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Hypo: Trump wins, Senate stays D, Clarance Thomas dies shortly thereafter

Does the Dem Senate keep SCOTUS at 8 seats for 3-4 years unt...
"''"'"'""'""
  06/21/24
Yes obviously
state your IQ before I engage you further
  06/21/24
Trump/GOP will hold out until 2027 to see if they can flip t...
.,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..
  06/21/24
LJL
"''"'"'""'""
  06/21/24
Cr they'll appoint Merrick Garland
Pumonymous
  06/21/24
Trump/GOP will hold out until 2027 to see if they can flip t...
...,....,,........
  06/21/24
minority consent wouldn’t be “consent of the Sen...
"''"'"'""'""
  06/21/24
just do a recess appointment. nothing in the rules...
,.,,,,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.,.,....,.,.,.,.,.
  06/21/24
(1) Would effectively require the Rs to have the House of Re...
the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)
  06/21/24
thats not something we have to worry about haha
718-662-5970
  06/21/24
There's like zero chance of TRUMP winning and senate staying...
the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)
  06/21/24
SCOTUS justice buchanan
,.,,,,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.,.,....,.,.,.,.,.
  06/21/24
FN17 Justice BUCHANAN writes that "[t]he so-called Bir...
the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)
  06/21/24
BASED
,.,,,,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.,.,....,.,.,.,.,.
  06/21/24
Unmitigated 180
.,..,.,,.,.,..,.,.,.,..,..,..,.,..,,.,.,.,.
  06/21/24
more likely trump loses, senate stays blue, house stays red....
.,.,.,,.,,..,,,.,.,...,.,,.,.
  06/21/24
But I did have breakfast this morning
.,.,.,.,.,.,............,,.,.
  06/21/24


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Date: June 21st, 2024 11:44 AM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

Does the Dem Senate keep SCOTUS at 8 seats for 3-4 years until Trump’s term is done?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47766411)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 12:13 PM
Author: state your IQ before I engage you further

Yes obviously



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47766488)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 2:26 PM
Author: .,.,..,,.,,.,.;:,,.,...,:::,.,.,:,.,.:.,:.,:.::..


Trump/GOP will hold out until 2027 to see if they can flip the senate, if they don't, they'll agree to a modern Anthony Kennedy style compromise pick that's right-wing on economic issues & left-wing on social issues.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47766720)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 3:58 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47766933)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 5:08 PM
Author: Pumonymous

Cr they'll appoint Merrick Garland

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767136)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 4:12 PM
Author: ...,....,,........

Trump/GOP will hold out until 2027 to see if they can flip the Senate.

If not, Trump will just say "fuck it" and appoint someone with just the consent of the Senate Minority and get his AG to sign off on it.

Constitution just requires the "Advice & Consent" of the Senate. What can the DEMS do if Trump just accepts the "advice & consent" of half of Senate and appoints anyways?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47766973)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 4:17 PM
Author: "''"'"'""'""

minority consent wouldn’t be “consent of the Senate”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47766981)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 4:46 PM
Author: ,.,,,,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.,.,....,.,.,.,.,.


just do a recess appointment. nothing in the rules...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767071)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 5:01 PM
Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)

(1) Would effectively require the Rs to have the House of Representatives (making this hypo even more unlikely), as Senate Ds would use pro forma sessions to prevent recess appts, and POTUS's power to adjourn them by force requires disagreement between the two houses.

(2) Recess appointments are obviously temporary (they expire if they aren't confirmed by the end of the congress, so two years max), but what I don't know is whether the Senate can boot you pre-sine die by affirmatively no-voting you. (I don't know if this has been decided at all.) Either way, would be 180^180 to have Interim Justice Kacsmaryk write the Court's 5-4 decision overturning gay marriage ("But we agree with the Obergefell majority, and disagree with its dissenters, on the most important point: the Constitution does speak directly to same-sex 'marriage.' Looking to the history and text of the document, we find that the Founders would have been repelled by the idea of the matrimonial union of Man and Man, and their cherished document must be understood as implicitly prohibiting legal recognition of such arrangements....")

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767118)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 4:23 PM
Author: 718-662-5970

thats not something we have to worry about haha

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47766995)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 4:38 PM
Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)

There's like zero chance of TRUMP winning and senate staying D.

But accepting the hypo, I think (a) TRUMP appoints either a standard hardliner or, at worst/best (depending on your perspective), a righty with a little bit of moderate street cred (the R version of obama's merrick garland pick); (b) Dems rightly refuse to confirm; (c) TRUMP waits out the midterm; (d) if Rs flip the senate in 2026, obviously they confirm who they want (most interesting question here is, if they went with conservative merrick garland initially, do they swap him out for a Kacsmaryk type); but (e) if they don't flip the senate, they probably try to work out a real compromise -- to me, an OLD AS FUCK con makes more sense than a moderate R (it's what I'd want from Ds if they were in this position) -- and probably fail to do so, because, bear in mind, the Dem senate leadership will feel like their behavior in obstructing through 2 years was rewarded by keeping the senate in '26, so why change course?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767058)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 4:46 PM
Author: ,.,,,,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.,.,....,.,.,.,.,.


SCOTUS justice buchanan

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767073)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 5:29 PM
Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.)

FN17 Justice BUCHANAN writes that "[t]he so-called Birthright Citizenship Clause of the 14th Amendment was congressionally uncontroversial in its inclusion in the text of the amendment, and thus cannot possibly be understood to bestow automatic citizenship on every Mexican (or Canadian) child born to an illegal immigrant here[, and that this would be true] regardless of whether the Clause's text restricted such citizenship to those individuals born 'subject to the jurisdiction' of the United States." See post at 19 (opinion of BUCHANAN, J.).

He develops this point over 17 pages of his concurrence. See ibid. at 18-35. We remind lower courts that the dicta of a single concurring justice is of limited value, particularly where, as here, the dicta relates to constitutional-interpretation questions wholly unrelated to this case, which concerns the dischargeability of certain debts in a Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767174)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 10:43 PM
Author: ,.,,,,..,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.,.,....,.,.,.,.,.


BASED

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767938)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 10:46 PM
Author: .,..,.,,.,.,..,.,.,.,..,..,..,.,..,,.,.,.,.


Unmitigated 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767949)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 4:52 PM
Author: .,.,.,,.,,..,,,.,.,...,.,,.,.


more likely trump loses, senate stays blue, house stays red.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767086)



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Date: June 21st, 2024 10:44 PM
Author: .,.,.,.,.,.,............,,.,. ( )


But I did have breakfast this morning

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5543615&forum_id=2#47767943)