The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 12/10/15 |
| Opaque Casino Masturbator | 12/12/15 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 01/02/17 |
| cordovan comical corner legal warrant | 01/06/16 |
| contagious rigor | 01/06/16 |
| contagious rigor | 06/05/16 |
| Topaz Indecent Institution Stock Car | 03/26/16 |
| Sable Alcoholic Menage Rigpig | 01/02/17 |
| Ultramarine splenetic theatre | 10/25/18 |
| Cerebral community account | 12/10/15 |
| rough-skinned piazza ape | 12/10/15 |
| orange outnumbered meetinghouse selfie | 12/10/15 |
| impressive appetizing antidepressant drug | 12/10/15 |
| Cheese-eating Twinkling Useless Brakes | 12/15/15 |
| Abusive flushed theater stage | 12/10/15 |
| Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band | 12/10/15 |
| Chocolate Zombie-like Windowlicker Business Firm | 12/10/15 |
| fighting principal's office toaster | 12/11/15 |
| Aquamarine Hot Pozpig Home | 12/12/15 |
| Awkward Preventive Strike Station | 12/16/15 |
| bisexual property | 01/04/16 |
| garnet cocky school place of business | 11/09/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 12/11/15 |
| shivering old irish cottage | 12/11/15 |
| azure crusty base shitlib | 12/11/15 |
| fighting principal's office toaster | 12/11/15 |
| coiffed abode mental disorder | 12/12/15 |
| costumed electric scourge upon the earth | 01/25/16 |
| House-broken rambunctious theater persian | 11/10/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 12/12/15 |
| copper dysfunction | 12/12/15 |
| dashing dead field | 12/12/15 |
| Aphrodisiac buck-toothed halford double fault | 12/12/15 |
| Tan Frum Codepig | 12/15/15 |
| harsh immigrant | 12/21/15 |
| irradiated sound barrier giraffe | 12/12/15 |
| light overrated sneaky criminal | 12/12/15 |
| Twisted locale boiling water | 12/12/15 |
| Low-t Brunch | 12/12/15 |
| ungodly ivory area mediation | 12/12/15 |
| Vermilion state | 12/12/15 |
| Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band | 12/15/15 |
| Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band | 12/16/15 |
| charismatic mexican | 12/15/15 |
| Alcoholic Thirsty Jew Center | 12/15/15 |
| trip hyperventilating library | 12/15/15 |
| pea-brained stage | 12/15/15 |
| Unholy Water Buffalo Half-breed | 12/15/15 |
| exhilarant cobalt national | 12/15/15 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 12/15/15 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 12/15/15 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 12/15/15 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 12/15/15 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 12/15/15 |
| Charcoal genital piercing | 01/05/16 |
| costumed electric scourge upon the earth | 01/25/16 |
| Supple bat-shit-crazy site | 12/17/16 |
| Ruby Resort Coffee Pot | 05/18/16 |
| carnelian mewling faggot firefighter | 08/12/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/09/16 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 11/09/16 |
| henna passionate nursing home generalized bond | 11/09/16 |
| Violet toilet seat digit ratio | 10/22/20 |
| sapphire market | 12/15/15 |
| Maniacal Lime Internal Respiration | 12/16/15 |
| angry hateful church building | 12/16/15 |
| Duck-like Walnut Mother | 12/16/15 |
| Fishy crotch | 12/16/15 |
| Fishy crotch | 12/17/15 |
| At-the-ready godawful gay wizard parlor | 12/18/15 |
| cordovan comical corner legal warrant | 01/06/16 |
| Sooty beady-eyed chapel faggotry | 12/18/15 |
| Fishy crotch | 12/21/15 |
| Fishy crotch | 12/21/15 |
| harsh immigrant | 12/21/15 |
| Fishy crotch | 12/30/15 |
| Fishy crotch | 12/30/15 |
| Fishy crotch | 01/04/16 |
| bisexual property | 01/04/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 01/05/16 |
| costumed electric scourge upon the earth | 01/25/16 |
| At-the-ready godawful gay wizard parlor | 01/05/16 |
| Stimulating haunted graveyard step-uncle's house | 01/05/16 |
| Indigo Gas Station | 01/05/16 |
| heady voyeur | 01/05/16 |
| avocado marvelous hominid stead | 01/05/16 |
| heady voyeur | 01/05/16 |
| cordovan comical corner legal warrant | 01/06/16 |
| heady voyeur | 01/06/16 |
| avocado marvelous hominid stead | 01/05/16 |
| carnelian mewling faggot firefighter | 01/06/16 |
| harsh immigrant | 01/07/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 01/08/16 |
| Transparent Office | 01/08/16 |
| harsh immigrant | 01/08/16 |
| At-the-ready godawful gay wizard parlor | 01/09/16 |
| harsh immigrant | 01/10/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 01/18/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 01/19/16 |
| At-the-ready godawful gay wizard parlor | 01/21/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 01/25/16 |
| Aggressive arousing yarmulke | 01/25/16 |
| costumed electric scourge upon the earth | 01/25/16 |
| Aggressive arousing yarmulke | 02/09/16 |
| Transparent Office | 09/06/16 |
| cordovan comical corner legal warrant | 11/05/18 |
| Provocative carmine kitchen | 01/29/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 02/01/16 |
| Narrow-minded Spectacular Heaven | 02/01/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 02/01/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 02/07/16 |
| Stimulating haunted graveyard step-uncle's house | 02/09/16 |
| grizzly laughsome pisswyrm | 02/09/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 02/20/16 |
| titillating citrine round eye | 02/20/16 |
| Ruby Resort Coffee Pot | 02/24/16 |
| Pale hideous telephone point | 02/24/16 |
| Cerise vibrant potus indian lodge | 02/27/16 |
| charismatic mexican | 03/09/16 |
| Ocher swashbuckling black woman ticket booth | 03/15/16 |
| orange outnumbered meetinghouse selfie | 03/15/16 |
| Alcoholic Thirsty Jew Center | 03/16/16 |
| bronze adventurous pistol garrison | 02/24/16 |
| vivacious friendly grandma | 02/24/16 |
| Alcoholic Thirsty Jew Center | 07/21/16 |
| submissive death wish chad | 02/24/16 |
| orange outnumbered meetinghouse selfie | 02/27/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/02/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/04/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/09/16 |
| Stimulating haunted graveyard step-uncle's house | 03/09/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/15/16 |
| Ruby Resort Coffee Pot | 03/15/16 |
| Turquoise violent affirmative action | 03/15/16 |
| brass sandwich temple | 03/15/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/16/16 |
| Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band | 03/16/16 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 03/23/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/23/16 |
| Twisted locale boiling water | 03/26/16 |
| very tactful hell | 03/26/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/26/16 |
| Charcoal genital piercing | 03/28/16 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 03/28/16 |
| rough-skinned piazza ape | 03/28/16 |
| carnelian mewling faggot firefighter | 08/12/16 |
| cordovan comical corner legal warrant | 11/05/18 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/28/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/29/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 03/29/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 03/29/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/29/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/29/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 04/01/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 04/04/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 04/15/16 |
| multi-colored tattoo box office | 04/15/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 04/19/16 |
| Honey-headed well-lubricated depressive | 04/20/16 |
| Aqua wrinkle | 04/20/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 04/24/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 04/25/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 04/26/16 |
| thriller hunting ground | 04/26/16 |
| Filthy amethyst turdskin candlestick maker | 04/30/16 |
| seedy canary dingle berry partner | 05/01/16 |
| seedy canary dingle berry partner | 11/07/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 05/02/16 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 05/02/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 05/03/16 |
