The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
We will be over 10,000 US Coronavirus deaths by TOMORROW.
Poast new message in this thread
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:31 PM Author: Plum shitlib We were at approx 1000 deaths 9 days ago.
Can you do math?
DO YOU FUCKING IDIOTS GET IT YET?! |
 |
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:33 PM Author: Dashing duck-like meetinghouse Please explain. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939597) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:39 PM Author: Plum shitlib Explain what? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939647) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:45 PM Author: Dashing duck-like meetinghouse Whatever it is swimming around in your diseased mind. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939716) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:48 PM Author: Plum shitlib People are dying at alarming rates from this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939746) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:50 PM Author: Dashing duck-like meetinghouse Oh no shit? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939774) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur hey SHITHEAD, where are we on this? Hmm? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945345) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:31 AM Author: Plum shitlib Are you a fucking idiot? We're at 9,129 and it isn't even noon. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945714) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:43 AM Author: underhanded territorial theater It could be close, like 9,950, especially with Sunday reporting issues.
This is classic Rudolph. Could blow up in your face. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:44 AM Author: Plum shitlib OK, bro. I'm going to be such a fucking idiot if it is 9,950 instead of 10,000. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945826) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:55 AM Author: underhanded territorial theater No, you'll just be Rudolph. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945958) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:44 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur tick tock the clock is ticking JEWDOLPH (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39947081) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 4:51 PM Author: Plum shitlib We are at 9,528 bro. With several hours left of reporting. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39947902) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 8:01 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur rofl (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949091) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 8:01 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur Date: April 5th, 2020 4:51 PM Author: Rudolph
We are at 9,528 bro. With several hours left of reporting.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39947902)
|
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 8:03 PM Author: Amethyst Self-absorbed Dilemma Boistinker 🔥 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949102) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 9:08 PM Author: Jade trailer park WORST DRAFT BUST EVAH (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949618) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 9:27 PM Author: underhanded territorial theater 180. Classic Rudolph. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949740) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 9:01 PM Author: confused gold church By posting this prediction you saved a few hundred lives (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949549) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 9:07 PM Author: Jade trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949613) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 7:26 AM Author: Bronze cerebral locale community account (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951652) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 7:49 AM Author: Plum shitlib Yes I did. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951676) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 1:08 PM Author: exciting crusty university ape Why am I reading balding incel lawyers that just discovered exponential growth? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946371) |
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:33 PM Author: Amethyst Self-absorbed Dilemma Boistinker Yes, more comatose 90 yos will die (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939592) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:33 PM Author: stirring jet idea he suggested you need to get another moniker for true predictions (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939596) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:33 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur libs promised me that it would happen BEFORE the weekend.
what happened, libs? |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:34 PM Author: Plum shitlib Bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939606) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:37 PM Author: Irradiated Feces Death Wish So the total deaths will be a couple thousand more than that die on any given day?
And everyone in the US will die if the rate of growth continues? |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:38 PM Author: Plum shitlib I have grown weary of your schtick. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939640) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:39 PM Author: Jade trailer park Car accidents kill 40K healthy adults and children every year
We do not torpedo the entire economy and put tens of millions out of work to stop those deaths
This virus kills almost exclusively sickly old people with a few years to live. And for that we are damning the future of entire generations |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:39 PM Author: Plum shitlib REMINDER: Car crashes are not CATCHY. And the 10,000 dead were essentially over 3 weeks. Not a YEAR. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939652) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:45 PM Author: Irradiated Feces Death Wish If someone rams my car while on their phone how is that not catchy? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939707) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:46 PM Author: Adulterous Apoplectic Step-uncle's House Weed Whacker The edgy “fraudvirus” schtick is just people blowing off steam. Can’t take it seriously and I wouldn’t waste time arguing whether the virus is a legitimate threat with people posting from their bunkers in PPE. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939728) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:47 PM Author: Provocative stead three weeks of covid: 20,000 life-years lost.
three weeks of car crashes: 92,000 (2300 * 40) life-years lost.
not to mention, these are people in the midst of their life journey. not ones who have completed it and have been sitting around watching soap operas for the past decade. |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:49 PM Author: Plum shitlib LOL at this life-years lost stat you just incorporated. you fuckers will move that ball any way you can. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939761) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:51 PM Author: Provocative stead this is the exact thing we've been saying for over a month. tell us more about how shitty Russell Wilson and Bobby Wagner are while you're making shit up. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939784) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:53 PM Author: Plum shitlib Bobby Wagner was a great player.
