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MSN Money: ARE BABY BOOMERS TO BLAME?

Not to spoil the surprise or anything, but you've probably g...
Trip roommate
  05/24/12
way too optimistic, assumes gen x and y can actually change ...
beta obsidian useless brakes trump supporter
  05/24/12
180
federal nursing home
  05/24/12
"Why do I need to save for retirement? I have plenty of...
sickened friendly grandma philosopher-king
  05/24/12
...
brindle temple dingle berry
  05/24/12
Why is not everyone in this thread supporting this article? ...
vermilion address
  05/24/12
CP. We need someone to stand up against the Boomers bro? Wh...
mildly autistic exciting queen of the night
  05/24/12
tl;dr: HAHA YOUR FUCKED
sexy spruce yarmulke
  05/24/12
...
Sick stage
  05/24/12
this is just so fucking depressing... i'm honestly scared fo...
pontificating spectacular public bath pozpig
  05/24/12
leave the country. that's what i'm doing. America has econom...
sexy spruce yarmulke
  05/24/12
this is going to reverberate through every western nation. a...
very tactful insane mood
  05/24/12
Australia is calling brother
sexy spruce yarmulke
  05/24/12
as good as it gets pretty much but still in the thrall of ch...
very tactful insane mood
  05/24/12
my logic is this: i expect to make somewhere between $100k a...
sexy spruce yarmulke
  05/24/12
so you're a boomer in spirit
very tactful insane mood
  05/24/12
no, i'm not shifting my burden on to someone else because of...
sexy spruce yarmulke
  05/24/12
if you believe in progressive taxation, given that you've ac...
very tactful insane mood
  05/24/12
people who believe this shit can suck my dick. not sure why ...
Light feces brunch
  05/24/12
the society you're born into has everything to do with the t...
very tactful insane mood
  05/24/12
sure, but the u.s. has gotten to the point that it asks far ...
Light feces brunch
  05/24/12
idk man it's all fucked
very tactful insane mood
  05/24/12
*is NYTimes * *changes the subject to gay marriage*
Sick stage
  05/24/12
...
sickened friendly grandma philosopher-king
  05/24/12
...
Orchid sanctuary selfie
  05/24/12
...
beta obsidian useless brakes trump supporter
  05/24/12
...
sexy spruce yarmulke
  05/24/12
fucking assholes just put all your retirement "savings&...
beta obsidian useless brakes trump supporter
  05/24/12
holy shit http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011%E2%80%932012_...
beta obsidian useless brakes trump supporter
  05/24/12
lol what the fuck do they stand for? that's the problem wit...
Avocado trailer park
  05/24/12
http://www.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2012/05/23/10...
Rose sticky theater stage personal credit line
  05/24/12
lol well i dunno about that, but isn't it also important to ...
Provocative carnelian background story
  05/24/12
if the roots are tainted, you gotta yank them out
shimmering soul-stirring bawdyhouse
  05/24/12


Poast new message in this thread



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Date: May 24th, 2012 9:57 AM
Author: Trip roommate

Not to spoil the surprise or anything, but you've probably gathered that I'm not a boomer. And I'm not here to go after boomers on social issues, or on the way they wasted the Greatest Generation's legacy: America as the world's sole superpower, a dynamic economy, a vibrant middle class and state-of-the-art infrastructure. OK, maybe I'm a little miffed.

Although there are grounds for an intergenerational fight, I'm more interested in the tragic nature of all this. Boomers, fully committed to the postwar consumerist culture and suffering from the rise and fall of two epic asset price bubbles, haven't saved enough for retirement. They also didn't have enough kids -- you know, sexual revolution and all. I'll have more on that in a minute.

Rising life expectancies make the problem worse. And long-stagnant wages for the middle class haven't helped.

