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rate russia’s “progress” in Ukraine over the last 30 months (link)

keeping in mind this has cost them a couple of hundred thous...
Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong
  04/02/25
Pure copium. It's a war of attrition and therefore inherentl...
Cyberpunk Age Pervert
  04/02/25
Ukraine is almost purely on the defensive now, so their casu...
Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong
  04/02/25
Ukraine suffered huge losses in Kursk and doesn't have the m...
Cyberpunk Age Pervert
  04/02/25
it lost a lot of equipment in Kursk, not men. the same units...
Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong
  04/02/25
No, it lost both. And those men were from its most elite uni...
Cyberpunk Age Pervert
  04/02/25
right, they were so fucking destroyed and that’s how t...
Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong
  04/02/25
I thought they were on the defensive, bro? Pick your schizoi...
.- .-. . .-. . .--. - .. .-.. .
  04/02/25
Michael Kofman, who I trust as a neutral and well-informed o...
LathamTouchedMe
  04/02/25
it looks like ukraine has dug into heavy fortifications behi...
Gary's Economics
  04/02/25
The 160k are just the typical draft callup. It happens every...
LathamTouchedMe
  04/02/25
they claimed they weren't using NK troops in Kursk either
Gary's Economics
  04/02/25
cr this idiot doesn’t even know the difference between...
Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong
  04/02/25
Russia does this once or twice a year; it's national militar...
The Mercantilist Policy April
  04/02/25
Kofman agrees that Ukraine is in a losing trajectory. It is ...
Cyberpunk Age Pervert
  04/02/25
Fascinating that these exact conversations - word for word -...
Muscadine wine
  04/02/25
Yep, but this time Russia learned its lesson -- they will AL...
.- .-. . .-. . .--. - .. .-.. .
  04/02/25
I don't see how you can win a war against endless drones tbh
daniel gay luis
  04/02/25
only if you have enough troops and materiel, which russia do...
Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong
  04/02/25


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Date: April 2nd, 2025 9:13 AM
Author: Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong (TDNW)

keeping in mind this has cost them a couple of hundred thousand troops, ten thousand armored vehicles, and thousands of other pieces of heavy equipment

https://x.com/ianbremmer/status/1907418006650568790

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48805921)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 9:14 AM
Author: Cyberpunk Age Pervert

Pure copium. It's a war of attrition and therefore inherently non-linear. Russia has had a clear advantage since last fall and will win the war if there isn't a settlement of some kind.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48805922)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 9:21 AM
Author: Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong (TDNW)

Ukraine is almost purely on the defensive now, so their casualties are down and quite sustainable for the foreseeable future. Ukrainian drones are wreaking havoc all along the front and russia is now losing far more materiel than they can replace, while losing lots of men for a lack of protection against the drones while they attack mostly on foot or in unprotected vehicles

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48805944)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 9:27 AM
Author: Cyberpunk Age Pervert

Ukraine suffered huge losses in Kursk and doesn't have the manpower it needs to stabilize the frontlines, nor is it able to eliminate enough Russian troops to overcome their replenishment. That is why the new cope is that the Russian economy will collapse before Ukraine.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48805958)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 9:31 AM
Author: Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong (TDNW)

it lost a lot of equipment in Kursk, not men. the same units that were in Kursk immediately invade Belgorod and hold ground there…

now that Europe is gearing up, Ukraine can be resupplied much better than the last 3 years. and their domestic production in certain areas is pretty damn good now (40 SPH guns per month for example)

the wild card is how hard Trump will slap russia’s economic peepee.. if Trump puts the hammer on them then their struggling economy could really shit the bed

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48805978)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 9:37 AM
Author: Cyberpunk Age Pervert

No, it lost both. And those men were from its most elite units. Let's be real here, Ukraine is fucked and has no future. It isn't getting into NATO. It isn't going to magically win in the end. It's over. It was probably over after Bakhmut and the refusal to sign a peace deal after their first successful counteroffensive.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806003)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 11:08 AM
Author: Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong (TDNW)

right, they were so fucking destroyed and that’s how the waltzed right into Belgorod lol

you are just regurgitating nonsense from two years ago thinking it’s relevant. keep it up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806326)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 11:21 AM
Author: .- .-. . .-. . .--. - .. .-.. .

I thought they were on the defensive, bro? Pick your schizoid version of Hahlostan but stick to it.

We will kill them all.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806359)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 11:31 AM
Author: LathamTouchedMe

Michael Kofman, who I trust as a neutral and well-informed observer, has noted that the lines are now pretty stable and UKR is in much better shape than last November. Russia was never able to capitalize on any major breakthrough and now you've got significant man-made defenses behind the UKR lines. Unless Putin is willing to do another major mobilization nothing will change.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806390)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 11:46 AM
Author: Gary's Economics

it looks like ukraine has dug into heavy fortifications behind the line of contact looking at satellite images.

but putin just announced he's calling up 160,000 more troops: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c36718p52eyo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806430)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 11:49 AM
Author: LathamTouchedMe

The 160k are just the typical draft callup. It happens every year. They don't get used on foreign soil.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806440)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 11:51 AM
Author: Gary's Economics

they claimed they weren't using NK troops in Kursk either

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806446)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 4:40 PM
Author: Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong (TDNW)

cr this idiot doesn’t even know the difference between conscription and mobilization

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48808076)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 11:51 AM
Author: The Mercantilist Policy April (No Future)

Russia does this once or twice a year; it's national military service. Not exactly news.

Theoretically Russian conscripts aren't supposed to go off and fight, although I imagine some of them wind up on the frontlines.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806447)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 11:52 AM
Author: Cyberpunk Age Pervert

Kofman agrees that Ukraine is in a losing trajectory. It is more stable relative to when Pokrovsk was about to collapse because of Russia finishing up in Kursk and Trump's negotiation push I think

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806452)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 12:06 PM
Author: Muscadine wine

Fascinating that these exact conversations - word for word - probably occurred 110 years ago, just different locations & belligerents.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806486)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 2:01 PM
Author: .- .-. . .-. . .--. - .. .-.. .

Yep, but this time Russia learned its lesson -- they will ALL die.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806991)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 2:02 PM
Author: daniel gay luis

I don't see how you can win a war against endless drones tbh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48806998)



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Date: April 2nd, 2025 4:42 PM
Author: Trump Tariffs Can Do No Wrong (TDNW)

only if you have enough troops and materiel, which russia doesn’t have

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5703569&forum_id=2#48808086)