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Hypo: $5M to attend 162 randomly assigned MLB games in 2025
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Date: January 7th, 2025 7:55 PM Author: Nazca Redlines If you attend 162 randomly assigned games during the course of the 187 day regular MLB season, you get $5M. Specifically:
You will be assigned an opening day game as soon as you accept participating in the hypo. After that, you'll get each subsequent random game assignment at the time of the scheduled first pitch of the preceding game. Most of the time it will be the next day.
You'll never be assigned a day game in the Eastern or Central Time Zones the day after a night game in the Pacific or Mountain Time Zones. And you'll never be assigned a game outside the US and Toronto.
To get credit for the game, you must be in your seat by the time of the first pitch, and you must remain in the stadium until any one of the following occurs: the end of the game, the end of the of the 12th inning, the game is called for rain, 2 hours of rain delay(s).
If you miss any of your assigned games, the hypo is over and you lose.
You must find your own tickets, transit, lodging, etc.
The $5M is tax free.
Do you accept? |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 2:08 AM Author: TheEastside (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48530522) |
Date: January 7th, 2025 7:57 PM Author: zarathustra why would i not accept this
i would do this and then retire probably |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:09 PM Author: Nazca Redlines What do you think the odds are of successfully finishing? You might get assigned a game in Miami the day after a game in Seattle, as major storms disrupt air travel. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529544) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:32 PM Author: zarathustra yeah i guess probability is low. 90% of random weekday games are night games so the chances of getting fucked on a day game after a night game are low on any given day. but if you ever get scheduled for a 1pm in minnesota after a 7pm in tampa i don't even know if there's a flight for you. most cities are big enough to have flights or even close enough to drive in a pinch but all it takes is one fuck up. maybe you budget in a couple of hail mary charters but i wonder if you could even get that late night flight out of baltimore or dc, and that's even before considering weather. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529638) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:42 PM Author: Nazca Redlines 90% of games you make no sweat. The handful of others, you mix driving and flying or you charter.
In the Tampa-Minnesota example, you try to fly Tampa to Chicago overnight, then drive. Or you drive Tampa to Atlanta overnight then fly to MSP. There is a very good chance of making it. |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:56 PM Author: Remington McBigdick III Chicago to Minneapolis is a 6.5 hour drive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529699) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:53 PM Author: Remington McBigdick III MSP is a pretty decent hub, so probably not a great example
I just picked a random weekday in May and there was a direct flight departing TPA at 7a and arriving at MSP at 9:27 |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:15 PM Author: Nazca Redlines Are any stadiums not near airports at least as busy as MSP? KC is probably the toughest. Even there you're centrally located and within 4 hours of St Louis, 8 hours of Chicago.
Most stadiums are within a few hours of multiple major airports. |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 1:18 PM Author: Bronus Swagner There are only going to be like 10 cities you could be sent to the next day, and you know what they are, so you can make plans in advance (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48531996) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:00 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband Does someone fuck me up the ass at some point or what’s the catch? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529513) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:02 PM Author: David Poaster Wallace They don't, and that's the catch. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529713) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:03 PM Author: Bill DaWall yes why wouldnt i
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:08 PM Author: N904PD Sunday night baseball in Houston April 20th. 11 am redsox game next day. I think you need netjets (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529541) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:10 PM Author: trumpslide How much is a charter with 0 notice? Got to be at least 30k right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529552) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:11 PM Author: Nazca Redlines Pretty much this, though I think it would be 12:35 Boston time/11:35 Houston time. And factor in the possibility of canceled flights.
You can get a NetJets card, but you're paying for it up front. |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:51 PM Author: N904PD It’s the PATRIOTS DAY game and it starts at 11
General rule of no day game after night game makes it more “fair.” |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:04 PM Author: Ass Sunstein Pretty much guaranteed to have a flight delayed/cancelled at some point. I'd still try though. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529527) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:13 PM Author: Nazca Redlines CR. So book 2 flights? Prioritize flying into a hub ASAP? E.g., instead of trying to get one of the presumably few direct flights between Tampa and Phoenix, just try to get to Houston ASAP and take it from there. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529569) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:05 PM Author: trumpslide You would 100% get fucked by the airlines midway through the season, probably involving some night game in Minnesota followed by a day game in Miami the next morning. Your only hope would be to publicize your adventure through ESPN or something that you’d generate so much public interest and support that you’d have a private jet to rescue you. You’d better have a magnetic personality for that.
If I were poor I’d risk it. |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:16 PM Author: Nazca Redlines Why risk it if you were poor? You need to front the money. If you're rich (enough), you can charter a flight in a pinch.
