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We just went over 1,000 dead for the day. 2nd day in a row. 6100+ total.

:(
vigorous market
  04/02/20
Worldometer has today at 968 new deaths, no?
Purple spot
  04/02/20
That lags. I've got it at 1078.
vigorous market
  04/02/20
You sure you'e not selectively choosing the highest source e...
Purple spot
  04/02/20
Positive. Fact check me tomorrow morning when they revise...
vigorous market
  04/02/20
I do trust that you are probably a MFE at the numbers.
Purple spot
  04/02/20
Consider yourself fact-checked: <><><>NORE...
wild masturbator field
  04/03/20
So, over 1000 died yesterday in USA. For some reason I haven...
vigorous market
  04/03/20
Classic Rudolph. You were late to the party (we all figured...
wild masturbator field
  04/03/20
...
appetizing rehab place of business
  04/03/20
...
appetizing rehab place of business
  04/02/20
Worldmeters roll over on GMT so it’s a little diff tha...
Lime Hyperventilating Jewess Hall
  04/03/20
my guess is we peak around 2000/day
rough-skinned doctorate
  04/02/20
We could easily peak at 4,000 - 6,000 deaths per day just ba...
curious tripping quadroon pozpig
  04/02/20
I'm hoping for 1800, but it could be much higher
vigorous market
  04/02/20
I hope it's not going any higher. Wtf?
wild masturbator field
  04/02/20
Cr
Erotic Trailer Park Deer Antler
  04/02/20
...
comical whorehouse
  04/02/20
Lol
appetizing rehab place of business
  04/02/20
...
slimy mahogany nowag lodge
  04/02/20
I don't think it's going to get better there are probably to...
Razzle-dazzle maize nursing home
  04/02/20
There are 5,421 in serious or critical condition in the US c...
vigorous market
  04/02/20
All those fags are dead meat
Razzle-dazzle maize nursing home
  04/02/20
Not so bad. Was put on a new matter this morning. It’s...
primrose blood rage
  04/02/20
Only 968! It's a miracle!
wild masturbator field
  04/02/20
At least twice as many people are dying per day than what is...
Copper casino
  04/02/20
im gay
fishy frum orchestra pit national security agency
  04/02/20
...
Copper casino
  04/02/20
how gay?
adulterous parlour mad-dog skullcap
  04/02/20
...
Cordovan Pontificating Den Tank
  04/02/20
Where r the bodies
Insanely creepy adventurous piazza famous landscape painting
  04/03/20
fraudvirus suspiciously quiet on this one.
lemon stirring people who are hurt
  04/02/20
6.6M unemployed!
Lascivious potus
  04/02/20
At least 75k of them will die of drug overdoses. Thanks ...
Purple spot
  04/02/20
Okay, now do crosstabs by age. Boomers are checking out fiv...
stimulating giraffe
  04/02/20
link?
adulterous parlour mad-dog skullcap
  04/02/20
NYC: https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid...
stimulating giraffe
  04/02/20
good portion of senior management everywhere is 50+
Embarrassed To The Bone Electric Rigor
  04/02/20
Sounds great, they refused to retire so now they'll "...
stimulating giraffe
  04/02/20
these ppl also all HATE WFH
Embarrassed To The Bone Electric Rigor
  04/02/20
...
White hairy legs
  04/03/20
...
stimulating giraffe
  04/03/20
...
coiffed dark hissy fit
  04/03/20
and we'll get a projected 40k-200k dead, mostly olds, mostly...
garnet floppy crackhouse private investor
  04/02/20
Does that account for deaths that didn't occur due to quaran...
Light slap-happy theater stage
  04/03/20
only 857 today
opaque goal in life
  04/03/20
Projection last week was 10K deaths by today
mildly autistic stubborn area roast beef
  04/03/20
So off by one or two days?
wild masturbator field
  04/03/20
a one week forward model off by 2 days seems a bit high, par...
mildly autistic stubborn area roast beef
  04/03/20


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 8:40 PM
Author: vigorous market

:(

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927764)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 8:41 PM
Author: Purple spot

Worldometer has today at 968 new deaths, no?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927769)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 8:43 PM
Author: vigorous market

That lags. I've got it at 1078.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927788)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:36 PM
Author: Purple spot

You sure you'e not selectively choosing the highest source each day so that your "reality" matches your neuroses?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928159)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:38 PM
Author: vigorous market

Positive.

Fact check me tomorrow morning when they revise the number.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928171)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 10:11 PM
Author: Purple spot

I do trust that you are probably a MFE at the numbers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928464)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 1:42 PM
Author: wild masturbator field

Consider yourself fact-checked: <><><>NOREVISIONS<><><>

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39932261)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 1:47 PM
Author: vigorous market

So, over 1000 died yesterday in USA. For some reason I haven't figure out, they dumped many of them into today which is why it is at 716 already today. I think it might be when they do the day cutoff and then certain states report after.

