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Trump now has 10% lead over Biden on betting markets
Poast new message in this thread
Date: June 16th, 2024 12:23 PM Author: Vigorous Aquamarine Hall Largest of the election cycle so far:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456/Who-will-win-the-2024-US-presidential-election |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 2:02 PM Author: Histrionic amethyst theatre filthpig Yeah but its not reflected in the swing state numbers. Which swing states is he gonna win? I want to believe but it's not in the bag yet. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47751343) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 4:32 PM Author: slimy sanctuary Literally all of them. He is ahead in literally every single swing state. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47751664) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 10:12 PM Author: Histrionic amethyst theatre filthpig Wisconsin: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8076/Which-party-will-win-Wisconsin-in-the-2024-presidential-election
Barely ahead in Ohio, which should theoretically be in the bag: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/8075/Which-party-will-win-the-2024-US-Senate-election-in-Ohio |
Date: June 16th, 2024 4:33 PM Author: slimy sanctuary https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting-odds/2024/president
it's even more lopsided with other betting sites. Predictit is actually the most favorable for sleepy joe |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 4:37 PM Author: Stimulating Rigor nice. just bought another 100 orange man shorts (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47751676) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:13 PM Author: Comical deep cuckoldry L'chaim! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752229) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 4:42 PM Author: magenta exciting brunch That’s with Newsome and Harris still getting a combined 11% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47751681) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:08 PM Author: Vigorous Aquamarine Hall Biden literally has dementia. There’s a non zero chance he’ll be physically unable to run before November. Or they swap him out at the convention. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752219) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:09 PM Author: Titillating marketing idea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752221) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM Author: magenta exciting brunch Right the Newsome and Harris odds are essentially a bet that Biden will become unavailable to run sometime between now and Election Day, which conversely lowers Biden’s current odds. As we get closer to Election Day and Biden is still running the Newsome/Harris odds go down and the Biden odds go up. In any case, you have to add the Biden/Harris/Newsome odds together to see what bettors think are the odds that Trump won’t win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752367) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:26 PM Author: magical becky The top 5 adds up to 113 cents which suggests a very inefficient market
Biden Trump add up to 97 cents |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:55 PM Author: Buff Haunted Graveyard it is a meme to call him "newsome" or something (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47755549) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:18 PM Author: Angry swashbuckling hospital new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752239) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:35 PM Author: Fantasy-prone Hyperactive School Cafeteria nice. cheap biden shares. BTW, those predictit morons are always wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752315) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM Author: slimy sanctuary They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752361) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM Author: Fantasy-prone Hyperactive School Cafeteria Date: June 16th, 2024 8:54 PM Author: Gloostick
They are definitely wrong. Vastly overestimating Biden this cycle
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=#) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:45 PM Author: Ivory hunting ground I feel like they aren’t factoring in cheating (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752341) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 9:01 PM Author: Fantasy-prone Hyperactive School Cafeteria or factoring in Trump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752382) |
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Date: June 16th, 2024 8:56 PM Author: hideous crotch I'm putting my life savings on biden (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47752368) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 2:19 PM Author: Vigorous Aquamarine Hall 11% now (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47754167) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 2:24 PM Author: magenta exciting brunch Both candidates are basically even money at this point. it’s even closer than it seems since Newsome and Harris are still getting odds which will evaporate as Election Day draws closer. a lot of the recent moves are from cons being influenced by edited video clips that make them believe Biden will have to drop out and won’t be on the ticket on Election Day. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47754176) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:21 PM Author: Stimulating Rigor last sentence = cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47754365) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:47 PM Author: Appetizing Frozen Striped Hyena Shitlib "Edited video clips" is the same script Shareblue sent to me too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47754469) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:31 PM Author: Galvanic bat-shit-crazy pit The same prediction markets that gave Hillary a 90% chance of winning going into Election Day 2016 (and didn't start to swing Trump's direction until late that night)? And the same markets that gave Trump an 80% chance of winning after Election Night returns in 2020? It seems pretty silly to orgasm over prediction markets, particularly this far from Election Day and particularly when they say the race is either a tossup or a slight advantage to Trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47754409) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:45 PM Author: Stimulating Rigor the same markets gave hillary a like 75% of being indicted by the end of each year from 2017 to 2020. it's like taking candy from a (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47754462) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 3:59 PM Author: Vibrant Lavender Private Investor State Trump was at something like 90% on election night and we all saw how that went. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47754498) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:50 PM Author: Ivory hunting ground Fortified (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47755520) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:52 PM Author: Appetizing Frozen Striped Hyena Shitlib 90% up until 3am when the water pipe burst and they all stopped counting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47755528) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:53 PM Author: fear-inspiring hot potus base Not a single poast deploring "betting markets" on an election to be peak Weimar shit How Jewish has this site gotten |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM Author: Buff Haunted Graveyard SPEAK ENGLISH MOTHERFUCKER (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47755557) |
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Date: June 17th, 2024 9:56 PM Author: laughsome cheese-eating hissy fit persian they have proven to be very accurate in the past (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5541479&forum_id=2Reputation#47755553) |