| Haunting nighttime athletic conference university | 05/03/16 |
| Motley Salmon Church Fanboi | 05/03/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 05/04/16 |
| Transparent Office | 05/04/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 05/05/16 |
| Low-t Brunch | 05/05/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 05/05/16 |
| vivacious friendly grandma | 05/05/16 |
| copper dysfunction | 05/18/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 05/18/16 |
| Ruby Resort Coffee Pot | 05/18/16 |
| copper dysfunction | 05/18/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 05/29/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 06/20/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 06/29/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 07/14/16 |
| Wonderful bull headed philosopher-king pocket flask | 07/15/16 |
| carnelian mewling faggot firefighter | 07/15/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 07/17/16 |
| Transparent Office | 07/17/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 07/21/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 07/22/16 |
| Lavender Curious Striped Hyena | 07/22/16 |
| histrionic karate therapy | 07/23/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 07/24/16 |
| domesticated really tough guy | 07/25/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 07/25/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 07/27/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 08/05/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 08/09/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 08/12/16 |
| Transparent Office | 08/12/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 08/12/16 |
| clear concupiscible dog poop hospital | 08/12/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 08/30/16 |
| Transparent Office | 08/30/16 |
| Transparent Office | 09/06/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 09/13/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 09/14/16 |
| irradiated sound barrier giraffe | 09/14/16 |
| beta crystalline whorehouse | 09/15/16 |
| naked aromatic pit | 09/15/16 |
| contagious rigor | 09/15/16 |
| orchid balding police squad reading party | 09/15/16 |
| Federal coldplay fan forum | 09/15/16 |
| Mauve people who are hurt factory reset button | 09/19/16 |
| Mauve people who are hurt factory reset button | 09/19/16 |
| Transparent Office | 09/27/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 09/24/16 |
| Fishy crotch | 09/27/16 |
| Transparent Office | 09/27/16 |
| Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band | 09/27/16 |
| Mind-boggling Feces | 10/08/16 |
| Razzle pontificating party of the first part indirect expression | 07/29/24 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 09/28/16 |
| irradiated sound barrier giraffe | 09/28/16 |
| Transparent Office | 09/28/16 |
| Aqua wrinkle | 09/28/16 |
| multi-colored tattoo box office | 09/28/16 |
| Startled Dilemma Wagecucks | 10/08/16 |
| Transparent Office | 10/09/16 |
| Flatulent bawdyhouse circlehead | 10/09/16 |
| Transparent Office | 10/09/16 |
| Obsidian Know-it-all Blood Rage | 10/09/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 10/10/16 |
| domesticated really tough guy | 10/30/16 |
| carnelian mewling faggot firefighter | 11/01/16 |
| orchid balding police squad reading party | 11/01/16 |
| Anal quadroon stag film | 11/02/16 |
| pea-brained stage | 11/02/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 11/07/16 |
| maroon range | 11/08/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 11/08/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/08/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 11/08/16 |
| Autistic den mad-dog skullcap | 11/08/16 |
| Up-to-no-good multi-billionaire famous landscape painting | 11/08/16 |
| Narrow-minded Spectacular Heaven | 11/08/16 |
| Mauve people who are hurt factory reset button | 11/08/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/08/16 |
| burgundy alpha background story | 11/09/16 |
| beta crystalline whorehouse | 11/09/16 |
| Puce Main People National Security Agency | 11/09/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/09/16 |
| orchid balding police squad reading party | 11/09/16 |
| burgundy alpha background story | 11/09/16 |
| domesticated really tough guy | 11/09/16 |
| Low-t Brunch | 11/09/16 |
| Pink hairraiser lay queen of the night | 12/03/16 |
| House-broken rambunctious theater persian | 12/07/16 |
| Supple bat-shit-crazy site | 12/17/16 |
| Medicated hairy legs cruise ship | 10/11/24 |
| out-of-control nowag lodge | 11/09/16 |
| Fragrant associate | 11/09/16 |
| Mischievous space ratface | 11/09/16 |
| floppy offensive son of senegal | 11/09/16 |
| Pink hairraiser lay queen of the night | 11/09/16 |
| carnelian mewling faggot firefighter | 11/09/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/09/16 |
| copper dysfunction | 11/09/16 |
| Transparent Office | 11/09/16 |
| Galvanic travel guidebook shrine | 11/09/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/09/16 |
| Gold ladyboy twinkling uncleanness | 11/09/16 |
| demanding exciting filthpig personal credit line | 11/09/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/09/16 |
| impressive appetizing antidepressant drug | 11/09/16 |
| Sooty beady-eyed chapel faggotry | 11/10/16 |
| Aggressive arousing yarmulke | 11/10/16 |
| contagious rigor | 11/10/16 |
| startling parlour knife | 11/10/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/10/16 |
| judgmental house volcanic crater | 11/10/16 |
| titillating citrine round eye | 11/10/16 |
| Mauve people who are hurt factory reset button | 11/14/16 |
| elite ebony senate kitty | 11/14/16 |
| 180 milky deer antler stage | 12/04/16 |
| Supple bat-shit-crazy site | 12/17/16 |
| Medicated hairy legs cruise ship | 10/11/24 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/25/16 |
| Self-absorbed big rehab | 12/03/16 |
| Obsidian Know-it-all Blood Rage | 12/04/16 |
| Excitant tanning salon | 12/07/16 |
| contagious rigor | 12/07/16 |
| Self-absorbed big rehab | 12/07/16 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 01/02/17 |
| bateful hall | 01/02/17 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 01/02/17 |
| bateful hall | 01/02/17 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 03/03/20 |
| contagious rigor | 01/02/17 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 01/16/17 |
| bateful hall | 01/20/17 |
| Fishy crotch | 01/20/17 |
| bateful hall | 01/23/17 |
| Startled Dilemma Wagecucks | 01/23/17 |
| bateful hall | 01/23/17 |
| Crimson Newt | 01/23/17 |
| Startled Dilemma Wagecucks | 01/23/17 |
| bateful hall | 01/23/17 |
| bateful hall | 01/25/17 |
| bateful hall | 01/26/17 |
| bateful hall | 02/06/17 |
| bateful hall | 02/13/17 |
| bateful hall | 02/27/17 |
| bateful hall | 05/03/17 |
| Fishy crotch | 05/03/17 |
| bateful hall | 09/21/17 |
| orange outnumbered meetinghouse selfie | 01/23/17 |
| orchid balding police squad reading party | 02/27/17 |
| cordovan comical corner legal warrant | 03/22/17 |
| Fishy crotch | 04/17/17 |
| Fishy crotch | 05/08/17 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 06/20/17 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 08/10/17 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 10/15/17 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 10/15/17 |
| Razzmatazz nudist becky dopamine | 10/15/17 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/06/17 |
| boyish umber location sweet tailpipe | 11/06/17 |
| glittery idiotic native | 11/08/17 |
| talented navy crackhouse | 11/08/17 |
| big-titted mad cow disease | 11/13/17 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 12/18/17 |
| Transparent Office | 12/18/17 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 12/18/17 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 01/30/18 |
| contagious rigor | 06/01/18 |
| Fishy crotch | 07/18/18 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 07/19/18 |
| Federal coldplay fan forum | 09/20/18 |
| Fishy crotch | 09/25/18 |
