The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
Trump now beating Harris by 2 points
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 9th, 2024 9:27 PM Author: laughsome party of the first part plaza https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4870702-florida-trump-harris-poll/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068088) |
Date: September 9th, 2024 9:28 PM Author: bull headed sticky reading party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068091) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2024 9:28 PM Author: claret fragrant brethren regret ? this actually shows what your title claimed? are you new here? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068093) |
 |
Date: September 9th, 2024 9:52 PM Author: bonkers sex offender Benzo's an NPC and believes Trump is only up by two points in Florida because an article told him so (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068203) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2024 9:56 PM Author: wonderful hissy fit To be fair,
Lol it's kind of amazing how some poll showing Trump +2 in FL is fodder for smug "LOL TRUMPMOS UR FUKT" threads by libs, because apparently +2 basically rounds down to a coinflip for Trump in that situation and he'll probably end up losing FL... and yet some new poll that shows Kamala +1 or whatever in a swing state is ALSO fodder for smug "LOL TRUMPMOS UR FUKT" threads by libs, because apparently +1 rounds up to a commanding lead for Kamala in that situation and she'll probably end up winning that swing state.
Just one of those unfortunate "heads Kamala wins, tails Trump loses" facts of life that comes along with "reality having a liberal bias," at least according to Jews on the internet who are really smart and obviously know how this will all play out in 60 days.
This is what happens when (((The Theory of Relativity))) gets applied to politics.... |
|
Date: September 9th, 2024 10:03 PM Author: odious free-loading orchestra pit 1% of the 2020 vote was 1.5 million voats. Consider this was a unique election that absolutely blew away any prior participation records mostly because the entire country was sitting at home in November.
Now consider that Dems have a 5 million vote lead in California alone. If Dems are up 5 million in California and only up 1.5 million nationally, then their advantage whittles away by 3.5 million votes across the entire rest of 49 other states.
Do the math. A 1.5 million vote lead is a complete Electoral disaster for Harris. By contrast Trump won Florida by 3 points in 2020 and so for him to be up 2 is in any one random poll is entirely in line with expectations.
To wit libs are making entirely false equivalency arguments. |
|
Date: September 9th, 2024 10:15 PM Author: wonderful hissy fit To be fair,
It's almost like people who are actually somewhat intelligent and informed know this, while simple minded midwit "hurr durr" NPC retards like Benzo just see "ooooo blue team big number good hehe" and think that's the end of the analysis and it's over and Kamala has this in the bag and Trump is fukkkkkt.
Almost! |
|
Date: September 9th, 2024 10:30 PM Author: odious free-loading orchestra pit Even homosexual jew Nate Silver thinks Kamala is polling really bad in swing states and thinks she's borderline fucked if she doesn't turn it around.
This is a guy who bets benzos entire lifetime career earnings on one hand of poker many times per day. |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 1:59 AM Author: wonderful hissy fit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068937) |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 2:29 AM Author: Cobalt self-absorbed dilemma cumskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068977) |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 2:13 AM Author: nubile trip house voyeur Ok but what's the delta of the mail in ballots expected to be? Same last minute dump as last time? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068959) |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 2:17 AM Author: big church building famous landscape painting I maintain this is what will happen. The Kamala palace coup was a 2-step move. Step 1 is Dems get the margin within cheating distance again - the coup achieved that. Step 2 is Dems cheat, cheat, cheat every way they can. Result is Dems "win". |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 3:14 AM Author: Mind-boggling Piazza Depressive This is obviously what’s going to happen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068997) |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 2:39 AM Author: passionate really tough guy I just checked and as long as MAHARANI KAMALA keeps NV, WI, MI, PA it's over. GA, AZ, NZ dont matter. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068982) |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 2:44 AM Author: odious free-loading orchestra pit Ok but she's been polling atrociously in PA this entire time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48068984) |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 2:56 AM Author: passionate really tough guy wats atrocious abt this, birdshit? last 7 polls, three ties, one harris +4 and 3 trump +1-2 (but two of those are reptile polls rasmussen and tralfalgayr)
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 3:23 AM Author: exhilarant theatre filthpig "as long as"
yes - the turd woman has to sweep while Trump needs to pick up only one, which he seems to be easily on track to do
|
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 3:42 AM Author: passionate really tough guy i wld think this favors kamala, she has more room to maek mistakes, seems MI, WI and NV trump has little chance
and no even FL kamala is doing good
so yeah its almots 50-50 and maybe trump even wins pop vote but seems kamala has 55% EC chance, prob higher since early voting fraud by niggas |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 10:59 AM Author: exhilarant theatre filthpig ? trump is polling around 6 points up on harris in FL... which is 7 points higher than he was polling when he easily won it in 2020
|
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 3:42 AM Author: Chocolate appetizing kitchen clown yeah but Trump is ahead in the states that matter libtards
https://x.com/tbonier/status/1833239646803005504 |
|
Date: September 10th, 2024 8:50 PM Author: Thriller unholy parlour jap This is really bad news for Kamala. Trump is winning FL by way more than 2 points - so if that's what the polls say, then the polls are way the fuck biased towards Kamala... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48072138) |
|
Date: September 11th, 2024 3:08 PM Author: claret fragrant brethren regret good point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48077207) |
|
Date: September 11th, 2024 3:10 PM Author: adventurous slimy resort fortuitous meteor he won it by 1.2% and 3.5% the last two elections. why would you think he’s winning by way more than 2%? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48077213) |
|
Date: September 11th, 2024 10:42 PM Author: claret fragrant brethren regret because florida has been flooded with conservatives who actually love freedom and the shitlibs are leaving in droves |
|
Date: September 11th, 2024 10:45 PM Author: Chocolate appetizing kitchen clown yeah, and all those states they left are gonna vote blue, like Georgia and Michigan. 180! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48078998) |
|
Date: September 11th, 2024 10:46 PM Author: claret fragrant brethren regret why do you support shitlib positions? are you a babykiller or do you just support killing babies? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48079004) |
|
Date: September 11th, 2024 10:47 PM Author: bonkers sex offender Things are much more in his favor than 2020 for one. He's going to gain a lot of votes this time anywhere he won or came close (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48079006) |
|
Date: September 11th, 2024 10:44 PM Author: Chocolate appetizing kitchen clown LOL at this retardation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5591586&forum_id=2#48078993) |
|
Date: September 11th, 2024 10:44 PM Author: Chocolate appetizing kitchen clown Harris up 10 in Virginia. RCP labels it "tossup"
Trump up 2 in Florida. RCP labels it "Leans Red"
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/toss-up/electoral-college |