Russell Wilson is a good player who won 1 Super Bowl with the help of his teammates and LOST another Super Bowl all by himself by throwing an INT with time expiring from the 2 yard line. |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 3:29 PM Author: Irradiated Feces Death Wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940427) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:52 AM Author: flesh quadroon gas station I think time left to live is really important. It may not be as important as deaths, but the measure of anguish related to a death cannot be simply 'it is a death'. Consider, for instance, how hard we take it when a child or young parent dies versus when someone 90+ dies. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945916) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: Provocative stead Also some sense of agency for deaths. We should treat obese people the way we treat people who die in wing suit base jumping accidents.
A really crude approach could be to calculate the value of someone’s life plus the negative value of the anguish of their death. One reason I think I’m general that we don’t care about gang bangers killing each other (despite them being young), is that we know they don’t add any value to society anyway. |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:47 PM Author: learning disabled striped hyena we should ban cars too not flame (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939732) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:50 PM Author: Amethyst Self-absorbed Dilemma Boistinker Time for you to return to Israel (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939771) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 9:01 PM Author: Jade trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949547) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:45 AM Author: underhanded territorial theater Honestly, this crisis really puts into light just how many preventable deaths we tolerate as a society.
We should do a better job preventing flu deaths, car deaths, gun deaths, etc. We just got used to those things, but they're all abhorrent and unnatural tragedies that do not have to occur if we were to value human life greater than we do. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 1:20 PM Author: Odious narrow-minded masturbator black woman Flu death is an unnatural tragedy? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946450) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 1:14 AM Author: exhilarant cruise ship wagecucks LOL I wish the olds thing was true, but this thing also slays middle-aged American blacks because their health is basically comprable to white olds (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951154) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 1:19 AM Author: Irradiated Feces Death Wish Olds and sicks. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951166) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 1:23 AM Author: Razzle-dazzle bonkers resort water buffalo Fraudvirusmo here but this isn't a fair comparison. Cars have obvious utility so we accept the tradeoff. Even if this virus only killed 20 people it would have negative utility. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951176) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:40 PM Author: excitant stag film will be 50k soon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939661) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:41 PM Author: Plum shitlib (guy who gets math) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939665) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:40 PM Author: confused gold church so 20% of a bad flu year? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939664) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:41 PM Author: Plum shitlib Bro, LEARN MATH. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939670) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:46 PM Author: confused gold church bud, you're not a smart guy. Not all trends continue forever nor in the same pattern. Sorry to break this to you. Maybe your gambling woes will turn around now that you realize this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939725) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:50 PM Author: Plum shitlib I'm actually an incerdibly smart guy. So, let's go on record how many US deaths we have before May ends.
I'm at 175,000. You? Get on the record faggot. |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:31 PM Author: Aggressive shimmering puppy A decent model predicts 40k to 177k, with mean of 93.5k deaths.
All models are wrong, but this model seems reasonable. It was also referenced by the white house.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/ |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:56 AM Author: underhanded territorial theater yeah, those numbers are reasonable. Best case is for April to be the deadliest month. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945967) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:35 PM Author: confused gold church Reply Favorite
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:50 PM Author: Rudolph
I'm actually an incerdibly smart guy. So, let's go on record how many US deaths we have before May ends. I'm at 175,000. You? Get on the record faggot.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939775) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:36 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur Date: April 4th, 2020 2:35 PM Author: Leftism is a mental disease
Reply Favorite
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:50 PM
Author: Rudolph
I'm actually an incerdibly smart guy. So, let's go on record how many US deaths we have before May ends.
