Robot economy
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Date: March 9th, 2013 2:05 AM Author: Nighttime Parlour Death Wish
"The robot economy will produce more stuff with less human labor than ever before, but because we are married to the idea that people have to have some sort of job in a free-market economy in order to deserve the right to partake of any of the goods and services produced by society, the strange result of the robot revolution will be more people living in poverty."
http://lionoftheblogosphere.wordpress.com/2013/02/22/the-robot-economy-in-forbes/
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#22784605) |
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Date: March 14th, 2013 5:37 PM Author: charcoal pea-brained elastic band persian
We used to think the ultimate success was having an automated world where people would work the absolute minimum and enjoy leisure.
Now, the ultimate success is everyone having a job and getting in as many hours as possible.
What the fuck?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#22816878) |
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Date: March 14th, 2013 5:59 PM Author: Irradiated Toaster
it's a combination of things. i heard part of the clark howard show once where he went off on a barely-controlled rant about how none of his kids will get any inheritance unless they "work hard" for a living, even though he has more than enough money to obviate any need for that. then he started talking about how work equals dignity, and how it all goes back to bringing your kills back to your cave, and how work is an end in and of itself, etc.
a lot of americans really seem to believe this. it's the whole protestant "idle hands lead to masturbation" ethos. but the problem is - in the context of a modern economy - that's a SCARCITY ethos. it's the moral framework you'd want to implement when life is a grind and resources are scant and you need everyone to pull together or else the community will starve, or your frontier colony will be overrun by apaches.
but it's just inapplicable now. it's an attribution error. it's not that the "dignity" resides in the act of working; it's a byproduct of doing things that are useful.
that's why people in makework jobs that they know to be useless are often miserable anyway.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#22816960) |
Date: March 9th, 2013 5:52 AM Author: Nighttime Parlour Death Wish
Income taxes as a form of protection and faux generosity for the wealthy:
"Do you expect most people to live in relative or absolute poverty? The former seems inevitable, because most people already live in relative poverty and the robot revolution will make things worse. However, the top 0.01% who own all the robots might choose to distribute consumer goods to the masses, if only to undermine their revolutionary fervor. The ultra-rich will pull a B’rer Rabbit by making the proles think that the rich are being painfully-forced to provide that bounty.
Much of the world will become a kind of Detroit where nearly everyone subsists on welfare or make-work civil-service jobs and poor individuals compete for status in their neighborhoods mainly by brawling (their life goal to terrify everyone for a radius of ten or twelve blocks which will be about as far as they ever travel, and to get the pick of the local sluts). No one will starve or lack for cable TV but no one will ever go anywhere nor do anything intellectual either.
The ultra-rich and their lackeys from a rump class of technicians will live in or near Loudon County, Palm Beach, San Luis Obisbo, etc. and although they will enjoy much greater luxury than the proles, will actually be skinnier and have fewer children. Chief among the luxuries they will cling to will be simple separation from proles.
For the ultra-rich “income taxes” will simply describe their administrative scheme for distributing part of their robots’ output to the proles. After all, if you are a capitalist who owns an army of robots your income is whatever they produce, which is potentially infinite. The rich will allocate the cost of welfare schemes among themselves via the income tax, which will not touch their capital (in order not to threaten their relative status) but will make it hard for anyone else to accumulate any capital. The propaganda value of this will be immense– when wanna-be tribunes of the people denounce the robot-owning class, propagandists (hired from the technician class) will divert the proles’ anger into gloating over the high tax rates they “impose” on the rich. The rich will quietly laugh at the whole charade. The technician class will resent the taxes (which will be rigged in tandem with welfare schemes, as now, to impose a very high marginal tax rate on anyone trying to “climb out of poverty”) but pay them rather than be cast into the proles’ hell."
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#22784831) |
Date: March 25th, 2013 8:02 PM Author: chartreuse rambunctious pervert goal in life
The robot economy means that we have to completely re-think the Welfare system, or else we are all fucked.
The robot economy means that while goods are abundant, labor is worthless. This is the inverse of the pre-robot economy, in which labor was valuable and goods scarce.
The robot economy results in 4 economic classes:
Robot owners
Robot technicians
Service-providers (teachers, nurses, masseuses, etc)
Everyone else
90% of people are irrelevant. The economy can produce enough goods to keep everyone fed and clothed without them. There is, in a sense, literally nothing for them to do.
That 90% must be dealt with, one way or another. Because 90% of the population will not be willing to starve. Sooner or later, starving masses will start shooting the people with food. Or just shooting.
Conservatives must realize that hard work will not make jobs magically appear. Even willing, able, intelligent, hard workers will not be able to get work because there simply is nothing for them to do. Like it or not, the Welfare State is here to stay.
Liberals have to realize that the current Welfare State is a patchwork POS which incentivises sloth and interferes with genuine entrepreneurial activity.