Doesn't seem consistent on a day by day basis though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39932309)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 3:49 PM
Author: wild masturbator field

Classic Rudolph. You were late to the party (we all figured out the reporting rules last week in another thread having this debate) and then, based on a one-day aberration, you projected into the future.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39933157)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 5:08 PM
Author: appetizing rehab place of business



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39933777)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 10:14 PM
Author: appetizing rehab place of business



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928486)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 12:24 AM
Author: Lime Hyperventilating Jewess Hall

Worldmeters roll over on GMT so it’s a little diff than what Rudolph says

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39929418)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 8:41 PM
Author: rough-skinned doctorate

my guess is we peak around 2000/day

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927773)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 8:44 PM
Author: curious tripping quadroon pozpig

We could easily peak at 4,000 - 6,000 deaths per day just based on current #'s

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927793)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 8:45 PM
Author: vigorous market

I'm hoping for 1800, but it could be much higher

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927800)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:09 PM
Author: wild masturbator field

I hope it's not going any higher. Wtf?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927995)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:33 PM
Author: Erotic Trailer Park Deer Antler

Cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928130)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:35 PM
Author: comical whorehouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928144)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:51 PM
Author: appetizing rehab place of business

Lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928258)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 10:12 PM
Author: slimy mahogany nowag lodge



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928475)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 8:45 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle maize nursing home

I don't think it's going to get better there are probably tons of people on ventilators just delaying the inevitable.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927797)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 8:55 PM
Author: vigorous market

There are 5,421 in serious or critical condition in the US currently.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927866)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 10:17 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle maize nursing home

All those fags are dead meat

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928513)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 8:55 PM
Author: primrose blood rage

Not so bad. Was put on a new matter this morning. It’s a big one.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927871)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:09 PM
Author: wild masturbator field

Only 968! It's a miracle!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39927992)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:14 PM
Author: Copper casino

At least twice as many people are dying per day than what is being reported

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928019)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:15 PM
Author: fishy frum orchestra pit national security agency

im gay

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928031)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:16 PM
Author: Copper casino



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928037)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:41 PM
Author: adulterous parlour mad-dog skullcap

how gay?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928191)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:40 PM
Author: Cordovan Pontificating Den Tank



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928185)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 3:58 PM
Author: Insanely creepy adventurous piazza famous landscape painting

Where r the bodies

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39933217)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:30 PM
Author: lemon stirring people who are hurt

fraudvirus suspiciously quiet on this one.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928106)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:34 PM
Author: Lascivious potus

6.6M unemployed!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928139)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:37 PM
Author: Purple spot

At least 75k of them will die of drug overdoses.

Thanks libs.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928161)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:36 PM
Author: stimulating giraffe

Okay, now do crosstabs by age. Boomers are checking out five minutes early, a few people whose immune systems were fucked anyway have this rather than the flu do them in, then a few youngs who just get randomly unlucky also die. Literally every fucking source that has released death rates by age shows the same thing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928153)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:38 PM
Author: adulterous parlour mad-dog skullcap

link?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928172)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:47 PM
Author: stimulating giraffe

NYC: https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-daily-data-summary-deaths.pdf

45% of deaths are in the 75+ age bracket. Another 25% are 65 to 74. Most of the rest are 45 to 64. In the two age brackets that make up 0 to 44 (lol), it's a tick under 6% of the deaths.

Michigan: https://www.michigan.gov/coronavirus/0,9753,7-406-98163_98173---,00.html

The average death is 71.3 years, the median death is 73 years. They also break it out by age cohort-- 34% 80+, 25% 70 to 79, 20% 60 to 69, 12% 50 to 59, 7% 40 to 49, and then the rest are fucking rounding errors.

Louisiana: http://ldh.la.gov/Coronavirus/ then click "By Age Group" in the bottom menu

310 deaths so far, 184 (59%) 70+. 47 more for 60-69, then 43 for 50-59. And everybody else is, again, a fucking rounding error.

Every source I've seen that breaks out the data by age shows the same fucking thing. If anybody has a counterexample, I'd love to see it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928226)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:49 PM
Author: Embarrassed To The Bone Electric Rigor

good portion of senior management everywhere is 50+

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928238)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:50 PM
Author: stimulating giraffe

Sounds great, they refused to retire so now they'll "retire."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928245)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 10:13 PM
Author: Embarrassed To The Bone Electric Rigor

these ppl also all HATE WFH

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928480)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 12:25 AM
Author: White hairy legs



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39929426)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 12:34 AM
Author: stimulating giraffe



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39929452)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 12:36 AM
Author: coiffed dark hissy fit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39929455)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 2nd, 2020 9:53 PM
Author: garnet floppy crackhouse private investor

and we'll get a projected 40k-200k dead, mostly olds, mostly diseased.

instead of 2 million dead this year, we'll have 2.2 million (assuming every COVID is excess death).

how will the USA ever recover from this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39928283)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 1:46 PM
Author: Light slap-happy theater stage

Does that account for deaths that didn't occur due to quarantine, ie car accidents, armed robberies, etc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39932301)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 4:00 PM
Author: opaque goal in life

only 857 today

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39933226)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 4:00 PM
Author: mildly autistic stubborn area roast beef

Projection last week was 10K deaths by today

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39933230)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 4:03 PM
Author: wild masturbator field

So off by one or two days?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39933253)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 3rd, 2020 4:04 PM
Author: mildly autistic stubborn area roast beef

a one week forward model off by 2 days seems a bit high, particularly when we're SHUTTING THE FUCKING COUNTRY DOWN over this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4496915&forum_id=2#39933259)