I'm at 175,000. You? Get on the record faggot.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939775)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940048) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:35 PM Author: confused gold church 50K (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940051) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:48 PM Author: Plum shitlib Will be bumping this in about 2 weeks. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940127) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:49 PM Author: confused gold church You’ll be retired again in two weeks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940133) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 3:27 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur 30,000. The virus will burn through NYC in the next couple of weeks but has probably already hit 40% of the population. Herd immunity is coming there soon. There will be a two-week lag for deaths to reflect declining infection numbers
Not gonna hit the rest of the country, we don't use TTT mass transit like fags and live cheek-by-jowl with a bunch of filthy minorities amid mounds of trash in the rest of the country |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 3:28 PM Author: Plum shitlib (Richard Epstein 2.0)
We will be past this number by next weekend. |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 3:30 PM Author: Irradiated Feces Death Wish Then what? If the rest of the country is susceptible (not to mention vast swaths of cities) how does this stop? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940438) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 3:31 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur only niggers use the buses here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940442) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:41 PM Author: Chest-beating laughsome mother market Stfu Rudolph — it is well documented that you are wrong at everything. Your opinion means nothing other than something reliable to bet against. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939666) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:42 PM Author: Plum shitlib No. You. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939677) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:41 PM Author: bull headed bistre jap station Get what? This whole thing is no big deal. We are a country of 300 million people. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939672) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:44 PM Author: Jade trailer park 330M (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939697) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:43 PM Author: bull headed bistre jap station It could be 1 million deaths and that’s still only one in 300 Americans. Even that is just a drop in the bucket. Please stop being hysterical. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939686) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:51 PM Author: Plum shitlib OK bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939780) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:53 PM Author: Irradiated Feces Death Wish 2% is acceptable.
|
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:56 PM Author: Flushed Galvanic Bawdyhouse New Version 1 in 300 is pretty bad. No offense. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940187) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: Jade trailer park Sweden: no quarantine. Death rate is 36 per million
https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2020-04-04/sweden-girds-for-thousands-of-deaths-amid-laxer-virus-response |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:59 PM Author: Flushed Galvanic Bawdyhouse New Version I like that better, no offense. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940210) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:44 PM Author: Fighting twinkling uncleanness gunner Nope. Its still a fraud. Nbd. Sorry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939698) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 1:47 PM Author: diverse brilliant garrison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939738) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 2:26 PM Author: Emerald Son Of Senegal Locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39939992) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 3:28 PM Author: Slap-happy party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39940422) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 3:33 PM Author: Glittery henna lodge cuck We’re beginning to see signs of social distancing working in other parts of the world. They are getting slammed with new cases and deaths, but it’s not at the exponential rate from a few weeks ago.
If it works here, I guarantee dumbs will be like “but...we shouldn’t have shut everything down! Car crashes per year kill more people!” Without realizing social distancing is precisely why we might avoid a numbef of deaths comparable to the spanish flu or black plague
So if all goes well, we’ll see 50-100k deaths in America? Better than 5-10 million |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 6:53 PM Author: Blathering Supple Nursing Home It's going to be higher than your number.
But all else is correct. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:38 AM Author: Amethyst Self-absorbed Dilemma Boistinker You really think Sweden is going to lose 1/3 of their population like the black plague? Perhaps the dumbest thing I’ve ever seen on this website (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945771) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:07 PM Author: Glittery henna lodge cuck In total deaths worldwide, not deaths as a proportion to population (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946810) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 6:52 PM Author: Grizzly crotch Oh no, boomers with seventeen preexisting conditions will check out twelve minutes early.
WHAT DO??!?!?!?! |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 6:52 PM Author: electric opaque toaster spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39942054) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:33 AM Author: Racy ladyboy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945724) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:43 AM Author: wonderful pink hospital antidepressant drug (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945816) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 9:49 AM Author: Plum shitlib (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945285) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 10:08 AM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur where are we on this, FAGGOT? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945335) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:42 AM Author: know-it-all dun ticket booth national security agency not even noon yet and we've only got 869 deaths left to reach 10,000 according to https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945808) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:48 AM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur he said "BY" tomorrow, not "AFTER" tomorrow (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945867) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:50 AM Author: Plum shitlib LOL, retard. It is tomorrow right now. Are you ESL? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945892) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:54 AM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur yes it is tomorrow, and there aren't 10,000 deaths by now. sorry lib you got BTFO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945940) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 10:37 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur ah the sweet smell of TOTAL VICTORY (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39950211) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 10:05 AM Author: maize orchestra pit The virus is cloaked in fraud. I know a guy who has cancer and resonators problems who has been walking around with a jug of orange juice and screaming at the top of his lungs in the hospital doorways. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945321) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:46 AM Author: underhanded territorial theater Is his name Johnsmeyer's uncle? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945848) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:47 AM Author: azure church building brethren LJL at caring about others (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39945862) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:51 AM Author: Obsidian Impressive Electric Furnace Scourge Upon The Earth More people have filed for unemployment in the last two weeks than filed in the last 10 months.