Critically, even though we can guarantee a basic standard of living to all citizens, we cannot guarantee all citizens an infinite standard of living, nor can we guarantee even a basic standard of living to infinite citizens.
We need some standards for how we're going to distribute resources which doesn't involve 90% of people starving, and doesn't involve stupid people who don't understand birth control overrunning the planet.
At the same time, we don't want such a system which becomes so complex and burdensome that it interferes with the economy, as our present system is doing.
My own thoughts for remedying this problem are two-fold:
1. Free universal IUDs, given to all teens, removable only on request, perhaps for a fee. This eliminates almost all 'oops' babies and ensures a certain level of responsibility and planning in parents.
2. Abolish the current tax/welfare system in favor of a sales tax + rebate. People who pay less in taxes than the rebate automatically get more money (which they can spend on more goods, since they will be more likely to consume more than to save.) The greatly simplified tax and administration will save money for small business owners, who won't have to deal with income tax bullshit anymore.
This will most likely need to be coupled with some sort of overall wealth tax like a Land Value Tax, inheritance tax, and gift tax (to prevent people from just circumventing the inheritance tax.) This to make sure that resources are optimally (as much as possible) distributed and that we don't end up with long-term wealth distribution imbalances.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#22880223) |
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Date: March 25th, 2013 8:46 PM Author: Mischievous pink office deer antler
The robot economy could potentially destabilize current class structure. Like someone said in another post, 90% of labor would be rendered obsolete and the notion that we can retrain people to work in "new tech" industries is laughable. This doesn't just apply to the dumbs but also the educated. Robots and AI are getting to the point where they can outperform humans in virtually every task.
This will result in a future where a small class of people who own the capital, resources, and robots, and the employees of companies in those fields will be the only people left. Population will shrink naturally. The current generation of poors might be provided welfare to prevent mass social instability but financial circumstances and the legal system will work to discourage their reproduction. In addition, the ubiquity of virtual distraction and birth control along with the disappearance of the family unit will also help greatly reduce population.
Those who are left will be slaves to corporations and machines. They'll be barely recognizable from a biological standpoint since they'll have some sort of AI component to their brain and nanobots coursing through their bloodstream.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#22880389) |
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Date: March 26th, 2013 5:40 AM Author: Mischievous pink office deer antler
agree that the statement is dubious. but recent trends show sharper declines latina and black fertility rates (let's face it, they are the poors): http://www.prb.org/Publications/Datasheets/2012/world-population-data-sheet/fact-sheet-us-population.aspx
"...This recent drop in births among young adults could be linked to the recession. In Europe, high rates of unemployment and low levels of economic security are strongly associated with declines in fertility among young adults.7 The economic downturn may have had a similar effect on young adults' fertility in the United States."
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#22882186)
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Date: March 25th, 2013 8:40 PM Author: Arousing splenetic chad wagecucks
Looking at health care, I see a system that is subsidized so consumers don't pay full cost for most things. As a result, health care supply is chronically short of demand.
Making things "free" will very quickly make them in short supply. The only problem is that people will have grown used to the free stuff by then. Now try reverting to a free market.
There will never be a time when the supply of all goods exceeds demand. Mature markets like commodities can become supply-saturated but that is the exception rather than the rule. Demand is limitless, especially for products with novelty.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#22880361) |
Date: November 7th, 2013 5:57 PM Author: rough-skinned haunted graveyard
In its first year, the APOLLO project has used the supercomputer behind Watson to power the “Oncology Expert Adviser,” a program that parses and interprets massive amounts of patient information and medical literature to aid physicians, representatives said. Leukemia is the first cancer targeted by the program.
“Watson lets you take all that information in and connect to it in a way that lets experts make a better decision,” Manoj Saxena, general manager of IBM Watson, said.
http://www.texastribune.org/2013/10/18/md-anderson-enlists-ibm-supercomputer-fight-leukem/
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#24392371) |
Date: November 7th, 2013 6:12 PM Author: rough-skinned haunted graveyard
Take Parkdale: The mill here produces 2.5 million pounds of yarn a week with about 140 workers. In 1980, that production level would have required more than 2,000 people.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/20/business/us-textile-factories-return.html
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#24392448) |
Date: November 14th, 2013 7:28 PM Author: rough-skinned haunted graveyard
Apple Inc. (AAPL:US) is putting a record $10.5 billion to work in new technology -- from assembly robots to milling machines -- that consumers will never see.
To get a jump on rivals like Samsung Electronics Co. and lay the groundwork for new products, Apple is spending more on the machines that do the behind-the-scenes work of mass producing iPhones, iPads and other gadgets. That includes equipment to polish the new iPhone 5c’s colorful plastic, laser and milling machines to carve the MacBook’s aluminum body, and testing gear for the iPhone and iPad camera lens, said people with knowledge of the company’s manufacturing methods, who asked not to be identified because the process is private.
http://www.businessweek.com/printer/articles/630036?type=bloomberg
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2201904&forum_id=2#24439987) |
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