The 2012 Retirement Confidence Survey (.pdf file) by the Employee Benefit Research Institute paints a grim picture. Only 14% of workers are very confident they will be able to afford a comfortable retirement. Some 60% of workers report that the total value of savings and investments, excluding the value of their primary residence, is less than $25,000. And while 56% expect to receive benefits from a defined-benefit plan in retirement, only 33% report that they or their spouse currently has such a plan.

Clearly, false hope and procrastination are at work.

Thus, instead of enjoying the twilight of life atop a Harley or upon white sandy beaches, a lot of these folks will be staying in the workforce -- often at low-paying, menial positions -- just to survive. The percentage of respondents expecting to retire before the age of 60 has fallen from nearly 20% in 1991 to just 8% now, while the percentage of workers expecting to clock out at 70 or older has jumped from 9% to 26% over the same period.

With the stock market coming off its worst 10-year performance since the Great Depression and with housing still in the tank, that's not surprising. But here's the kicker: By clogging up the job market, this army of gray labor will make it harder for the cohort of would-be workers ages 16 to 34 to get any traction. And that will only get worse, because the oldest boomers are now 66.

Younger workers are the folks who put money into housing and the stock market; they're the buyers who allow older folks entering retirement to cash in those assets. They also pay the taxes that keep entitlements like Social Security going.

It's a vicious cycle. Boomers are working longer because they can't retire, and they can't retire because their homes and nest eggs aren't holding their value, much less gaining. This keeps younger folks from taking over their jobs, which would allow the younger folks to buy those homes and start building their own nest eggs, pouring fresh cash into investments. (Instead, it seems, a lot of those younger folks are moving back in with their boomer parents. The cycle of misery is complete.)

No wonder net household wealth in the U.S. is down 15% from its pre-recession peak.

Young and old, both going nowhere

I saw this demographic debacle in action last week at the Las Vegas MoneyShow. Attendees were -- how should I say this -- of a certain vintage: baby boomers and even older. What I heard was a far cry from the popular excitement with which investing was viewed back in the 1980s and 1990s. The people who are still actively managing their investments are focused on capital preservation, thrift and income -- as they should be as they age -- not capital gains and investing fads like social media.

The young, bloodthirsty risk-takers were MIA.

The shift can be felt in many ways. Here at MSN Money, reader traffic often spikes during market meltdowns, while quiet uptrends are largely ignored. Since the recession ended, the action has focused on things like bonds and dividend sources as money is pulled out of equities. Mutual fund data show that over the past three years, private investors have been net redeemers of stocks two-thirds of the time as they sell into rallies and tuck the cash into more defensive, income-producing assets.

So it's not surprising that New York Stock Exchange primary market volume has fallen to levels not seen since the late 1990s. It was then that the share of the population focused on risk and capital growth (those ages 25 to 49) peaked at around 39%. Since then, the share of the capital preservers (ages 50 to 74) has grown from around 20% to 28%.

In short, investors are checking out. Data from the Investment Company Institute show that the portion of financial assets in retirement accounts peaked in the late 1990s at around 35% and has been flat-lining ever since.

You can see it in the labor market, too, as Gluskin Sheff economist David Rosenberg recently pointed out in a note to clients. Since the Great Recession ended, folks 55 years old and older have seen their employment jump by 3.8 million; for everyone else, employment has dropped 8.2 million.

Labor participation rates suggest that boomers are keeping youngsters out of jobs. The employment-to-population rate for the 55-and-up crowd has hovered near 38% over this time; for everyone else, it's dropped from 73.3% to 68.5%. As a result, the unemployment rate for teens ages 16 to 19 is a Europe-like 25%, while for the 20- to 24-year-olds it's a painful 13%.

Rather than fight their parents and grandparents for jobs, many choose to hide out in college, pushing up tuition costs and student indebtedness. Total student loan debt has reached more than $1 trillion. Now, 94% of those graduating with bachelor's degrees are in the hole, versus 45% two decades ago.

That's why these post-baccalaureates are landing on their parents' couches.

Feeling sick yet?