| rough-skinned piazza ape | 10/06/18 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 10/06/18 |
| contagious rigor | 10/25/18 |
| naked aromatic pit | 10/25/18 |
| costumed electric scourge upon the earth | 11/05/18 |
| contagious rigor | 11/05/18 |
| cordovan comical corner legal warrant | 11/05/18 |
| contagious rigor | 11/05/18 |
| Fishy crotch | 01/08/19 |
| Diverse yellow public bath | 02/23/19 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 03/13/19 |
| costumed electric scourge upon the earth | 06/24/19 |
| sadistic vigorous jap | 06/24/19 |
| Fishy crotch | 11/18/19 |
| orchid balding police squad reading party | 02/12/20 |
| Fishy crotch | 02/12/20 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 03/24/20 |
| Painfully Honest Boltzmann Private Investor | 03/24/20 |
| Wonderful bull headed philosopher-king pocket flask | 04/04/20 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 04/26/20 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 05/13/20 |
| Wonderful bull headed philosopher-king pocket flask | 06/05/20 |
| razzle-dazzle idea he suggested | 06/05/20 |
| Wonderful bull headed philosopher-king pocket flask | 09/09/20 |
| orchid balding police squad reading party | 09/09/20 |
| Cerebral community account | 09/09/20 |
| scarlet jewess messiness | 09/12/20 |
| primrose adulterous set goal in life | 09/24/20 |
| sadistic vigorous jap | 10/09/20 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 10/10/20 |
| cracking unhinged school cafeteria | 10/22/20 |
| Pink hairraiser lay queen of the night | 10/22/20 |
| Violet toilet seat digit ratio | 10/22/20 |
| Violet toilet seat digit ratio | 10/22/20 |
| Geriatric Plum Plaza | 03/23/22 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 10/27/20 |
| cordovan comical corner legal warrant | 10/27/20 |
| sadistic vigorous jap | 10/30/20 |
| Racy boistinker orchestra pit | 11/03/20 |
| Fishy crotch | 03/22/22 |
| Slippery spot gaping | 03/23/22 |
| Pearly Trailer Park Degenerate | 03/23/22 |
| Soul-stirring Sanctuary | 03/23/22 |
| Fishy crotch | 07/25/22 |
| Cerebral community account | 07/25/22 |
| Fishy crotch | 10/23/22 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 11/16/22 |
| Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus | 04/25/23 |
| copper dysfunction | 04/25/23 |
| primrose adulterous set goal in life | 04/29/23 |
| Razzle pontificating party of the first part indirect expression | 05/28/23 |
| Fishy crotch | 02/22/24 |
| primrose adulterous set goal in life | 02/23/24 |
| Fishy crotch | 05/23/24 |
| Fishy crotch | 08/26/24 |
| primrose adulterous set goal in life | 09/13/24 |
| Cerebral community account | 09/13/24 |
| primrose adulterous set goal in life | 10/18/24 |
| Medicated hairy legs cruise ship | 10/11/24 |
| lfo | 11/06/24 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
 |
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Opaque Casino Masturbator (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364653) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284620) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: cordovan comical corner legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532817) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: contagious rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532846) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: contagious rigor another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30631018) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: Topaz Indecent Institution Stock Car 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144195) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: Sable Alcoholic Menage Rigpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284612) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: Ultramarine splenetic theatre "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: Cerebral community account (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351706) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: rough-skinned piazza ape 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351728) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: orange outnumbered meetinghouse selfie 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351742) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: impressive appetizing antidepressant drug Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351744) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: Cheese-eating Twinkling Useless Brakes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384172) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: Abusive flushed theater stage FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351749) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351753) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: Chocolate Zombie-like Windowlicker Business Firm Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: fighting principal's office toaster (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359932) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Aquamarine Hot Pozpig Home Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364985) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Awkward Preventive Strike Station Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392387) |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: bisexual property Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: garnet cocky school place of business (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854764) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359811) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: shivering old irish cottage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359818) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: azure crusty base shitlib 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359849) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: fighting principal's office toaster November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359926) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: coiffed abode mental disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364617) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: costumed electric scourge upon the earth Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677834) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: House-broken rambunctious theater persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866880) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364607) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: copper dysfunction (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364621) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: dashing dead field lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364630) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: Aphrodisiac buck-toothed halford double fault March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: Tan Frum Codepig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384155) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: harsh immigrant 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429271) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: irradiated sound barrier giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364847) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: light overrated sneaky criminal lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364873) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: Twisted locale boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364887) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: Low-t Brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364890) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: ungodly ivory area mediation Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364896) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: Vermilion state Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364933) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383835) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: charismatic mexican 