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Reddit voter proves with SCIENCE that Kamala will win
| Slaanesh | 10/24/24 |
| butt cheeks | 10/24/24 |
| butt cheeks | 10/24/24 |
| """'""""'' | 10/24/24 |
| Slaanesh | 10/24/24 |
| Nippon Professional Baseball | 10/24/24 |
| butt cheeks | 10/24/24 |
| MASE | 10/24/24 |
| McBuzzsaw | 10/24/24 |
| gibberish (?) | 10/24/24 |
| McBuzzsaw | 10/24/24 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 24th, 2024 12:44 PM Author: Slaanesh https://www.reddit.com/r/fivethirtyeight/comments/1gagfsk/forecasting_turnout_tldr_early_voting_data_is/
Wait sorry, I meant he's a dooming Harris voter because registration #s are YUGELY bullshit for Trump based on the SCIENCE |
Date: October 24th, 2024 12:46 PM Author: butt cheeks (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) lol libs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5617340&forum_id=2#48235088) |
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Date: October 24th, 2024 12:47 PM Author: butt cheeks (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) skipping past the regressions, his conclusions are: Quick hits from the data:
FL Dems lost 1.15M registrations - bigger than Trump's original win margin (371K) by 3x Even smallest D loss (NV -55K) bigger than Biden's margin there (33.6K). Independent pools are massive: NC 2.77M, FL 3.58M vs much smaller margins. With even independents splits, these registration changes flip every 2020 Biden state in the table. Dems need big independent advantages just to get back to competitive. Scenarios:
Only NV could flip D with strong independent performance FL likely out of reach (Trump +1.35M with even split) PA flips hard - Biden +81K becomes Trump +233K before independents AZ/NC margins could swing wildly based on independent preferences Sidenote, given the million person change in registration in Florida, I think Nate might be out 100k if that other guy took him up on the bet.
Mom pick me up, I'm scared. |
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Date: October 24th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: """'""""'' can you re-write your OP in English now? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5617340&forum_id=2#48235095) |
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Date: October 24th, 2024 2:44 PM Author: Slaanesh nigger bitch gonna lose (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5617340&forum_id=2#48235560) |
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Date: October 24th, 2024 2:46 PM Author: Nippon Professional Baseball (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5617340&forum_id=2#48235569) |
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Date: October 24th, 2024 2:46 PM Author: butt cheeks (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5617340&forum_id=2#48235575) |
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Date: October 24th, 2024 2:47 PM Author: MASE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5617340&forum_id=2#48235578) |
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Date: October 24th, 2024 2:50 PM Author: McBuzzsaw wow this 105iq redditor feeding gibberish input to a black box ai in order to receive gibberish output has totally cracked the code! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5617340&forum_id=2#48235591) |
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Date: October 24th, 2024 2:55 PM Author: gibberish (?) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5617340&forum_id=2#48235609) |
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Date: October 24th, 2024 2:55 PM Author: McBuzzsaw (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5617340&forum_id=2#48235612) |