DO YOU FUCKING GET IT YET |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:01 PM Author: Plum shitlib I do. DO YOU?
The majority of those are service jobs and 75% will come back as soon as we get on the other side of the curve. Stop being hysterical. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:06 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur LOL, Boston, NY, and PA shut down all construction jobs (against CDC guidelines) and they all lost their financing/are defaulting on their loans soon. The stalled projects are rotting as they're exposed to the elements. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946031) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: Plum shitlib 80% will come back online. Stop being hysterical. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946034) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:11 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur ROFL, you know nothing about how construction works. My wife is an architect, the firm she works at had to lay off 20% of their staff permanently and cut everyone else's salary 25% after all the projects stopped paying their bills. Receipts down 85%. Do they know something you don't, perhaps?
From a construction POV it's not easy to restart a job after it's been sitting exposed to the elements for months. A lot of that work will have to be demolished and rebuilt at extra expense.
Even worse, the projects have all lost financing or are accruing 12% interest on soft-money loans and defaulting on loan payments. Inevitably they'll all have to declare bankruptcy and look for new loans. In a good environment, that would take months. But given that all the lenders are being wiped out at once due to nonpayment, there won't be anyone around with any money to lend. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:15 PM Author: Plum shitlib They'll all be back at work in 4 weeks. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946092) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:16 PM Author: Amethyst Self-absorbed Dilemma Boistinker Date: April 5th, 2020 12:15 PM Author: Rudolph
They'll all be back at work in 4 weeks.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946092) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:19 PM Author: Irradiated Feces Death Wish Rudolph
In all seriousness, how do you stop the spread of the virus without continuing or turning back on the lockdown?
Maybe construction fires back up (really stupid to stop that) but a couple weeks of people going back to work and we are at square one again. It’s not like the lockdown will stop all cases. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:53 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur show your work faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946296) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:16 PM Author: underhanded territorial theater Economy is doomed. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39952946) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:59 PM Author: Grizzly crotch "But given that all the lenders are being wiped out at once due to nonpayment, there won't be anyone around with any money to lend. "
LJL at this. Do you think the virus is killing money too? There will be plenty of money to lend, it's not like it went anywhere.
"From a construction POV it's not easy to restart a job after it's been sitting exposed to the elements for months. A lot of that work will have to be demolished and rebuilt at extra expense. "
Oh hey, so the demand for labor will be even higher than before!
" My wife is an architect, the firm she works at had to lay off 20% of their staff permanently and cut everyone else's salary 25% after all the projects stopped paying their bills. Receipts down 85%. Do they know something you don't, perhaps? "
Yeah they know they can layoff staff they wanted to get rid of anyway, cut salary to save on payroll, and blame it all on the virus. HTH. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 1:05 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur "Do you think the virus is killing money too? "
Yes it is, moron. Most of the capital that lenders lend to new projects comes from payments made by old projects. But those old projects can't pay back money because they aren't opening or leasing up and are in fact sitting rotting every day. You are literally killing money when you shut down productive sectors of the economy like construction, manufacturing, and mining.
"Oh hey, so the demand for labor will be even higher than before!"
Hey idiot, if you can't see how half-built buildings that are weathering and deteriorating and crumbling away is money being burned (reducing money available to lend), I can't help you. And because they will have to demolish and rebuild, the projects become more expensive than they were before, meaning they'll need BIGGER loans than they needed before the stoppage, all while lenders have LESS money to lend and lenders become more risk-averse going into an economy contracting at 25% per annum.
"Yeah they know they can layoff staff they wanted to get rid of anyway, cut salary to save on payroll, and blame it all on the virus. HTH."
They were having a record year before this and were hiring more people. Just a coincidence that their decision to cut back coincided with a complete shutdown of construction across SF, NYC, Philly, Boston, and Seattle, right? And it doesn't explain why the banks are pulling financing on the projects and developers stopped paying the architects for half-done projects (which is what actually prompted the cutback) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: Grizzly crotch "Do you think the virus is killing money too? "
"Yes it is, moron."
