1. She's not that far off from where she needs to be in the polls, and the polls are all complete bullshit. Only like 1 in 30 people answer a poll, and for many subsets of the population it's probably like 1 in 500. So the polls are all just fucking guessing. Seems to me that if the polls think 1 in 70 Trump voters will answer the phone, but its actually 1 in 50, then that means Kamala can outperform the polls.

2. The Democrats just have to win a few states that include Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit and Atlanta. If the election is close they're going to be counting "votes" in those areas for 3 weeks, and the voting will only stop once Kamlaa is ahead.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48245040)

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/03/burst-pipe-delays-atlanta-absentee-vote-433988

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48245208)

- Harris winning decisively

- Harris winning closely with no indications of fraud such as significant statistical anomalies, heavy contraindications from bellwether counties, or ballot dumps with over-distribution of Dem ballots

I'm not sure what will happen, but I think those things won't.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48248231)

polling can't capture enthusiasm, who will actually bother to vote, who is lying, etc. the enthusiasm gap is huge and kamala seems to have given up.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48246518)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48246822)

https://x.com/ChristianM_74/status/1850437361101885465

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48246631)

30 days ago i would have said that Trump is incapable of doing that. but at least he's acknowledging his mistake and says he's trying to do it right this time.

=====

Christian Movick

@ChristianM_74

NEW: Robert Kenendy Jr. says that Donald Trump is breaking tradition by privately funding his transition team and has already started it three months early.

Kennedy began by talking about why he's chosen to trust Trump, saying, "I've talked to Donald Trump specifically about this, and I said, 'Look, the last time you were in there, you put John Bolton in charge of NSA, and Mike Pompeo in charge of the CIA... and he said, 'Here's the difference... when I got in last time, I had no idea how to govern, and I got surrounded by donors and corporate people who said you appoint this guy and appoint that guy... I appointed a lot of bad people.'

He continued, "I was listening this morning to this extraordinary interview that Donald Trump did with Joe Rogan yesterday... and he said, 'This time I'm not gonna do that.' He told us that (too), and he didn't just promise that, but he did something no other president's done before. Normally, the transition team is not created until November 6th because GAO, the General Accounting Office, pays for all the cost of the transition team. Trump said, 'I'm not gonna do it this time. I'm not gonna do it their way. I'm gonna start my own transition team three months early.' And he got private donors to fund it, and he's appointed 20 people including me and Tulsi, and there's people of all different kinds of ideology and people who we're gonna have to go up against on that transition team and fight for our vision. But I can tell you this, which is unique: there are no corporate lobbyists on that transition team. And, usually, it's 100% corporate lobbyists. So it's very, very different, and it gives me lots of hope that this government is gonna be different than any government we've ever seen."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48246960)

https://x.com/bucksexton/status/1850656168370127174

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48247360)

This "feels" like inverse 2012. One side with false hopes, pointing to outlier polls to juice their flawed candidate and the other side amped the absolute fuck up and ready to turn out to vote.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48247374)

nobody gives a shit iabout January 6th

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48247426)

it is amazing not so much that the far left has been able to indoctrinate the youth to be quasi commies, but that they have been able to keep so many of the regular left in line.

you can basically name all of the dems who oppose the insanity and inanity of the far left on two hands

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48247382)

Dems have been hyping their “ground game” this cycle. Talking about how much better it is than 2020 or 2016.

It is generally known that “ground game” means ballot harvesting operations.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48248249)

What if Democrats just truck in extra absentee ballots in the middle of the night after an incident?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618850&forum_id=2Elisa#48262148)