\
  The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
BackRefresh Options Favorite

Wow Kamala nominee odds skyrocketing on PredictIt

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-t...
"''"'"'""'""
  07/02/24
You guys should really be paying attention to this. She&rsqu...
"''"'"'""'""
  07/02/24
A-ooga. I agree if that's accurate.
,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................
  07/02/24
...
cock of michael obama
  07/02/24
who
death grip dead bed
  07/02/24
The Vice President of the United States
"''"'"'""'""
  07/02/24
...
kamala harris
  07/02/24
Dem governors all said they hadn't heard from Biden since th...
Gloostick
  07/02/24
Yeah some of the statements from more high profile dems are ...
cannon
  07/02/24
That’s not enough to be driving this movement. Somethi...
"''"'"'""'""
  07/02/24
She also said she was hearing “mixed signals” on...
cannon
  07/02/24
Lol he didn’t campaign at all last time. He just won
No Paye No Gain
  07/02/24
Insiders already know it's happening and are betting big.
MASE
  07/02/24
Does Biden resign or finish his term
Lionel Tiger
  07/02/24
Obviously finishes his term, gives Kamala the freedom to cam...
MASE
  07/02/24
She's not a viable opponent to Trump unless she gets sworn i...
Pajeet Navidad
  07/02/24
...
libclubber
  07/02/24
polls i saw kamala was polling same as biden in election but...
AZNgirl realizing China Handsome
  07/02/24
https://media1.tenor.com/images/54451401d52c0dd2fe9ee5752857...
biglaw associate asking if link is worksafe @ 11pm
  07/02/24
and when she loses they can blame it on racism
UhOh
  07/02/24
for a lot of practical reasons it would have to be her and n...
"""'""""''
  07/02/24
bombay shanequa is incredibly unpopular though including amo...
cock of michael obama
  07/02/24
Biden at 52 cents seems like a steal. Still hard to believe ...
Big Clique Energy
  07/02/24
He will step aside and support and campaign for his Vice Pre...
"''"'"'""'""
  07/02/24
what next administration?
McDonald's Douglas Value Meal
  07/02/24
bombay shanequa is incredibly unpopular, why replace dementi...
cock of michael obama
  07/02/24
The odds aren't really moving on any other markets, could be...
Bronus Swagner
  07/02/24
Fair point. I’m not familiar with other markets though...
"''"'"'""'""
  07/02/24
Right after the debate, the people with first access to the ...
New Here, First Day
  07/02/24
Who the fuck is Shapiro?
"''"'"'""'""
  07/02/24
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Pennsylvania_gubernatoria...
New Here, First Day
  07/02/24
So how much do you get for these 1 cent guys? If I put 1k on...
average/ordinary/typical citizen/person
  07/02/24
after PI fees and taxes more like 50K but essentially yes
A lawyer (or lower)
  07/02/24
I think the most you can put down is $850. Then they take 1...
Bronus Swagner
  07/02/24
850? so i cant move markets by slapping down 10k?
wangfei
  07/02/24
Nope
Bronus Swagner
  07/02/24
Predictit is dumb flame it's Redditors betting on politics
baseball fan
  07/02/24
then you can make free $$ by betting against them
A lawyer (or lower)
  07/02/24
Biden barely favored against the field just about everywhere...
Bronus Swagner
  07/02/24
wow look at the odds now
"''"'"'""'""
  07/03/24
IT'S 👏 HER 👏 TURN 👏
AI_concubine
  07/03/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:13 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47801977)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:18 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

You guys should really be paying attention to this. She’s up 23 in the past 90 minutes. Something is going on.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47801993)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:44 PM
Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................


A-ooga. I agree if that's accurate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802122)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:48 PM
Author: cock of michael obama



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802148)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:18 PM
Author: death grip dead bed

who

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47801995)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:25 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

The Vice President of the United States

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802022)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:39 PM
Author: kamala harris



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802388)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:29 PM
Author: Gloostick

Dem governors all said they hadn't heard from Biden since the debate

Pelosi said the same

Clyburn said he would support Harris

Polling came out today suggesting that Harris polls the best out of Biden and the random governors (Whitmer, Newsom, etc.). By which I mean she's only losing by 2% nationally instead of like 6%

She's the only one who could just take over the existing $$$ and thousands of people hired to work the campaign.

The pipe dream of the magical Great White Hope democrat who can be jammed in to save the day is fading and dems are starting to realize it's either "ride with Joe" or YASSS KWEEN KAMALA.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802044)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:39 PM
Author: cannon

Yeah some of the statements from more high profile dems are changing

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4751972-pelosi-biden-debate-performance/mlite/

Pelosi: Fair to ask if Biden has a ‘condition’ or debate was ‘an episode’

Former Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) admitted Tuesday that it would be fair for voters to ask if President Biden has a condition or if last week’s debate performance was just “an episode.”

Pelosi joined MSNBC’s Andrea Mitchell Tuesday to discuss the fallout from Biden’s lackluster debate performance and the panic among Democrats about his ability to beat former President Trump in the election this fall.