In your example, drive from Minnesota to Chicago overnight and try to cop 6 am flight to south Florida. |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:19 PM Author: trumpslide I mean poor like only have a couple million dollars poor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529598) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:51 PM Author: .,.,.,;,.,.,.,;,,... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529688) |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 12:31 AM (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48530323) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:06 PM Author: snk neo geo This is impossible unless you spend more than $5 million on transportation and is probably still impossible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529531) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:07 PM Author: Bill DaWall it would be like 100k on transportation tops (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529533) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:08 PM Author: snk neo geo As has been noted, if you just try to book economy flights as soon as you learn about the next game, you're guaranteed to miss a game and fail (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529542) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:10 PM Author: Bill DaWall nothing would be guaranteed but youd probably have to rent cars sometimes and go to other airports. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529553) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:11 PM Author: snk neo geo Doesn't matter. You're gonna miss a game (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529559) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:12 PM Author: giga weed (🧐) It's 5 million just book five flights every time and take the first one who cares (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529560) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:14 PM Author: Diamond Dallas Trump Pretty sure if you book five flights and don't get on 4 of them 100+ times it's gonna get you flagged on some kind of list and fuck you that way. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529571) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:15 PM Author: trumpslide Yeah flagged on the list of worlds best customer lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529577) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:24 PM Author: Nazca Redlines (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529618) |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 12:34 AM Author: To be fair (Semi-Retarded) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48530327) |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 5:12 AM Author: Diamond Dallas Trump or a national security watch/no fly list (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48530662) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:16 PM Author: giga weed (🧐) Yeah well what about if an acme anvil falls on your head? I guess I better not take the five million! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529582) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:31 PM Author: Nazca Redlines 50% of the time you can drive or take the train without even cutting it close.
40% of the time you'll be able to fly without issues.
10% of the time, you can try to charter a flight, combine flights and driving.... |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:10 PM Author: Ass Sunstein You could buy a private jet and hire a pilot, then sell the jet at the end of the challenge. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529549) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:11 PM Author: trumpslide I think this is the only way to do it, and you’d have to sleep on your jet. You’d probably chew up like 3 million this way but you could make your big bucks on the book deal and screenplay. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529558) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:32 PM Author: Nazca Redlines How much does a jet that can get you cross country cost? That would be out of reach for most non-pumos. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529636) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:14 PM Author: hank_scorpio if you're flying private in a small jet you can refuel in like 15 minutes at small airports, you literally just pull up to a pump and run your card (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529749) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:17 PM Author: Nazca Redlines Can you fly overnight? Are little airports open for you to land at and refuel? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529763) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:25 PM Author: hank_scorpio yep, they are just sitting there, you literally just land, pull up, refuel, then take off, no staff just a pump on some tarmac (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529786) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:31 PM Author: Nazca Redlines Pretty sure airports in the continental US don't operate like CIA airstrip in the Laotian jungle. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529808) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:43 PM Author: hank_scorpio because you're poor, I'm talking about actual small airports, there are tons and tons of them out there, you can do whatever you want (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529840) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 10:13 PM Author: .,..,.,,.,..,,,.,.,.,..,..,..,.,..,,.,.,.,. Guys at my high school (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529921) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 10:17 PM Author: hank_scorpio I literally did fly into exactly such an airport with a guy from my high school, there are two of them within 20 miles of me, small rural airports are not staffed and you can land anytime you like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529929) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:12 PM Author: Diamond Dallas Trump midwit response. one hurricane, blizzard, etc could easily ground your flight and you are out all the effort and expense of this bullshit. the games are randomly selected so you won't be able to knock out 3 easy games in a series, and any natural disaster that fucks your travel is not going to cause the next randomly assigned game to be cancelled (as it might if you were following one team from place to place). Even a simple flight delay could fuck you if you have a friday night game followed by a faraway early saturday game since you wouldn't necessarily be able to secure a different flight. These don't have to be high-probability events. You have to be *perfect* over 162 attempts.
This isn't a "do an onerous task to secure your financial future" hypo. There is signficant risk to be mitigated or priced in to decide whether it's worth it. |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:14 PM Author: trumpslide They’re not playing baseball in a blizzard or hurricane bro (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529572) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:35 PM Author: Diamond Dallas Trump https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=gZkCJto0xGY
so this is soccer? |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:17 PM Author: Nippon Professional Baseball Yeah lots of blizzards during the baseball season (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529584) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:34 PM Author: Nazca Redlines There is almost always another way. Flights from NYC grounded? Rent a car, drive overnight, and fly out of DC. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529640) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:14 PM Author: KidRock32X i feel like you could do this for less than $5mm and get to choose the games you’d like to see. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529573) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:41 PM Author: Clive Sheepdog Lewis I Love XO and I’m not ashamed to say so (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529653) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:43 PM Author: Nazca Redlines (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529658) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:47 PM Author: Clive Sheepdog Lewis (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529676) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:50 PM Author: trumpslide (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529684) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:57 PM Author: Clive Sheepdog Lewis (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529701) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:17 PM Author: ak (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529764) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:30 PM Author: Clive Sheepdog Lewis (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529802) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 8:57 PM Author: hank_scorpio this really shouldn't be that hard, to start with it is baseball so snow storms and the shit that really fucks up travel isn't going to happen, hurricanes will also delay any game in the area affected I would set up a netjet account or ideally make an arrangment with a private pilot for any real emergencies, but this is doable |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:20 PM Author: Nazca Redlines You need a big operator like NetJets. An arrangement with a private pilot in Tampa doesn't help when you're in San Diego and need to get to Milwaukee.
