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Trump now has 10% lead over Biden on betting markets

Largest of the election cycle so far: https://www.predict...
milky brunch azn
  06/16/24
Yeah but its not reflected in the swing state numbers. Which...
Cracking Scourge Upon The Earth Principal's Office
  06/16/24
Literally all of them. He is ahead in literally every single...
Thriller cuck
  06/16/24
Wisconsin: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8076/Whi...
Cracking Scourge Upon The Earth Principal's Office
  06/16/24
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president...
Thriller cuck
  06/16/24
nice. just bought another 100 orange man shorts
sexy travel guidebook native
  06/16/24
L'chaim!
Very Tactful Cruise Ship Circlehead
  06/16/24
That’s with Newsome and Harris still getting a combine...
laughsome mother stead
  06/16/24
Biden literally has dementia. There’s a non zero chanc...
milky brunch azn
  06/16/24
...
sapphire gaming laptop
  06/16/24
Right the Newsome and Harris odds are essentially a bet that...
laughsome mother stead
  06/16/24
The top 5 adds up to 113 cents which suggests a very ineffic...
Azure overrated step-uncle's house
  06/17/24
it is a meme to call him "newsome" or something
Galvanic foreskin
  06/17/24
...
Hideous indigo site
  06/16/24
nice. cheap biden shares. BTW, those predictit morons are al...
sable filthy bawdyhouse
  06/16/24
They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this ...
Thriller cuck
  06/16/24
Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM Author: Gloostick They are...
sable filthy bawdyhouse
  06/16/24
I feel like they aren’t factoring in cheating
beady-eyed church
  06/16/24
or factoring in Trump
sable filthy bawdyhouse
  06/16/24
I'm putting my life savings on biden
tan preventive strike stage
  06/16/24
11% now
milky brunch azn
  06/17/24
Both candidates are basically even money at this point. it&r...
laughsome mother stead
  06/17/24
last sentence = cr
sexy travel guidebook native
  06/17/24
"Edited video clips" is the same script Shareblue ...
navy kitchen
  06/17/24
The same prediction markets that gave Hillary a 90% chance o...
Racy claret house becky
  06/17/24
the same markets gave hillary a like 75% of being indicted b...
sexy travel guidebook native
  06/17/24
Trump was at something like 90% on election night and we all...
vermilion supple half-breed piazza
  06/17/24
Fortified
beady-eyed church
  06/17/24
90% up until 3am when the water pipe burst and they all stop...
navy kitchen
  06/17/24
Not a single poast deploring "betting markets" on ...
Medicated meetinghouse generalized bond
  06/17/24
SPEAK ENGLISH MOTHERFUCKER
Galvanic foreskin
  06/17/24
they have proven to be very accurate in the past
shaky wild lay
  06/17/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 12:23 PM
Author: milky brunch azn

Largest of the election cycle so far:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47751130)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 2:02 PM
Author: Cracking Scourge Upon The Earth Principal's Office

Yeah but its not reflected in the swing state numbers. Which swing states is he gonna win? I want to believe but it's not in the bag yet.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47751343)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:32 PM
Author: Thriller cuck

Literally all of them. He is ahead in literally every single swing state.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47751664)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 10:12 PM
Author: Cracking Scourge Upon The Earth Principal's Office

Wisconsin: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8076/Which-party-will-win-Wisconsin-in-the-2024-presidential-election

Arizona: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8070/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Arizona

Barely ahead in Ohio, which should theoretically be in the bag: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8075/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752515)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:33 PM
Author: Thriller cuck

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

it's even more lopsided with other betting sites. Predictit is actually the most favorable for sleepy joe

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47751668)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:37 PM
Author: sexy travel guidebook native

nice. just bought another 100 orange man shorts

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47751676)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:13 PM
Author: Very Tactful Cruise Ship Circlehead

L'chaim!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752229)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:42 PM
Author: laughsome mother stead

That’s with Newsome and Harris still getting a combined 11%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47751681)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:08 PM
Author: milky brunch azn

Biden literally has dementia. There’s a non zero chance he’ll be physically unable to run before November. Or they swap him out at the convention.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752219)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:09 PM
Author: sapphire gaming laptop



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752221)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM
Author: laughsome mother stead

Right the Newsome and Harris odds are essentially a bet that Biden will become unavailable to run sometime between now and Election Day, which conversely lowers Biden’s current odds. As we get closer to Election Day and Biden is still running the Newsome/Harris odds go down and the Biden odds go up. In any case, you have to add the Biden/Harris/Newsome odds together to see what bettors think are the odds that Trump won’t win.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752367)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:26 PM
Author: Azure overrated step-uncle's house

The top 5 adds up to 113 cents which suggests a very inefficient market

Biden Trump add up to 97 cents

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47754392)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:55 PM
Author: Galvanic foreskin

it is a meme to call him "newsome" or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47755549)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:18 PM
Author: Hideous indigo site



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752239)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:35 PM
Author: sable filthy bawdyhouse

nice. cheap biden shares. BTW, those predictit morons are always wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752315)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM
Author: Thriller cuck

They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752361)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM
Author: sable filthy bawdyhouse

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM

Author: Gloostick

They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752381)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:45 PM
Author: beady-eyed church

I feel like they aren’t factoring in cheating

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752341)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM
Author: sable filthy bawdyhouse

or factoring in Trump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752382)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM
Author: tan preventive strike stage

I'm putting my life savings on biden

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47752368)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 2:19 PM
Author: milky brunch azn

11% now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47754167)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 2:24 PM
Author: laughsome mother stead

Both candidates are basically even money at this point. it’s even closer than it seems since Newsome and Harris are still getting odds which will evaporate as Election Day draws closer. a lot of the recent moves are from cons being influenced by edited video clips that make them believe Biden will have to drop out and won’t be on the ticket on Election Day.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47754176)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:21 PM
Author: sexy travel guidebook native

last sentence = cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47754365)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:47 PM
Author: navy kitchen

"Edited video clips" is the same script Shareblue sent to me too.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47754469)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:31 PM
Author: Racy claret house becky

The same prediction markets that gave Hillary a 90% chance of winning going into Election Day 2016 (and didn't start to swing Trump's direction until late that night)? And the same markets that gave Trump an 80% chance of winning after Election Night returns in 2020? It seems pretty silly to orgasm over prediction markets, particularly this far from Election Day and particularly when they say the race is either a tossup or a slight advantage to Trump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47754409)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:45 PM
Author: sexy travel guidebook native

the same markets gave hillary a like 75% of being indicted by the end of each year from 2017 to 2020. it's like taking candy from a

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47754462)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:59 PM
Author: vermilion supple half-breed piazza

Trump was at something like 90% on election night and we all saw how that went.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47754498)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:50 PM
Author: beady-eyed church

Fortified

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47755520)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:52 PM
Author: navy kitchen

90% up until 3am when the water pipe burst and they all stopped counting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47755528)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:53 PM
Author: Medicated meetinghouse generalized bond

Not a single poast deploring "betting markets" on an election to be peak Weimar shit

How Jewish has this site gotten

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47755532)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM
Author: Galvanic foreskin

SPEAK ENGLISH MOTHERFUCKER

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47755557)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM
Author: shaky wild lay

they have proven to be very accurate in the past

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2],#47755553)