Latham NALP 2008 associate count versus NOW
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: March 21st, 2009 12:11 AM Author: Vibrant heaven foreskin
Associate Count by office: (NALP 2008) (NOW) (change)
NY: 293 194 (-99, -34%)
Chicago: 128 103 (-25, -20%)
LA: 202 179 (-23, -11%)
DC: 180 119 (-61, -34%)
SF: 110 101 (-9, -9%)
SV: 80 64 (-16, -20%)
NALP 2008 numbers are as of Feb 1, 2008, so just over 1 year ago.
NOW is taken from Latham's website
That's 233 associates lost across only these 6 offices (though these are the 6 largest...I think)
They also lost some partners.
More might be coming...
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=956694&forum_id=2#11202090) |
Date: March 21st, 2009 4:50 PM Author: Thriller Nighttime Resort
The L&W death spiral scenario is falling into place.
1. Top associates with top credentials head for the door. Firms that over-fired, scaled back too drastically summer hiring, or are just doing OK ITE are still willing to hire on a very limited basis.
They realize the firm is at great danger of imploding, and that being good just isn't enough when certain years and practice groups see layoff rates above 50%.
They also see no real advancement up the hierarchy or increase in quality of work because all the lay-offs at the low end of the seniority spectrum.
They also worry about partners hording the work.
2. Top partners at core offices with transferable books start leaving in groups of 1-5, cherry picking the best associates and support staff to leave with them. Irell, Jones Day, Quinn, K&L Gates, and Keker I predict will be among the firms they leave for. Too many low-end partners, especially in corporate, to subsidize.
Most of these other firms have cultures where very wide partner disparities are tolerated (as in 20 or 30 to 1 ratios between top and bottom partner compensation.)
3. Evan a small number of partner defections sap morale and the rats start abandoning the sinking ship as best they can.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=956694&forum_id=2#11206986) |
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Date: March 21st, 2009 5:08 PM Author: Thriller Nighttime Resort
It has already started, but I am not predicting an immediate Heller style collapse. Give them a year maybe?
I wonder if they are having any issues with very expensive office leases. They seemed to expand a lot in the ultra-expensive Manhattan market right as office rates were bubbling up to insane levels.
These contracts are normally 10-year leases and the sublet market is extremely weak. Lease issues have been known to cause partnership meltdown. Why should someone in LA with a book of boring but stable local clients be on the hook for paying for class-A Midtown office space that is empty or being sublet for a big loss each month? Why pay 6-months severance to cover corporate partner over-hiring that you never benefited from? Why should your top associates have pro bono work started by the fired associates foisted onto them?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=956694&forum_id=2#11207086)
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Date: March 21st, 2009 6:30 PM Author: Vibrant heaven foreskin
Did similar comparisons for Sidley, Mayer, Gibson, Kirkland
Gibson and Kirkland have increased their headcounts at most or all offices and by a significant amount in a few offices (e.g. Kirkland in NY and Chicago)
Mayer and Sidley have seen a mostly decreases(~5-10% drop in headcount overall)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=956694&forum_id=2#11207745) |
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Date: March 21st, 2009 6:50 PM Author: Metal Dog Poop
I've been keeping statistics on Gibson & Latham for the past two months. Every now and then I just do an all attorney search on their websites and record the numbers.
Here's what I have:
Date Latham Gibson
1/28 2075 768
1/29 2077 768
1/30 2075 768
2/2 2072 768
2/3 2074 768
2/9 2084 768
2/12 2096 768
2/25 2114 768
3/5 2058 768
3/12 1992 768
3/21 1997 768
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=956694&forum_id=2#11207891) |
Date: March 2nd, 2010 9:54 PM Author: Vermilion telephone
The declines continued except in DC
NY: 194 to 158
Chicago: 103 to 92
LA: 179 to 155
DC: 119 to 128
SF: 101 to 92
SV: 64 to 59
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=956694&forum_id=2#14284072)
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Date: September 16th, 2010 4:49 PM Author: Vibrant heaven foreskin
update
Associate Count by office: (NALP 2008; i.e. 2/1/2008) (OP 3/21/2009) (9/16/2010)
NY: 293 194 135
Chicago: 128 103 81
LA: 202 179 136
DC: 180 119 114
SF: 110 101 69
SV: 80 64 52
bad all around, but Cali offices have been pwned in the past 18 months
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=956694&forum_id=2#16060948) |
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