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Just spoke to a Democrat consultant friend on the ground in a swing state
Poast new message in this thread
Date: November 4th, 2024 3:14 PM Author: Donald MASE Trump https://x.com/VickieforNYC/status/1853511569851982213 Here's what I can tell you; take it with a grain of salt if you like but I think he's being straight with me.
Nobody really thinks Kamala is going to win at this point. Canvassing is going poorly almost everywhere, with few exceptions. The party is getting their high-follower influencer accounts to push out motivational stories just to keep morale up and get them over the finish line with some dignity, but it's not great. The Iowa poll was good to give a shot of adrenaline to volunteers, but nobody important believes those numbers are real.
Of all the swing states, they're hoping Michigan comes through and possibly a late-night miracle in PA, but nobody is counting on either of them. They don't think Trump is actually going to flip VA or NH, but the fact that they've even entered the conversation is indicative of how bad things could potentially turn out.
The early vote counts are just beyond what they expected to see for Republican turnout, and has Dem strategists rethinking whether it was a good idea to make such a big push to broaden early voting in the first place. Republican low-propensity voters are activated in a way nobody really expected and the polls didn't capture it. Yes it's possible those early Republicans broke Democrat in an unprecedented way, but very unlikely.
The campaign has switched entirely to 'woman vs. man' messaging, as liberal white women are the only reliable voter bloc they can even identify at this point.
Priority now is saving some downballot races and flipping the house so the night isn't a total embarrassment for Democrats.
Like I said, take this all with a grain of salt as this is secondhand information, but this is what I was told, and I think it tracks with other things we know. |
Date: November 4th, 2024 3:18 PM Author: River of Blood (Historical Faggot) All the Swing states Trump wins It's great Always I know Trump runs The show
Say it ain't so Libs will not vote Turn the Javits lights off Wilmington blows |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:19 PM Author: Donald MASE Trump NANANANANANANANANANA (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281507) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:21 PM Author: River of Blood (Historical Faggot) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281514) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:27 PM Author: Trump's Fatified Margin of Victory (gunneratttt) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48282223) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:20 PM Author: LathamTouchedMe Vickie Paladino! haha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281510) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:58 PM Author: .,..,.,.;,.,,:.,.,::,...,..,:,..;,.., you pee sitting down and fart cum from your asshole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281719) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:22 PM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... Oh wow, some minor Republican official claims to have talked to somebody. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281521) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:23 PM Author: LathamTouchedMe she's a local maga nutjob on the city council. nobody should ever take anything a nyc council member says seriously no matter party affiliation. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281533) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:27 PM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... Plus, regardless of party if you are looking to manufacture Twitter engagement out of thin air, this is exactly the way to do it.
Look- all of us know who this lady is now, even though there's absolutely nothing verifiable in anything she said. |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:22 PM Author: ....,,....,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.......,.,.,.,.,..,. I got excited then saw she's a GOP councilwoman. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281522) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:24 PM Author: richard clock im sure this woman who retweets "Insurrection Barbie" is giving it to us straight (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281537) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:30 PM Author: gibberish (?) Jfc that's nuts. Any links? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48282239) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:25 PM Author: squall I've got tons of democrat insider friends (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281541) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:25 PM Author: animeboi (.) This agrees with the chatter I've been hearing. Trump is a lock. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281545) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:30 PM Author: Paddy O'Wagon same (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281579) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:28 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband "We got this MASE": https://eastnewyork.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Vicki-Paladine-800x500.jpg |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:29 PM Author: Monday Preceding Apocalypse (No Future) Harlan Ellison in drag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281576) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:32 PM Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:; (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48282248) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:31 PM Author: Paddy O'Wagon remember this happened 2004? Kerry was told at like 10AM election day he had won based on early votes and exit polls. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281584) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:50 PM Author: Colonial Settler Dems bitched for YEARS that 2004 was stolen. RFK Jr. even wrote an article in Rolling Stone in 2007 arguing it was. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281683) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: haha made u look I was at a bus stop that afternoon and heard a guy bragging excitedly that Kerry was winning a landslide. I saw him a few days later wearing dirty clothes and smoking a cigarette. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281692) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 4:06 PM Author: River of Blood (Historical Faggot) His name was Albert Einstein (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281770) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 4:45 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48282001) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 4:42 PM Author: Epistemic Humility Yeah. No one here remembers anything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281974) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 4:41 PM Author: Epistemic Humility It’s very important that you look at this woman’s picture while reading this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48281972) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:28 PM Author: Hawk Taulia Tagovailoa (High Constitutional Moment) Trump with a republican senate and house... Whoop boy strap in. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5624721&forum_id=2#48282229) |