM Author: SneakersSO I don’t think the Scouts would take me tbh. They like Tall Guys, like, a lot, imho. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362646) |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 8:18 PM Author: Kenneth Play I don't think most people ITT are appreciating the piece of the OP where he says the fastball is equivalent to the average "MLB All-Star." That raises your EV significantly vs just being an average major leaguer. But yeah given that most of us can't throw a curveball/slider/changeup, and it's not clear if we could in this hypo, there's very few guys that can be a successful MLB reliever with less than 2 pitches, and very few starters with less than 3.
I think I'd take the arm, just because I'd get a hotter wife that way, and I could always go into sales as a jock chad if I blew my arm out. |
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Date: October 20th, 2025 8:38 PM Author: A Dick is Not Dispositive I’ll take the money (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5788102&forum_id=2],#49362922) |