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Trump now has 10% lead over Biden on betting markets

Largest of the election cycle so far: https://www.predict...
maroon comical love of her life
  06/16/24
Yeah but its not reflected in the swing state numbers. Which...
duck-like spectacular striped hyena people who are hurt
  06/16/24
Literally all of them. He is ahead in literally every single...
cyan insecure legal warrant
  06/16/24
Wisconsin: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8076/Whi...
duck-like spectacular striped hyena people who are hurt
  06/16/24
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president...
cyan insecure legal warrant
  06/16/24
nice. just bought another 100 orange man shorts
transparent vigorous ratface
  06/16/24
L'chaim!
Aromatic persian
  06/16/24
That’s with Newsome and Harris still getting a combine...
Rebellious Sex Offender
  06/16/24
Biden literally has dementia. There’s a non zero chanc...
maroon comical love of her life
  06/16/24
...
marvelous cuckold crackhouse
  06/16/24
Right the Newsome and Harris odds are essentially a bet that...
Rebellious Sex Offender
  06/16/24
The top 5 adds up to 113 cents which suggests a very ineffic...
cerebral frisky elastic band
  06/17/24
it is a meme to call him "newsome" or something
Emerald Jap Hissy Fit
  06/17/24
...
violet magical hall
  06/16/24
nice. cheap biden shares. BTW, those predictit morons are al...
Cobalt diverse trailer park
  06/16/24
They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this ...
cyan insecure legal warrant
  06/16/24
Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM Author: Gloostick They are...
Cobalt diverse trailer park
  06/16/24
I feel like they aren’t factoring in cheating
Learning disabled personal credit line lay
  06/16/24
or factoring in Trump
Cobalt diverse trailer park
  06/16/24
I'm putting my life savings on biden
motley mood
  06/16/24
11% now
maroon comical love of her life
  06/17/24
Both candidates are basically even money at this point. it&r...
Rebellious Sex Offender
  06/17/24
last sentence = cr
transparent vigorous ratface
  06/17/24
"Edited video clips" is the same script Shareblue ...
Iridescent provocative heaven therapy
  06/17/24
The same prediction markets that gave Hillary a 90% chance o...
lime hospital mediation
  06/17/24
the same markets gave hillary a like 75% of being indicted b...
transparent vigorous ratface
  06/17/24
Trump was at something like 90% on election night and we all...
Fighting french market organic girlfriend
  06/17/24
Fortified
Learning disabled personal credit line lay
  06/17/24
90% up until 3am when the water pipe burst and they all stop...
Iridescent provocative heaven therapy
  06/17/24
Not a single poast deploring "betting markets" on ...
Amethyst pit
  06/17/24
SPEAK ENGLISH MOTHERFUCKER
Emerald Jap Hissy Fit
  06/17/24
they have proven to be very accurate in the past
mustard floppy tattoo
  06/17/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 12:23 PM
Author: maroon comical love of her life

Largest of the election cycle so far:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751130)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 2:02 PM
Author: duck-like spectacular striped hyena people who are hurt

Yeah but its not reflected in the swing state numbers. Which swing states is he gonna win? I want to believe but it's not in the bag yet.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751343)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:32 PM
Author: cyan insecure legal warrant

Literally all of them. He is ahead in literally every single swing state.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751664)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 10:12 PM
Author: duck-like spectacular striped hyena people who are hurt

Wisconsin: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8076/Which-party-will-win-Wisconsin-in-the-2024-presidential-election

Arizona: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8070/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Arizona

Barely ahead in Ohio, which should theoretically be in the bag: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8075/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752515)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:33 PM
Author: cyan insecure legal warrant

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

it's even more lopsided with other betting sites. Predictit is actually the most favorable for sleepy joe

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751668)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:37 PM
Author: transparent vigorous ratface

nice. just bought another 100 orange man shorts

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751676)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:13 PM
Author: Aromatic persian

L'chaim!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752229)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:42 PM
Author: Rebellious Sex Offender

That’s with Newsome and Harris still getting a combined 11%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751681)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:08 PM
Author: maroon comical love of her life

Biden literally has dementia. There’s a non zero chance he’ll be physically unable to run before November. Or they swap him out at the convention.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752219)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:09 PM
Author: marvelous cuckold crackhouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752221)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM
Author: Rebellious Sex Offender

Right the Newsome and Harris odds are essentially a bet that Biden will become unavailable to run sometime between now and Election Day, which conversely lowers Biden’s current odds. As we get closer to Election Day and Biden is still running the Newsome/Harris odds go down and the Biden odds go up. In any case, you have to add the Biden/Harris/Newsome odds together to see what bettors think are the odds that Trump won’t win.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752367)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:26 PM
Author: cerebral frisky elastic band

The top 5 adds up to 113 cents which suggests a very inefficient market

Biden Trump add up to 97 cents

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754392)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:55 PM
Author: Emerald Jap Hissy Fit

it is a meme to call him "newsome" or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755549)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:18 PM
Author: violet magical hall



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752239)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:35 PM
Author: Cobalt diverse trailer park

nice. cheap biden shares. BTW, those predictit morons are always wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752315)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM
Author: cyan insecure legal warrant

They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752361)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM
Author: Cobalt diverse trailer park

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM

Author: Gloostick

They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752381)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:45 PM
Author: Learning disabled personal credit line lay

I feel like they aren’t factoring in cheating

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752341)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM
Author: Cobalt diverse trailer park

or factoring in Trump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752382)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM
Author: motley mood

I'm putting my life savings on biden

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752368)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 2:19 PM
Author: maroon comical love of her life

11% now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754167)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 2:24 PM
Author: Rebellious Sex Offender

Both candidates are basically even money at this point. it’s even closer than it seems since Newsome and Harris are still getting odds which will evaporate as Election Day draws closer. a lot of the recent moves are from cons being influenced by edited video clips that make them believe Biden will have to drop out and won’t be on the ticket on Election Day.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754176)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:21 PM
Author: transparent vigorous ratface

last sentence = cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754365)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:47 PM
Author: Iridescent provocative heaven therapy

"Edited video clips" is the same script Shareblue sent to me too.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754469)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:31 PM
Author: lime hospital mediation

The same prediction markets that gave Hillary a 90% chance of winning going into Election Day 2016 (and didn't start to swing Trump's direction until late that night)? And the same markets that gave Trump an 80% chance of winning after Election Night returns in 2020? It seems pretty silly to orgasm over prediction markets, particularly this far from Election Day and particularly when they say the race is either a tossup or a slight advantage to Trump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754409)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:45 PM
Author: transparent vigorous ratface

the same markets gave hillary a like 75% of being indicted by the end of each year from 2017 to 2020. it's like taking candy from a

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754462)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:59 PM
Author: Fighting french market organic girlfriend

Trump was at something like 90% on election night and we all saw how that went.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754498)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:50 PM
Author: Learning disabled personal credit line lay

Fortified

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755520)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:52 PM
Author: Iridescent provocative heaven therapy

90% up until 3am when the water pipe burst and they all stopped counting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755528)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:53 PM
Author: Amethyst pit

Not a single poast deploring "betting markets" on an election to be peak Weimar shit

How Jewish has this site gotten

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755532)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM
Author: Emerald Jap Hissy Fit

SPEAK ENGLISH MOTHERFUCKER

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755557)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM
Author: mustard floppy tattoo

they have proven to be very accurate in the past

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755553)