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383898) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Alcoholic Thirsty Jew Center fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383961) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: trip hyperventilating library I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384107) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: pea-brained stage 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384183) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Unholy Water Buffalo Half-breed February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: exhilarant cobalt national You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384207) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384231) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384237) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384254) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384262) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Charcoal genital piercing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525662) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: costumed electric scourge upon the earth Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677869) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Supple bat-shit-crazy site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165246) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: Ruby Resort Coffee Pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504262) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: carnelian mewling faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172544) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846270) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846325) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: henna passionate nursing home generalized bond Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Violet toilet seat digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167037) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: sapphire market This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384232) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: Maniacal Lime Internal Respiration 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392396) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: angry hateful church building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392414) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: Duck-like Walnut Mother Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392427) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: Fishy crotch Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
|
Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: Fishy crotch Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: At-the-ready godawful gay wizard parlor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411300) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: cordovan comical corner legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532836) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: Sooty beady-eyed chapel faggotry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411342) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: Fishy crotch Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: Fishy crotch "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: harsh immigrant 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429241) |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Fishy crotch "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Fishy crotch One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: Fishy crotch This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: bisexual property flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29519032) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525598) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: costumed electric scourge upon the earth Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677890) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: At-the-ready godawful gay wizard parlor From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: Stimulating haunted graveyard step-uncle's house 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531444) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Indigo Gas Station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531475) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: heady voyeur An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531481) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: avocado marvelous hominid stead 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531500) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: heady voyeur I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: cordovan comical corner legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532843) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: heady voyeur Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29535993) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: avocado marvelous hominid stead No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531557) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: carnelian mewling faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532829) |
|
Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: harsh immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29546163) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: Fishy crotch “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: Transparent Office 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29551314) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: harsh immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29554010) |
|
Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: At-the-ready godawful gay wizard parlor http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29559692) |
|
Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: harsh immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29566112) |
|
Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: Fishy crotch http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29622950) |
|
Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: Fishy crotch Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
|
Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: At-the-ready godawful gay wizard parlor looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677719) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: Aggressive arousing yarmulke 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677863) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: costumed electric scourge upon the earth You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677913) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: Aggressive arousing yarmulke No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791782) |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Transparent Office (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345881) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: cordovan comical corner legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162047) |
|
Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: Provocative carmine kitchen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29708433) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727124) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: Narrow-minded Spectacular Heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727197) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29732588) |
|
Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29771453) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: Stimulating haunted graveyard step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791735) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: grizzly laughsome pisswyrm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791763) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877406) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: titillating citrine round eye OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877434) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: Ruby Resort Coffee Pot PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903568) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: Pale hideous telephone point The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903615) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: Cerise vibrant potus indian lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931652) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: charismatic mexican (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015868) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Ocher swashbuckling black woman ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066562) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: orange outnumbered meetinghouse selfie (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066681) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: Alcoholic Thirsty Jew Center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070592) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: bronze adventurous pistol garrison hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: vivacious friendly grandma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904083) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: Alcoholic Thirsty Jew Center (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987707) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: submissive death wish chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904074) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: orange outnumbered meetinghouse selfie (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931637) |
|
Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29960115) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29976826) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015799) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: Stimulating haunted graveyard step-uncle's house yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015891) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065629) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: Ruby Resort Coffee Pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065970) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: Turquoise violent affirmative action (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066291) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: brass sandwich temple truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066549) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: Fishy crotch It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070601) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119676) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119337) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: Twisted locale boiling water http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140474) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: very tactful hell Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140513) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144174) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Charcoal genital piercing jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151942) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151965) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: rough-skinned piazza ape (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151975) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: carnelian mewling faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172540) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: cordovan comical corner legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162050) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: Fishy crotch "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: Fishy crotch "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30160689) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30161654) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: Fishy crotch http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30163086) |
|
Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: Fishy crotch http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30183235) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: Fishy crotch "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
|
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: multi-colored tattoo box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30279158) |
|
Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30307876) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: Honey-headed well-lubricated depressive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310760) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: Aqua wrinkle I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310807) |
|
Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30335375) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30346848) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353572) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: thriller hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353587) |
|
Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: Filthy amethyst turdskin candlestick maker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30378951) |
|
Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: seedy canary dingle berry partner Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: seedy canary dingle berry partner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825048) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30392947) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30393360) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: Fishy crotch The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: Haunting nighttime athletic conference university holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30398720) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: Motley Salmon Church Fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30402170) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405223) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Transparent Office 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405346) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: Fishy crotch Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: Low-t Brunch Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412976) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412844) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: vivacious friendly grandma Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412994) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: copper dysfunction This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504267) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504223) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Ruby Resort Coffee Pot In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504268) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: copper dysfunction cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504274) |
|
Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30583536) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30746085) |
|
Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: Fishy crotch Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
|
Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: Fishy crotch http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30924907) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: Wonderful bull headed philosopher-king pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933127) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: carnelian mewling faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933205) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956384) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: Transparent Office 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956397) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Fishy crotch http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987656) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999290) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: Lavender Curious Striped Hyena (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999301) |
