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brothers, the market is insanely overbought. when to get out?
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Date: February 17th, 2015 4:01 PM Author: Jet vigorous dysfunction sneaky criminal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2810937&forum_id=2#27334992) |
Date: February 17th, 2015 4:02 PM Author: aquamarine motley round eye "experts" said it was overbought at 1900, at 1600 etc
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Date: February 17th, 2015 4:03 PM Author: Jet vigorous dysfunction sneaky criminal i've been riding this bitch hard since 2010 but am starting to get nervous (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2810937&forum_id=2#27335006) |
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Date: February 17th, 2015 4:02 PM Author: Blathering Travel Guidebook When yellen starts to raise rates?
If anyone knew we'd all get out at the same time. Most guys in the biz know we are just sitting here playing hot potato until something hits the fan |
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Date: February 17th, 2015 4:04 PM Author: Jet vigorous dysfunction sneaky criminal fuck, man. i feel like the market is going to lose like 10% one of these weeks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2810937&forum_id=2#27335008) |
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Date: February 17th, 2015 4:20 PM Author: Blathering Travel Guidebook As always it will be the debt markets that move the equity markets. Perhaps a Greek exit from the Euro starting a run on european banks owning now worthless debt.
The world all around us is plummeting into deflation as rates hit the zero bound and QE type asset purchases by central banks do nothing to solve bad debts on bank balance sheets. Everyone is in a race to devalue their currency hoping more exports will jump start domestic economies
The US is sitting relatively pretty as the best house on a bad block but faces its own set of issues (eg all the debt to oil and gas companies that is now worthless at current oil prices, stronger USD hurting corporate earnings). Raising rates is the prudent thing to do for our domestic economy but could wreak havoc in places like China or in Europe where yields are negative for many counties.
The equity market is like the top of the ocean. The debt market IS the ocean. |
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Date: February 17th, 2015 4:21 PM Author: Lascivious Cruel-hearted Heaven Generalized Bond oil has staged a pretty strong recovery back above $53, though. had it dipped toward $40, a lot of those hedges and contracts would have been sunk, but at $53-55, they can muddle through. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2810937&forum_id=2#27335102) |
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Date: February 17th, 2015 4:24 PM Author: Salmon field kitty Some pretty smart people are saying we'll see a 3 handle on oil this summer before we see a 6 handle on it again. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2810937&forum_id=2#27335115) |
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Date: February 17th, 2015 4:27 PM Author: Blathering Travel Guidebook Nobody knows what oil is going to do.
The most liquid, covered commodity in the world made like a 3 sigma price move in the span of a couple weeks. Some of the smartest investors in the world got their asses handed to them.
The underlying reason for the commodity supercycle collapse however is the rapid slowdown of China. Check out every other traded commodity - iron ore, copper, etc. China was the engine for demand but is now struggling under the weight of vast amount of bad debt. Its something that doesn't get much attention but is really impacting the global economy and could get worse. |
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Date: February 17th, 2015 7:16 PM Author: Disrespectful Tantric Mother fucking exactly. I don't need a faggot on TV to tell me oil can go to 30 after it went from 90 to 50 in a few months. i they knew what the fuck was going on, they would have said something prior to the move. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2810937&forum_id=2#27336185) |
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Date: February 17th, 2015 6:58 PM Author: Lascivious Cruel-hearted Heaven Generalized Bond oil volatility since the end of the 90's lull has been silly. and it's capable of rising or plunging rapidly, and people can't even agree upon who is manipulating it the most or exactly how. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2810937&forum_id=2#27336068) |
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Date: February 17th, 2015 7:16 PM Author: Ultramarine puppy nibblets doesn't seem worth it to try to ride the trend a little higher at this point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2810937&forum_id=2#27336191) |
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Date: October 7th, 2025 10:26 AM Author: click here to Learn More (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2810937&forum_id=2#49331490) |