Boomers finally trick will be popping the AI bubble
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Date: November 4th, 2025 12:59 PM
Author: .,.,,..,..,.,.,:,,:,...,:::,...,:,.,.:..:.
this is actually the optimistic take. the more likely outcome is that compute and data scaling continues to produce better model performance, some time soon AI agent based coding models will be broadly capable of autonomous long-horizon AI research, AI progress accelerates even more, AGI is created and then we will are all dependent on the generosity of tech companies for our livelihoods.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2Reputation#49401213) |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:04 PM
Author: .,.,,..,..,.,.,:,,:,...,:::,...,:,.,.:..:.
seems like it will likely be either be the worst or best thing for humanity. whatever happens, the normal state of affairs can't last long.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2Reputation#49401225) |
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Date: November 4th, 2025 1:21 PM
Author: .,.,,..,..,.,.,:,,:,...,:::,...,:,.,.:..:.
obviously we don't know when but the large scale Blackwell datacenters that are still being built (and Rubin soon enough) are going to continue to drive progress. plausibly we could be looking at AI coding agents being capable of completing month long SWE tasks in 2 to 3 years based on this:
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/
i wouldn't bet on it taking longer than 10 years.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5793408&forum_id=2Reputation#49401270) |
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