|
Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: histrionic karate therapy Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31006876) |
|
Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31020363) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: domesticated really tough guy Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31022942) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31023351) |
|
Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31043518) |
|
Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31113817) |
|
Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: Fishy crotch http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: Transparent Office holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172565) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172569) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: clear concupiscible dog poop hospital LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172627) |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: Transparent Office 180 i want 2 believe |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Transparent Office lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345879) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: Fishy crotch Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404088) |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: irradiated sound barrier giraffe Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404101) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: beta crystalline whorehouse September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: naked aromatic pit September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: contagious rigor god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413930) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: orchid balding police squad reading party XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413938) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: Federal coldplay fan forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413954) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Mauve people who are hurt factory reset button (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443744) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Mauve people who are hurt factory reset button The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443779) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Transparent Office let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503555) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31482152) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: Fishy crotch http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503552) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Transparent Office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503554) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Sepia cruel-hearted address elastic band This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503556) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: Mind-boggling Feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592208) |
|
Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: Razzle pontificating party of the first part indirect expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47906632) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: irradiated sound barrier giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511665) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: Transparent Office 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511673) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: Aqua wrinkle This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31512070) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: multi-colored tattoo box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31513385) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: Startled Dilemma Wagecucks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592192) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Transparent Office hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594952) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Flatulent bawdyhouse circlehead Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594953) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Transparent Office doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594954) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Obsidian Know-it-all Blood Rage half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594956) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
|
|
Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: domesticated really tough guy close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31763265) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: carnelian mewling faggot firefighter Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31772625) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: orchid balding police squad reading party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31777531) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: Anal quadroon stag film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31782180) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: pea-brained stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31786832) |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825019) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: maroon range You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833310) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833315) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31839758) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844114) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: Autistic den mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31842891) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: Up-to-no-good multi-billionaire famous landscape painting Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: Narrow-minded Spectacular Heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31843660) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Mauve people who are hurt factory reset button (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844292) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844674) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: burgundy alpha background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846281) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: beta crystalline whorehouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846326) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: Puce Main People National Security Agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846448) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848552) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: orchid balding police squad reading party GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848608) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: burgundy alpha background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848693) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: domesticated really tough guy it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848755) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: Low-t Brunch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848775) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: Pink hairraiser lay queen of the night (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044462) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: House-broken rambunctious theater persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076291) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Supple bat-shit-crazy site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165256) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Medicated hairy legs cruise ship (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187313) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: out-of-control nowag lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848725) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: Fragrant associate Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849301) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: Mischievous space ratface (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849447) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: floppy offensive son of senegal 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: Pink hairraiser lay queen of the night (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31851790) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: carnelian mewling faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31852918) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854576) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: copper dysfunction this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854584) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: Transparent Office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855383) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: Galvanic travel guidebook shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855482) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863076) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Gold ladyboy twinkling uncleanness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863082) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: demanding exciting filthpig personal credit line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863093) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: impressive appetizing antidepressant drug you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863503) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: Sooty beady-eyed chapel faggotry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866924) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: Aggressive arousing yarmulke Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868448) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: contagious rigor bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866864) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: startling parlour knife (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31867005) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: judgmental house volcanic crater ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868235) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: titillating citrine round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868543) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Mauve people who are hurt factory reset button (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907692) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: elite ebony senate kitty They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907697) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: 180 milky deer antler stage Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055646) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Supple bat-shit-crazy site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165261) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Medicated hairy legs cruise ship (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187317) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31989410) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: Self-absorbed big rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044435) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: Obsidian Know-it-all Blood Rage GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055631) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: Excitant tanning salon https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076268) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: contagious rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076292) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: Self-absorbed big rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076345) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284600) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: bateful hall October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284631) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: bateful hall ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
|
Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39686962) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: contagious rigor truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284649) |
|
Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32389095) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: bateful hall https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32412323) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32416346) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: bateful hall http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Startled Dilemma Wagecucks TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441222) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: bateful hall It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441238) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: Crimson Newt I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: Startled Dilemma Wagecucks it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: bateful hall The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441319) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: bateful hall https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32458110) |
|
Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: bateful hall https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32466804) |
|
Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: bateful hall https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32560776) |
|
Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: bateful hall https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32612572) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: bateful hall https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714310) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: bateful hall https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33221553) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33222883) |
|
Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: bateful hall https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34257967) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: orange outnumbered meetinghouse selfie this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441221) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: orchid balding police squad reading party One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714399) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: cordovan comical corner legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32891711) |
|
Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33097887) |
|
Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: Fishy crotch https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33256991) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33605191) |
|
Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449074) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449102) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: Razzmatazz nudist becky dopamine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449138) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615930) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: boyish umber location sweet tailpipe credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615959) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: glittery idiotic native (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636123) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: talented navy crackhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636459) |
|
Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: big-titted mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34673088) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948560) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: Transparent Office Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948572) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34950581) |
|
Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#35278621) |
|
Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: contagious rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36168381) |
|
Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Fishy crotch https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36451135) |
|
Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36458802) |
|
Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: Federal coldplay fan forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36847087) |
|
Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: Fishy crotch The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: rough-skinned piazza ape It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973680) |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973690) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: contagious rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090167) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: naked aromatic pit Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090191) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: costumed electric scourge upon the earth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161974) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: contagious rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161955) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: cordovan comical corner legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162045) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: contagious rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37167335) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: Fishy crotch What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37553376) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: Diverse yellow public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37833345) |
|
Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
|
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: costumed electric scourge upon the earth There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431500) |
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: sadistic vigorous jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431431) |
|
Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39135638) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: orchid balding police squad reading party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583415) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583624) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849854) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: Painfully Honest Boltzmann Private Investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849877) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: Wonderful bull headed philosopher-king pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39938878) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40097972) |
|
Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: Wonderful bull headed philosopher-king pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40354730) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: razzle-dazzle idea he suggested (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40355911) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: Wonderful bull headed philosopher-king pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896459) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: orchid balding police squad reading party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896523) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: Cerebral community account Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896526) |
|
Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: scarlet jewess messiness (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40908695) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: primrose adulterous set goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40977795) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: sadistic vigorous jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41079968) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41088157) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: cracking unhinged school cafeteria (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166967) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: Pink hairraiser lay queen of the night (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166990) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Violet toilet seat digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167039) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: Violet toilet seat digit ratio https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167053) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: Geriatric Plum Plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203011) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41200021) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: cordovan comical corner legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41202581) |
|
Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: sadistic vigorous jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41222868) |
|
Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: Racy boistinker orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41261120) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44196611) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: Slippery spot gaping (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202968) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: Pearly Trailer Park Degenerate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202984) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: Soul-stirring Sanctuary 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203017) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911871) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Cerebral community account A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911874) |
|
Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#45378008) |
|
Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: Odious Embarrassed To The Bone Locus https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237455) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: copper dysfunction why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237460) |
|
Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: primrose adulterous set goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46252623) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: Razzle pontificating party of the first part indirect expression FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
|
Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47428670) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: primrose adulterous set goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47430198) |
|
Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: Fishy crotch https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
|
Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: Fishy crotch (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48010724) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: primrose adulterous set goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087201) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: Cerebral community account One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087224) |
|
Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: primrose adulterous set goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48211967) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: Medicated hairy legs cruise ship (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187302) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: lfo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48296972) |