The money supply is the same as it was before. The money didn't go anywhere. This is like thinking water is destroyed because your faucet is broken. The rest of your poast springs from this same fallacy. Yeah, sure, there will be some extra costs (that translates to extra jobs) but the moment we stop this fraudvirus quarantine we can get things rolling again.
"They were having a record year before this and were hiring more people. Just a coincidence that their decision to contract coincided with a complete shutdown of construction across SF, NYC, Philly, Boston, and Seattle, right? And it doesn't explain why the banks are pulling financing on the projects and developers stopped paying the architects for half-done projects (which is what actually prompted the contraction)"
Because of the quarantine they could. Even the laidoff people they can hire back. The damage, such as it is, is all caused by the fraudquarantine, not the virus itself. But-- and this is vital-- the money supply is the same as it was before. The money didn't go anywhere, even if some lenders aren't being made whole. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 1:58 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur Idiot. Yeah, destroying physical infrastructure/capital just means MOAR JOBS in the future bc you need people to rebuild!
ONE WEIRD TRICK to MOAR JOBS: blow up all your buildings! |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:00 PM Author: Grizzly crotch You seem to have abandoned the notion that money is magically being destroyed by the virus, so congratulations.
But, secondly: Obviously it would be ideal if we never did the fradquarantine. But on the other side of it, there's obviously going to be a labor shortage, because there will be all the demand there was before, plus the extra demand caused by the deteriorating buildings, plus pent up demand. Obviously we shouldn't destroy buildings solely to create jobs, but in this instance jobs are going to be created. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:14 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur You manage to be pedantic and retarded at the same time. Congrats.
"Obviously we shouldn't destroy buildings solely to create jobs"
Why not? We could literally have unlimited JOBS! |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:08 PM Author: underhanded territorial theater Oh man, you're like the guy who thinks he's a job creator because you're breaking stuff and saying "Someone has to fix it!"
Please go read Henry Hazlitt and you'll be caught up to 1946 in economics. |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:11 PM Author: Grizzly crotch This is different. Obviously it would be a fallacy to break things solely to "create jobs." But, in this instance, things have been broken, and it will take more labor to build than it would have before. That means more labor-hours, one way or the other, than had we not quarantined. Again, it would have been better had we not quarantined. But since we did, we're looking at a labor shortage once this is over. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946837) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:38 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur when goods are destroyed (such as is happening as farmers dump their milk due to disrupted supply chains or as idle construction projects deteriorate), aggregate wealth goes down. that in itself reduces future demand. this is known as the wealth effect: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth_effect
sure, some of this can be smoothed over by government spending in the short run. but there is another problem in the short run that makes that govt spending less effective. namely, when firms such as lenders or subcontractors go bankrupt, due to defaults and nonpayment, that leaves a gap in the pipeline that would usually get money to construction projects. in the long run that gap might be filled by new entrants to the market, but in the short run it results in things not being built. this is what happened in 2008...the fed pumped more money into the economy, but credit markets still tightened up and it was a huge pain the ass to get financing for new construction or to buy a home for many years even in markets like NYC where demand existed.
btw sorry for being a jackass above, XO is all about flaming and bluster but I still feel bad being abusive |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:09 PM Author: Provocative stead Soon they will be “owned” by big banks who have no one to sell them to. Best case, they sit idle/rotting for 3 years. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946044) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:11 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946059) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:08 PM Author: Obsidian Impressive Electric Furnace Scourge Upon The Earth The majority of those are boomers and 0.06% of healthy young people are affected. Jobs will not come back as soon as we get on the other side of the curve if theses businesses are shuttered. Stop being hysterical (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946037) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:09 PM Author: charismatic shaky site sweet tailpipe rudolph they watch must watch fox news or something. i don't know how anyone doesn't think this is the end of our economy until at least the end of june. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946050) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: Amethyst Self-absorbed Dilemma Boistinker The economy is being shutdown because the jews have chosen to do so. Lol if you think they give a fuck about some obese goy dying from pneumonia (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946079) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: charismatic shaky site sweet tailpipe you're a complete fucking moron. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946083) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:15 PM Author: Amethyst Self-absorbed Dilemma Boistinker You are disgusting kike who should be flayed alive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946093) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:17 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946100) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:18 PM Author: aromatic cumskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946107) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 1:18 PM Author: Umber boyish trust fund chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946434) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:01 PM Author: Adulterous Apoplectic Step-uncle's House Weed Whacker cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946768) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 12:18 PM Author: Grizzly crotch We've successfully destroyed our economy, because this is a boomer remover. If, hypothetically, the age cohort impacted was 20-25, then they would have just let the virus run its course. But we destroyed everything because boomers are checking out two-three years early. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946106) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:02 PM Author: azure church building brethren Jews! Boomers! Chinks! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946770) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 2:16 PM Author: Ivory coffee pot It's the 20,000 next week, and 40,000 the following week, that I am worried about. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39946876) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 4:50 PM Author: Plum shitlib 9,528 currently (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39947899) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 5:10 PM Author: Plum shitlib 9,536 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39948008) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 5:19 PM Author: underhanded territorial theater You're sweating this like it's OSU/Penn State with 5 minutes to go. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39948053) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Jade trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39948216) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 8:02 PM Author: Light elastic band (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949095) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 1:18 AM Author: Purple Vibrant Pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951159) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 5:48 PM Author: Jade trailer park ( guy frantically refreshing death counter ) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39948217) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 8:49 PM Author: Jade trailer park Update here Rudolph? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949454) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 9:02 PM Author: Demanding ocher organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39949566) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:55 AM Author: Jade trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951122) |
|
Date: April 5th, 2020 11:02 PM Author: Ungodly orange piazza voyeur libs, behold your "saviour"! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39950417) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 11:30 AM Author: white hairy legs native Rudolph is the savior of 500 people (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39952659) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 1:18 AM Author: Purple Vibrant Pit Rudolph saved 500 lives yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951160) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 7:50 AM Author: Plum shitlib (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951677) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 11:29 AM Author: underhanded territorial theater And we're barely going up today. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39952653) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 11:44 AM Author: Passionate gay wizard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39952767) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 7:16 AM Author: confused gold church God damn this guy is so fucking good at being wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951642) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 7:17 AM Author: Demanding ocher organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39951644) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 11:32 AM Author: swashbuckling volcanic crater public bath I have literally never seen someone so consistently wrong you can fucking bank on it. Shocked RenTech doesn't have him on staff assisting with model development. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39952670) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 11:33 AM Author: Talented Iridescent Digit Ratio Heaven LOL seriously this guy PRINTS money as a contra-indicator (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39952681) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 11:41 AM Author: swashbuckling volcanic crater public bath I just imagine they'd keep him in a cozy little room, catering to all his desires while he pontificates in front of a Zoom meeting full of young analysts furiously scribing it all then running back to their trading desks. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39952746) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:16 PM Author: underhanded territorial theater Do you remember bizarro Rudolph who couldn't miss from Christmas Day until the Super Bowl? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39952953) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 11:33 AM Author: Lilac Fanboi he's probably right, the numbers don't update immediately. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39952677) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:27 PM Author: Plum shitlib I was right. They had 600 dead by 11:45 AM.
That's overlap from the night before.
Sunday #s are turning out to always be horseshit. |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:30 PM Author: Jade trailer park nope, this isn't horseshoes and hand grenades you had a one day prediction and was incorrect |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:31 PM Author: Plum shitlib I didn't say recorded deaths. I said deaths.
I believe 10,000 died by yesterday in the US.
They just weren't reported because doctors are lazy on Sundays. |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:32 PM Author: Talented Iridescent Digit Ratio Heaven no one's as hard working as you (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39953060) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:33 PM Author: Plum shitlib ty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39953068) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:37 PM Author: underhanded territorial theater LMAO, so you just feel you were right. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39953113) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:39 PM Author: Plum shitlib Correct. I feel I was correct. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39953124) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:28 PM Author: Plum shitlib 10,327 by noon Monday.
Suspicious. |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:33 PM Author: underhanded territorial theater Like I said, this is classic Rudolph. We ALL noticed this Sunday pattern two weeks ago. You only showed up getting all hysterical last week, then you projected into the future based on a flawed understanding of the mechanics.
Classic. |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 12:45 PM Author: Talented Iridescent Digit Ratio Heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39953167) |
|
Date: April 6th, 2020 5:02 PM Author: chestnut nowag prole New york was doing two reports per day, one morning and one night, up until this weekend. Yesterday they reported 594 in the morning and didn't do a night report. Today 599 in the morning and I suspect they will not do a night report again. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4498518&forum_id=2#39955392) |