The other dynamic here is that as the boomers age, they will put increasing strain on the social entitlement system, since there are fewer young workers available to pay into the programs. At the same time, the biggest bugaboo -- health care -- is suffering massive cost inflation. We're just beginning to feel the pinch. Right now, the ratio of those 65 and older versus those 15-64 is right around 20%. By 2035, it'll be closer to 35%.

The math gets ugly when that happens, according to Credit Suisse economist Neal Soss. The surge in retirees pushes up costs for Social Security and Medicare (cost as a percentage of taxable income) while the income rate (tax revenue as a percentage of taxable income) remains more or less flat.

Looking only at Social Security, the cost exceeded tax revenues in 2010. Should this continue, the disability insurance fund will run out in 2016 and the Social Security trust fund will be empty in 2033.

Given the situation with retirement savings, more and more people depend on these funds for basic expenses. Indeed, the share of income for those 65 and older from Social Security has increased from 31% in 1962 to 37% now. Given the data I just outlined, this is likely to continue to rise. So cutting benefits isn't a realistic solution.

Politicians will probably choose to raise taxes on younger workers -- the ones who can find jobs and are repaying their student loans. The Social Security Administration's 2012 trustees report projected that if the payroll tax rate were immediately increased by 2.67% of income, the trust could keep going through 2086. Just try to sell that to indebted, underpaid youngsters. We'll have our own version of Spain's indignados movement.

It's the same story with health care. Health expenditures in the United States are among the highest in the world -- and focused overwhelmingly on the very old, courtesy of the government -- while spending on the 20- and 30-somethings, the people we need to keep healthy to pay those Social Security taxes, is relatively low.

Still, until we find a solution to the underfunded entitlement programs, the government's overall debt/deficit problem isn't going away.

Stuck in limbo

So, what's the takeaway from all this?

For investors, stocks probably won't break out of their 12-year funk until young workers start generating enough income to pay down debt, overcome high tax burdens, buy homes and start saving for retirement in a big way. And they won't be able to do that until other structural issues -- especially the debt/deficit problem -- are resolved. We're in a trader's market, searching for special stocks going up rather than marketwide gains, and we'll be there a while.

For all of us, it's time to pressure politicians to take action and break this cycle. We're only 12 years from all tax revenues going to aging boomers and interest payments. We're only 21 years from the Social Security trust fund running dry.

And we can see these moments coming. They've been in the cards since the first boomer was born on New Year's Day in 1946. THERE'S NO EXCUSE FOR NOT GETTING READY. AND NOW MY GENERATION WILL HAVE TO PAY FOR IT.

http://money.msn.com/investing/are-baby-boomers-to-blame-mirhaydari.aspx

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20757629)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:27 PM
Author: beta obsidian useless brakes trump supporter

way too optimistic, assumes gen x and y can actually change shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761151)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 10:28 AM
Author: federal nursing home

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20757748)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 10:29 AM
Author: sickened friendly grandma philosopher-king

"Why do I need to save for retirement? I have plenty of equity in my boat and jet ski."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20757750)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 10:31 AM
Author: brindle temple dingle berry



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20757755)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 1:28 PM
Author: vermilion address

Why is not everyone in this thread supporting this article?

THIS is why the boomers are walking all over us. Gen X and Y just shrug, bend over and take it in the ass.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20758419)



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Date: May 24th, 2012 3:16 PM
Author: mildly autistic exciting queen of the night

CP. We need someone to stand up against the Boomers bro? When will it be enough? Boomers throw random issues at us to try to distract us. We fight over racial issues, CGWBTs, and basketball while these boomers are off in their timeshares in Florida riding their Seadoos and drinking margaritas.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20758963)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 1:34 PM
Author: sexy spruce yarmulke

tl;dr: HAHA YOUR FUCKED

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20758451)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 1:45 PM
Author: Sick stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20758528)