But does NetJets work consistently on just a few hours notice? From a smaller market? And it would eat into a huge portion of the $5M and require the outlay up front, win or lose. |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:26 PM Author: hank_scorpio my recollection is you can buy into netjets for just a hundred k or so, a domestic flight on a small jet is not all that expensive, if you did it for every game you would spend too much (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529794) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:32 PM Author: Nazca Redlines And they can help you get from small market to small market in a few hours' notice? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529809) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:47 PM Author: ...,,..;...,,..,..,...,,,;.., reminds me of the golfer who played the top 100 world courses in 100 days:
http://thegolfodyssey.net/100-day-trip/trip-description-days-1-25-3/ |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 9:54 PM Author: Nazca Redlines 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529867) |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 11:28 AM Author: .,.,.....,.,.;,.,,,:,.,.,::,...,:,..;,.. lol I have this bookmarked. good longread. guy is a aspie shitboomer doucherag but it's an interesting read.
https://www.perrygolf.com/blog/category/around-the-world/page/16/ |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 10:08 PM Author: Ass Sunstein Even without any flight delays/cancellations, there's no way you could do this without a dedicated private jet. Suppose you have a 7pm night game in Pittsburgh followed by a 1pm day game in San Diego. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48529909) |
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Date: January 7th, 2025 10:25 PM Author: Nazca Redlines Not so.
Your example is nbd. The game ends at 9:45. There is a flight from Pittsburgh direct to Tuscon at 11:15. If you make it, you're set. Drive to SD overnight or hie to PHX and take one of several morning flights to SD.
Even if you don't make the flight to Tuscon, you can drive overnight to DTW, EWR, IND, or somewhere else and easily fly to SD in the morning.
And you can charter a flight if you want to. Adding a no-private-flights-restriction would make it more interesting and still very achievable. |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 2:10 AM Author: TheEastside You need your own plane, buy a used Cessna or something like that. It won’t be a storm or inability to find a flight that trips you up. It’ll be your on the plane that gets you there in plenty of time but the airline says oops there is a slight delay for a maintenence issue but we will be departing shortly.
Then they will repeat that line every 30 minutes until 8 hours pass and they finally cancel the flight. You’re never going to always know in enough time whether you need to go to plan B because the airlines are never going to tell you the truth about any flight delay.
Commercial air / charters needs to be your plan b. Plan A needs to be I am going to fly myself in my own plane. |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 5:14 AM Author: Diamond Dallas Trump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48530663) |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 11:15 AM Author: Nazca Redlines A Cessna is not the credited response. It does not get you from coast to coast overnight. The Rockies are a big (though not insurmountable) obstacle. Good luck when there is a huge storm system over Utah and New Mexico or elsewhere in the midwest that you can't go over or through when trying to leave San Diego. And good luck when you face some maintenance issue and you're at a tiny airport somewhere.
It also tethers you to the plane. If you're in Seattle with your Cessna, you can't hop a commercial jet to Boston. You need to get your Cessna there if you want to keep using it the next day.
The long delay made up of small delays accumulating that you mentioned for the commercial flight is a real risk. But most of the time, you're not stuck on the plane for those delays. If your flight is delayed and you haven't boarded, get on another flight, get in a car, or see about a charter. The only real issue is if you're stuck on a commercial plane with no other options on one of the cross-country legs.
Most teams are within about a 600 mile radius of Cincinnati. And most of the rest are a reasonable drive from each other in California/Arizona. The majority of your trips will be an easy drive, easy short flight, or combination of the two. |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 1:23 PM Author: AbduI Cessna + pilot on standby that tails you throughout the season (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5660546&forum_id=2Elisa#48532009) |
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Date: January 8th, 2025 1:28 PM Author: AbduI Lease a used citation and hire a pilot on each coast. Speed boats on the Mississippi, great lakes, and inter coastal waterway too. Autonomous vehicles all over in hubs.
Or partner with fedex for the next day delivery challenge and go full bore globalcap loser. They could get a package to and from each game I bet. Why not a balding lawyer? |