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How large of a portfolio is needed to spend $200k annually indefinitely?

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crawly kitchen
  07/07/25
10mm
Jade Exciting Famous Landscape Painting Meetinghouse
  07/07/25
fuck my ass.
mentally impaired big karate locus
  07/07/25
This seems about right. $10 million yields $300k pretax annu...
crawly kitchen
  07/07/25
There is no 3% rule. No one needs to be that conservative. ...
dashing people who are hurt twinkling uncleanness
  07/07/25
its not even that conservative dude. inflation, fees, fines,...
Jade Exciting Famous Landscape Painting Meetinghouse
  07/07/25
To my mind, 3% is aggressive going forward and a 2.5% or eve...
crawly kitchen
  07/07/25
3% cagr means you could live 45 years with $5M on $200K spen...
magenta at-the-ready skinny woman
  07/07/25
you are retarded if you pay an effective tax rate of 33% on ...
Carmine Hall Lettuce
  07/07/25
Paying taxes is the law
crawly kitchen
  07/07/25
Even if you are single, do no tax planning and have no deduc...
Carmine Hall Lettuce
  07/08/25
You're forgetting state taxes 😵‍💫
crawly kitchen
  07/08/25
$6m
Electric Hateful Menage
  07/07/25
$200k is this supposed to be some kind of a trick question
salmon hot hell
  07/07/25
...
razzmatazz center hominid
  07/07/25
...
obsidian step-uncle's house
  07/07/25
...
Pink kink-friendly selfie lay
  07/07/25
Between $4m-$5m depending on how conservative/aggressive you...
dashing people who are hurt twinkling uncleanness
  07/07/25
I said spend, so obviously I meant post-tax
crawly kitchen
  07/07/25
Between $5.3m - $7.5m depending on various assumptions and d...
dashing people who are hurt twinkling uncleanness
  07/07/25
what the fuck are you buying every year?
scarlet cruel-hearted puppy space
  07/07/25
I dunno. Might enjoy having a place to live, food to eat, c...
crawly kitchen
  07/07/25
you can do that for far less even in blue states.
scarlet cruel-hearted puppy space
  07/07/25
Think of it this way. Hedge funds typically charge 2 and 20...
Multi-colored Party Of The First Part Shrine
  07/07/25
answers like this always amaze me on xo. basic percentages b...
Jade Exciting Famous Landscape Painting Meetinghouse
  07/07/25
This makes no sense. OP, don’t think about it this way...
Mind-boggling french chef
  07/07/25
And yet, the answer it gives (between 5 and 7 million) is th...
Multi-colored Party Of The First Part Shrine
  07/07/25
Lmao
Aqua public bath queen of the night
  07/07/25
you probably literally only need $4m for that. Assuming you...
scarlet cruel-hearted puppy space
  07/07/25
I'll probably have $10 million or thereabouts when I hit The...
crawly kitchen
  07/07/25
the reality though is that you should actually spend the 200...
Jade Exciting Famous Landscape Painting Meetinghouse
  07/07/25
You wanna try that again
crawly kitchen
  07/07/25
he clearly meant "shouldn't"
scarlet cruel-hearted puppy space
  07/07/25
Depends, how much of the principal do you want to leave behi...
impressive preventive strike brunch
  07/07/25
Leave behind for what
crawly kitchen
  07/07/25
whatever you want my friend. kids, family, charity, etc.
impressive preventive strike brunch
  07/07/25
fuck jews
Pink kink-friendly selfie lay
  07/07/25
"Leaving behind" makes almost no sense unless you'...
dashing people who are hurt twinkling uncleanness
  07/07/25
why is everyone assuming ~1/3 in taxes? that’s a high ...
mentally impaired big karate locus
  07/07/25
generally retirement income from QPs is ordinary income.
impressive preventive strike brunch
  07/07/25
withdrawals from 401(k)s and the like, yes. but i don’...
mentally impaired big karate locus
  07/07/25


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:03 PM
Author: crawly kitchen



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079518)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:04 PM
Author: Jade Exciting Famous Landscape Painting Meetinghouse

10mm

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079524)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:09 PM
Author: mentally impaired big karate locus

fuck my ass.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079549)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:10 PM
Author: crawly kitchen

This seems about right. $10 million yields $300k pretax annually under the 3% rule, and assume 1/3 tax rate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079556)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:10 PM
Author: dashing people who are hurt twinkling uncleanness

There is no 3% rule. No one needs to be that conservative. There is no version of the Trinity Study which supports this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079558)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:12 PM
Author: Jade Exciting Famous Landscape Painting Meetinghouse

its not even that conservative dude. inflation, fees, fines, taxes, etc gobble up all of your supposed "earnings". the economy isnt really growing faster than that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079572)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:15 PM
Author: crawly kitchen

To my mind, 3% is aggressive going forward and a 2.5% or even 2% rule is probably more appropriate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:07 PM
Author: magenta at-the-ready skinny woman

3% cagr means you could live 45 years with $5M on $200K spend and not run out of $. If you can get 5% then you can do $4.2M and never have your balance drop.

edit: factor 2% inflation to the $200K spend - you'd run out of $ in 45 years with $5M

edit v2: I guess if you pay 25% taxes you'd run out of $ in 30 years vs. 44 and change, assuming you pay taxes on the $ you withdraw/spend

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079801)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:30 PM
Author: Carmine Hall Lettuce

you are retarded if you pay an effective tax rate of 33% on 300k in investment income.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49080104)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 6:20 PM
Author: crawly kitchen