“I think it’s a legitimate question to say is this an episode or is this a condition,” she said. “And so, when people ask that question [it is] legitimate.”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802085)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:39 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

That’s not enough to be driving this movement. Something else is going on.

Newsome odds have barely changed. Kamala odds are up BIG

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802095)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:41 PM
Author: cannon

She also said she was hearing “mixed signals” on whether he was up to a grueling fall campaign

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802105)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:11 PM
Author: No Paye No Gain

Lol he didn’t campaign at all last time. He just won

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802256)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:42 PM
Author: MASE

Insiders already know it's happening and are betting big.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802108)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:43 PM
Author: Lionel Tiger

Does Biden resign or finish his term

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802120)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:44 PM
Author: MASE

Obviously finishes his term, gives Kamala the freedom to campaign and he'll say something like "I'm healthy enough to finish out my term but the people have spoken and I don't have four more years left in me"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802127)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:20 PM
Author: Pajeet Navidad

She's not a viable opponent to Trump unless she gets sworn in IMHO

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802299)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:44 PM
Author: libclubber (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802123)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:47 PM
Author: AZNgirl realizing China Handsome

polls i saw kamala was polling same as biden in election but had higher approval rating

its time for our RAJA KAMALA QUEEN

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802143)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:31 PM
Author: biglaw associate asking if link is worksafe @ 11pm

https://media1.tenor.com/images/54451401d52c0dd2fe9ee5752857d53c/tenor.gif?itemid=3579864

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802054)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:32 PM
Author: UhOh

and when she loses they can blame it on racism

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802057)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:43 PM
Author: """'""""''

for a lot of practical reasons it would have to be her and not Newsom, the main 3 are:

1) more legit as she is already part of the ticket that amassed the most delegates. an outsider like newsom would look more like a backroom deal.

2) she has access to funds raised by Biden/Kamala.

3) if it's not her when she's VP right now it would piss of dem black women.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802115)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:47 PM
Author: cock of michael obama

bombay shanequa is incredibly unpopular though including among dems, what would the point be

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802146)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:44 PM
Author: Big Clique Energy

Biden at 52 cents seems like a steal. Still hard to believe they’ll shove him aside. I have to think Jill, Klain, etc. are warning Dems if they support removing him they’ll be blacklisted in the next administration.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802126)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:51 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

He will step aside and support and campaign for his Vice President

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802165)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 3:55 PM
Author: McDonald's Douglas Value Meal

what next administration?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802733)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:48 PM
Author: cock of michael obama

bombay shanequa is incredibly unpopular, why replace dementia joe with her unless dementia joe is right about to die?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802150)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:49 PM
Author: Bronus Swagner

The odds aren't really moving on any other markets, could be some kind of manipulation effort

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802157)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 1:53 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

Fair point. I’m not familiar with other markets though or how legit they are. I know PredictIt reacts instantaneously though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802175)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:02 PM
Author: New Here, First Day

Right after the debate, the people with first access to the microphone (white limousine liberals in the press) all pushed for Newsom and to a lesser extent Whitmer. Newsom and Whitmer have been running shadow campaigns the whole time, Biden shat the bed, everyone knows he needs to be replaced, and Newsom's odds in particular shot up.

Within 24-48 hours, there was backlash from the second group to the mic (Blacks) who are the most important block in the Democratic party. Can't pass over Harris. Newsom's odds went right back down, as did Harris's, and Biden's went back up. Also Biden made it clear that if he was going to back off, Harris was next in line. It probably helped that Harris immediately came to a forceful defense of Biden right after the debate.

Now the UMC libs seem to realize they can't force Blacks to go with Newsom or Whitmer or Shapiro, so they are reluctantly going to back Harris. We are getting a growing stream of Biden-neutral sentiment from elected D politicians, joining the press that was already questioning his fitness. Still waiting for the big dogs to stab Biden in the back, but people are sharpening their knives.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802210)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:05 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

Who the fuck is Shapiro?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802225)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:09 PM
Author: New Here, First Day

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Pennsylvania_gubernatorial_election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802247)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:03 PM
Author: average/ordinary/typical citizen/person

So how much do you get for these 1 cent guys? If I put 1k on Sherrod Brown I can get 100K?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802217)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:05 PM
Author: A lawyer (or lower)

after PI fees and taxes more like 50K but essentially yes

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802227)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:14 PM
Author: Bronus Swagner

I think the most you can put down is $850. Then they take 10% of the profit and have an insane 5% withdrawal fee

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802271)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:17 PM
Author: wangfei

850? so i cant move markets by slapping down 10k?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802285)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:36 PM
Author: Bronus Swagner

Nope

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802372)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 2:21 PM
Author: baseball fan

Predictit is dumb flame it's Redditors betting on politics

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802302)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 3:50 PM
Author: A lawyer (or lower)

then you can make free $$ by betting against them

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47802718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 2nd, 2024 6:16 PM
Author: Bronus Swagner

Biden barely favored against the field just about everywhere now:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/democratic-nomination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47803290)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 3rd, 2024 11:36 AM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

wow look at the odds now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47805426)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 3rd, 2024 11:40 AM
Author: AI_concubine

IT'S 👏 HER 👏 TURN 👏

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5549129&forum_id=2#47805448)