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Trump now has 10% lead over Biden on betting markets

Largest of the election cycle so far: https://www.predict...
white idiotic station rigpig
  06/16/24
Yeah but its not reflected in the swing state numbers. Which...
Boyish Fighting Dilemma Nibblets
  06/16/24
Literally all of them. He is ahead in literally every single...
Elite dun faggot firefighter rehab
  06/16/24
Wisconsin: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8076/Whi...
Boyish Fighting Dilemma Nibblets
  06/16/24
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president...
Elite dun faggot firefighter rehab
  06/16/24
nice. just bought another 100 orange man shorts
curious business firm
  06/16/24
L'chaim!
floppy embarrassed to the bone multi-billionaire
  06/16/24
That’s with Newsome and Harris still getting a combine...
Azure address
  06/16/24
Biden literally has dementia. There’s a non zero chanc...
white idiotic station rigpig
  06/16/24
...
Cream razzle-dazzle trump supporter principal's office
  06/16/24
Right the Newsome and Harris odds are essentially a bet that...
Azure address
  06/16/24
The top 5 adds up to 113 cents which suggests a very ineffic...
federal whorehouse really tough guy
  06/17/24
it is a meme to call him "newsome" or something
French public bath
  06/17/24
...
Godawful theater stock car
  06/16/24
nice. cheap biden shares. BTW, those predictit morons are al...
Aromatic shivering national coffee pot
  06/16/24
They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this ...
Elite dun faggot firefighter rehab
  06/16/24
Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM Author: Gloostick They are...
Aromatic shivering national coffee pot
  06/16/24
I feel like they aren’t factoring in cheating
Plum Fear-inspiring Location Hissy Fit
  06/16/24
or factoring in Trump
Aromatic shivering national coffee pot
  06/16/24
I'm putting my life savings on biden
Ivory Trip Meetinghouse
  06/16/24
11% now
white idiotic station rigpig
  06/17/24
Both candidates are basically even money at this point. it&r...
Azure address
  06/17/24
last sentence = cr
curious business firm
  06/17/24
"Edited video clips" is the same script Shareblue ...
amber state affirmative action
  06/17/24
The same prediction markets that gave Hillary a 90% chance o...
carmine cracking site
  06/17/24
the same markets gave hillary a like 75% of being indicted b...
curious business firm
  06/17/24
Trump was at something like 90% on election night and we all...
Burgundy Sanctuary
  06/17/24
Fortified
Plum Fear-inspiring Location Hissy Fit
  06/17/24
90% up until 3am when the water pipe burst and they all stop...
amber state affirmative action
  06/17/24
Not a single poast deploring "betting markets" on ...
chestnut casino people who are hurt
  06/17/24
SPEAK ENGLISH MOTHERFUCKER
French public bath
  06/17/24
they have proven to be very accurate in the past
Narrow-minded flirting chapel
  06/17/24


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 12:23 PM
Author: white idiotic station rigpig

Largest of the election cycle so far:

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751130)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 2:02 PM
Author: Boyish Fighting Dilemma Nibblets

Yeah but its not reflected in the swing state numbers. Which swing states is he gonna win? I want to believe but it's not in the bag yet.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751343)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:32 PM
Author: Elite dun faggot firefighter rehab

Literally all of them. He is ahead in literally every single swing state.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751664)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 10:12 PM
Author: Boyish Fighting Dilemma Nibblets

Wisconsin: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8076/Which-party-will-win-Wisconsin-in-the-2024-presidential-election

Arizona: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8070/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Arizona

Barely ahead in Ohio, which should theoretically be in the bag: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8075/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752515)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:33 PM
Author: Elite dun faggot firefighter rehab

https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president

it's even more lopsided with other betting sites. Predictit is actually the most favorable for sleepy joe

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751668)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:37 PM
Author: curious business firm

nice. just bought another 100 orange man shorts

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751676)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:13 PM
Author: floppy embarrassed to the bone multi-billionaire

L'chaim!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752229)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 4:42 PM
Author: Azure address

That’s with Newsome and Harris still getting a combined 11%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47751681)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:08 PM
Author: white idiotic station rigpig

Biden literally has dementia. There’s a non zero chance he’ll be physically unable to run before November. Or they swap him out at the convention.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752219)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:09 PM
Author: Cream razzle-dazzle trump supporter principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752221)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM
Author: Azure address

Right the Newsome and Harris odds are essentially a bet that Biden will become unavailable to run sometime between now and Election Day, which conversely lowers Biden’s current odds. As we get closer to Election Day and Biden is still running the Newsome/Harris odds go down and the Biden odds go up. In any case, you have to add the Biden/Harris/Newsome odds together to see what bettors think are the odds that Trump won’t win.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752367)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:26 PM
Author: federal whorehouse really tough guy

The top 5 adds up to 113 cents which suggests a very inefficient market

Biden Trump add up to 97 cents

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754392)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:55 PM
Author: French public bath

it is a meme to call him "newsome" or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755549)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:18 PM
Author: Godawful theater stock car



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752239)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:35 PM
Author: Aromatic shivering national coffee pot

nice. cheap biden shares. BTW, those predictit morons are always wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752315)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM
Author: Elite dun faggot firefighter rehab

They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752361)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM
Author: Aromatic shivering national coffee pot

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM

Author: Gloostick

They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752381)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:45 PM
Author: Plum Fear-inspiring Location Hissy Fit

I feel like they aren’t factoring in cheating

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752341)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM
Author: Aromatic shivering national coffee pot

or factoring in Trump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752382)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM
Author: Ivory Trip Meetinghouse

I'm putting my life savings on biden

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47752368)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 2:19 PM
Author: white idiotic station rigpig

11% now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754167)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 2:24 PM
Author: Azure address

Both candidates are basically even money at this point. it’s even closer than it seems since Newsome and Harris are still getting odds which will evaporate as Election Day draws closer. a lot of the recent moves are from cons being influenced by edited video clips that make them believe Biden will have to drop out and won’t be on the ticket on Election Day.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754176)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:21 PM
Author: curious business firm

last sentence = cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754365)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:47 PM
Author: amber state affirmative action

"Edited video clips" is the same script Shareblue sent to me too.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754469)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:31 PM
Author: carmine cracking site

The same prediction markets that gave Hillary a 90% chance of winning going into Election Day 2016 (and didn't start to swing Trump's direction until late that night)? And the same markets that gave Trump an 80% chance of winning after Election Night returns in 2020? It seems pretty silly to orgasm over prediction markets, particularly this far from Election Day and particularly when they say the race is either a tossup or a slight advantage to Trump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754409)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:45 PM
Author: curious business firm

the same markets gave hillary a like 75% of being indicted by the end of each year from 2017 to 2020. it's like taking candy from a

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754462)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 3:59 PM
Author: Burgundy Sanctuary

Trump was at something like 90% on election night and we all saw how that went.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47754498)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:50 PM
Author: Plum Fear-inspiring Location Hissy Fit

Fortified

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755520)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:52 PM
Author: amber state affirmative action

90% up until 3am when the water pipe burst and they all stopped counting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755528)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:53 PM
Author: chestnut casino people who are hurt

Not a single poast deploring "betting markets" on an election to be peak Weimar shit

How Jewish has this site gotten

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755532)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM
Author: French public bath

SPEAK ENGLISH MOTHERFUCKER

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755557)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM
Author: Narrow-minded flirting chapel

they have proven to be very accurate in the past

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2#47755553)