Paying taxes is the law

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49080286)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 8th, 2025 6:02 AM
Author: Carmine Hall Lettuce

Even if you are single, do no tax planning and have no deductions whatsoever, and every penny of income is STCG or dividends, the effective tax rate is still less than 25%. Additional medicare tax and NIIT pushes it to a bit over 26%. Even in the basic worst case scenario you don't pay 33%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49081696)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 8th, 2025 11:01 AM
Author: crawly kitchen

You're forgetting state taxes 😵‍💫

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49082266)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:07 PM
Author: Electric Hateful Menage

$6m

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079539)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:08 PM
Author: salmon hot hell

$200k is this supposed to be some kind of a trick question

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079545)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:11 PM
Author: razzmatazz center hominid



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079562)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:44 PM
Author: obsidian step-uncle's house



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079697)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:39 PM
Author: Pink kink-friendly selfie lay



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079950)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:11 PM
Author: dashing people who are hurt twinkling uncleanness

Between $4m-$5m depending on how conservative/aggressive you want to be. That's to get $200k pre-tax (increasing annually for inflation); you'd need to adjust upward if you want a post-tax figure.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079563)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:15 PM
Author: crawly kitchen

I said spend, so obviously I meant post-tax

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079588)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:27 PM
Author: dashing people who are hurt twinkling uncleanness

Between $5.3m - $7.5m depending on various assumptions and desired level of conservatism.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079633)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:53 PM
Author: scarlet cruel-hearted puppy space

what the fuck are you buying every year?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079741)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:58 PM
Author: crawly kitchen

I dunno. Might enjoy having a place to live, food to eat, clothes to wear, and so on.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079756)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:14 PM
Author: scarlet cruel-hearted puppy space

you can do that for far less even in blue states.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49080051)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:36 PM
Author: Multi-colored Party Of The First Part Shrine

Think of it this way. Hedge funds typically charge 2 and 20 (2% management fee on the principal, plus 20% of that year's return as a performance fee). So think of yourself as the manager of your personal "fund".

If you assume you're getting an 5% rate of return on your invested capital on average (pretty conservative), then you'd need $6,666,667. This would give a management fee of $133,333 plus a performance fee of $66,667 (6,666,667 * .05 * .20), which adds up to $200k. If you assume a 10% rate of return (maybe too aggressive) then you'd only need $5 million.

I am ignoring taxes here, you'd need a higher amount if you want $200k post tax.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079668)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:41 PM
Author: Jade Exciting Famous Landscape Painting Meetinghouse

answers like this always amaze me on xo. basic percentages but no reference to the fact that a guy who has 6.7mm in 2025 america shouldnt be thinking about "hedge funds" at all.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079685)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:50 PM
Author: Mind-boggling french chef

This makes no sense. OP, don’t think about it this way.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079724)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:27 PM
Author: Multi-colored Party Of The First Part Shrine

And yet, the answer it gives (between 5 and 7 million) is the same as everyone else is saying. It's a reasonable rule of thumb that still lets the principal grow.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079896)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:59 PM
Author: Aqua public bath queen of the night

Lmao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079760)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:52 PM
Author: scarlet cruel-hearted puppy space

you probably literally only need $4m for that. Assuming you are reasonable with it. e.g., take out less during down market years, take out more when the market is up/stable.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079738)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:56 PM
Author: crawly kitchen

I'll probably have $10 million or thereabouts when I hit The Wall in a couple years

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079751)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 3:59 PM
Author: Jade Exciting Famous Landscape Painting Meetinghouse

the reality though is that you should actually spend the 200k or even 100k unless youre puting a kid through college or something.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079762)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:01 PM
Author: crawly kitchen

You wanna try that again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079775)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:15 PM
Author: scarlet cruel-hearted puppy space

he clearly meant "shouldn't"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49080054)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:00 PM
Author: impressive preventive strike brunch

Depends, how much of the principal do you want to leave behind? Assuming all or most of it, and a 4-6% withdrawal rate and 35% estimated taxes you'd need between 5-7.5m.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079773)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:02 PM
Author: crawly kitchen

Leave behind for what

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079779)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:02 PM
Author: impressive preventive strike brunch

whatever you want my friend. kids, family, charity, etc.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079783)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:39 PM
Author: Pink kink-friendly selfie lay

fuck jews

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079946)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 5:36 PM
Author: dashing people who are hurt twinkling uncleanness

"Leaving behind" makes almost no sense unless you're talking truly generational wealth, which the OP isn't. It's another shit boomer concept, i.e., it's cool to be shitty egoists all your life because you'll leave son Johnny and daughter Lisa $4.1m when you die at 93 which will somehow absolve your sins.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49080120)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:22 PM
Author: mentally impaired big karate locus

why is everyone assuming ~1/3 in taxes? that’s a high blended rate for that level of income in the first place, and i wouldn’t think it would be too hard to structure most of the income as LTCG. this admittedly leaves aside the issue of taxes remaining close their current rates indefinitely.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079865)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 4:46 PM
Author: impressive preventive strike brunch

generally retirement income from QPs is ordinary income.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49079978)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 7th, 2025 8:34 PM
Author: mentally impaired big karate locus

withdrawals from 401(k)s and the like, yes. but i don’t think someone with $5-10M in cash/stocks/bonds has most of that in a 401(k).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5747172&forum_id=2#49080738)