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Date: May 24th, 2012 1:37 PM
Author: pontificating spectacular public bath pozpig

this is just so fucking depressing... i'm honestly scared for the future

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20758466)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 1:46 PM
Author: sexy spruce yarmulke

leave the country. that's what i'm doing. America has economic issues that can't be fixed and a political environment fed by CNN and Fox that will actively work to make things even worse. we were born at the wrong time, and we're lifelong fucked as Americans. even if there were light at the end of the boomer tunnel, our politicians and society are running in the opposite direction. anyone from our generation reading the news today is like listening to Zed unbuckle his pants while you're bent over with a ball gag in your mouth: you know it's coming, and there's absolutely nothing you can do to stop it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20758539)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:20 PM
Author: very tactful insane mood

this is going to reverberate through every western nation. are you going to go to an already shitty country

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761067)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:23 PM
Author: sexy spruce yarmulke

Australia is calling brother

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761106)



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Date: May 24th, 2012 9:26 PM
Author: very tactful insane mood

as good as it gets pretty much but still in the thrall of china and therefore the west. i hear china is slowing down.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761131)



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Date: May 24th, 2012 9:29 PM
Author: sexy spruce yarmulke

my logic is this: i expect to make somewhere between $100k and $200k for the next 20 or so years. i want to be in the country that is not going to be forced to tax me to subsidize an enormous population that makes less than that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761165)



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Date: May 24th, 2012 9:48 PM
Author: very tactful insane mood

so you're a boomer in spirit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761296)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:49 PM
Author: sexy spruce yarmulke

no, i'm not shifting my burden on to someone else because of shitty planning and reckless spending on my part.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761304)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:56 PM
Author: very tactful insane mood

if you believe in progressive taxation, given that you've accrued your advantages in life in u.s. society, then you'd be taking in the form of human capital without returning it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761349)



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Date: May 24th, 2012 10:00 PM
Author: Light feces brunch

people who believe this shit can suck my dick. not sure why you believe the u.s. gave him so much he owes them a large cut of his lifetime earnings.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761373)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 10:02 PM
Author: very tactful insane mood

the society you're born into has everything to do with the talents and skills you develop

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761383)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 10:07 PM
Author: Light feces brunch

sure, but the u.s. has gotten to the point that it asks far too much of upper-middle class people in relation to what we get or got

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761428)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 10:10 PM
Author: very tactful insane mood

idk man it's all fucked

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761460)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 1:44 PM
Author: Sick stage

*is NYTimes *

*changes the subject to gay marriage*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20758522)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 1:45 PM
Author: sickened friendly grandma philosopher-king



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20758534)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 3:08 PM
Author: Orchid sanctuary selfie



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20758935)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:26 PM
Author: beta obsidian useless brakes trump supporter



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761136)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:00 PM
Author: sexy spruce yarmulke



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20760900)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:27 PM
Author: beta obsidian useless brakes trump supporter

fucking assholes just put all your retirement "savings" into housing and the stock market because ronald reagan or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761142)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:29 PM
Author: beta obsidian useless brakes trump supporter

holy shit

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011%E2%80%932012_Spanish_protests

list reasons why we can't do this here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761163)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:59 PM
Author: Avocado trailer park

lol what the fuck do they stand for? that's the problem with youngs

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761366)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 9:56 PM
Author: Rose sticky theater stage personal credit line

http://www.ca9.uscourts.gov/datastore/opinions/2012/05/23/10-10424.pdf

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761351)



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Date: May 24th, 2012 10:05 PM
Author: Provocative carnelian background story

lol well i dunno about that, but isn't it also important to remember where we came from? (aka, our "roots")

yes, they haven't alwasy been able to make the correct financial decisions. but remember, they were raising kids at the same time! (we were those kids, etc).

remember, hopping on the bandwagon is easy if you don't care who you run over!



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761410)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 24th, 2012 10:11 PM
Author: shimmering soul-stirring bawdyhouse

if the roots are tainted, you gotta yank them out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=1955839&forum_id=2#20761476)