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Pretty clear that Iran has escalation dominance
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:30 AM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... Trump resorting to lies that he didn't know about the Israeli attack to beg Iran to stop bombing the Qatar LNG refinery. Looks like Iran might end up cutting side deals with the rest of the world and the US just has to sit and take it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754604) |
Date: March 19th, 2026 8:32 AM Author: George Jetson Not sure how trump didn't predict that Iran would use the only advantage it had (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754611) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:36 AM Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,. It's obvious that the plan was to decapitate the leadership and the hope was Iran would collapse. It's why Trump was telling the Iranian people to rise up right after the initial strikes. If that didn't work, Trump probably thought he could broker a ceasefire, but Iran can just say no. In modern missile and drone warfare, offense beats defense. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754618) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:38 AM Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz it’s very unfair (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754622) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:42 AM Author: mog “Why won’t the country whose leader I just predator missiled negotiate in good faith with me!” (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754632) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:48 AM Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz I think they’re more upset the US deliberately targeted that girl’s school. twice. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754644) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:53 AM Author: mog I don’t think the top brass GAF about the girls’ school though they may care about their perceived aura loss in the eyes of the international community if they were seen not to care. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754658) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: fatty nigger (✅🍑) nobody apart from CNN and NPR gives any fucks whatsoever about that school the Iranian regime cares about their power and their money and nothing else |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:43 AM Author: George Jetson Insane he thought that a bunch of street protesters would be able to take control of a government full of unhinged fanatics who now have no reason not to massacre anyone who rises up. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754634) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:01 AM Author: tancredi marchiolo he was trying to get israelis to protest? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754683) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:36 AM Author: Must Poast Always (No Future) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754744) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:12 AM Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,; Even for Trump this is a preposterous notion. Assume for a second the Israelis spent the last 8 months planning for and equipping an internal resistance force that they always expected to fight the regime after Israel softened it up via an air campaign. How would that scenario look different from what is currently happening on the ground in Iran after 3 weeks of the war? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754704) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:21 AM Author: :-P (gunneratttt) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754719) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:50 AM Author: Kenneth Play (emotional girth) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754649) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:21 AM Author: :-P (gunneratttt) im not sure how someone can believe this after iraq et al (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754722) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM Author: dupa I'm curious how he makes decisions. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754664) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:27 AM Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained)) see my poast below. it's one of those two.
and when it's actually him deciding, he goes with his gut/instinct. that's worked out a lot before, but if that's at play here, he got it very wrong. |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:26 AM Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained)) he's either being straight up told what to do by israel despite the disastrous consequences for the US and world (because they are blackmailing him), or he legit has no advisors around him who know wtf they're talking about and he's listening to former podcasters and fox news retards.
either way, this isn't good. |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:30 AM Author: :-P (gunneratttt) it's always been mostly #2. im sure you run into people that work in or close to the admin who can give first hand accounts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754901) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:34 AM Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained)) i strongly suspect blackmail. this entire admin has been israel-focused, and it just doesn't make sense that he went to war with iran because he got bad advice. it's possible (and if that's the case, he got hoodwinked into thinking we could venezuela them) but i really think there's coercion at play here. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754912) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:46 AM Author: richard clock we clearly didnt expect the retaliatory attacks on xo infrastructure (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754640) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:50 AM Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz rach should send Paralegal Mohammed as special envoy to negotiate a cease to Iranian hacker attacks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754648) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:50 AM Author: Kenneth Play (emotional girth) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754650) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:59 AM Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754674) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:21 AM Author: :-P (gunneratttt) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754723) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:30 AM Author: potluck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754736) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:36 AM Author: Must Poast Always (No Future) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754745) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:52 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., XO gives Iran way too much credit they are going to have to concede or keep getting hit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754655) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:53 AM Author: Forced Bi Cuckold of Hormuz these are Muslims. they don’t care about getting hit as long as they’re making the west suffer. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754659) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., They're going to care at some point guess it will take longer then (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754665) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,. Yeah, we can keep pounding them with bombs, drones, missiles, etc., but that's not going to cripple the global economy. Iran bombing gulf energy infrastructure, preventing tankers from traversing the strait, etc. will cripple the global economy. Trump needs this to wrap up by summer, but Iran can keep it going until the US says fuck it and goes home. Trump has the watch, but Iran has the time. |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:57 AM Author: dupa Cr. It's a very different task invading, overthrowing, and occupying vs. defending your home. If only we had a recent example of a more powerful country unexpectedly getting bogged down in a many years long war after underestimating the target of their invasion. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754669) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:55 AM Author: Henry Bronco I’m going to give you a not so secret pro tip. Trump lacks—because he and his team have systematically dismantled it this past year—a credible decision-making apparatus with domain expertise. He has surrounded himself with yes men bros and fearful sycophantic suck offs. That wild eyed sense you and I have that he is making decisions by the seat of his pants based on bad or no information with no critical decision-making process? It’s actually like that. And unfortunately, given his position as commander in chief, that means we can stumble into things like an active escalating foreign conflict. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754666) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:58 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., You don't know anything (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754670) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:58 AM Author: Henry Bronco I know this precisely. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754672) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:59 AM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., No you don't (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754676) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:00 AM Author: Henry Bronco Yes, I do. Remember that. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754681) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 8:59 AM Author: dupa It does feel like the most impactful decisions are being made by people who do not give a single fuck about the entire country. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754675) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:00 AM Author: Henry Bronco (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754682) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:16 AM Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,. Nah, all military engagements are gambles no matter how much you plan, etc. In this case, the gamble was that the combined strikes by the US+Israel would cause the Iranian state to *politically* collapse, that is to say the Iranian leadership would throw in the towel despite not being militarily & materially beaten. But if they don't politically collapse, then you have to defeat them militarily (i.e. beat them so that they can no longer resist or retaliate to the point the political leadership collapses or surrenders). Trump took a gamble that they could hit them hard and decisively enough that they would politically collapse/give in. That initial gamble didn't work so now there's effectively a boat race where Trump is betting on the US+Israel can degrade the Iranian state faster than Iran can blow up the global economy. Who will win? Time will tell. |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:35 AM Author: Brussels Sprout: Brussels,Helsinki,Stockholm,Kyiv Hijacking the world economy will involve the troika of Iran, Russia, and China-- say goodbye to western dominance (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754741) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:55 AM Author: dupa This is such an idiotic post.
How much of our and Israel's resources over the last 50 years have been devoted to gathering intelligence on Iran? The idea that we just didn't have the right info to accurately gauge Iran's political, social and/or military resilience is absolute nonsense. But even assuming you're right, do you think we should start wars with such limited intelligence to have no way of accurately anticipating the fallout? |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:19 AM Author: .,.,.,.,.,...,.,,.,,.....,.,..,.,,...,.,.,,...,. what specifically is "idiotic" about it? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754870) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:24 AM Author: dupa see the second paragraph of my post. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754881) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:25 AM Author: :-P (gunneratttt) dude even with perfect intelligence the outcome is unknown. it's a gamble, like a coin flip. i know there's two sides but i can't say how it'll land. it's really no one's fault and we shouldn't judge too harshly when people take calculated risks. let's all just move on ok, we can chalk it up to fate but its silly to point fingers. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754885) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:34 AM Author: dupa These things happen. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754913) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:29 AM Author: :-P (gunneratttt) no way its all fake news, all those former officials and staffers who have said exactly this are just butthurt libs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754732) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:07 AM Author: .....;;,,.........;.;.;.;.,;,;,;.;.;,; The weird hole in the “Iran will win via an indefinite war of attrition” take is the assumption that Israel did nothing after last summer to prepare for an armed insurrection by the anti-regime resistance on the ground (ie the side that has 80+% popular support) even though it revealed it had deep intel penetration through out the security forces. Basij aren’t getting paid right now and that’s not going to change any time soon. And they aren’t used to/trained to fight against an armed population, let alone an opposition that has any kind of special forces coordination/intel, logistics and air support. It seems very likely that the Basij sustain losses in the 10s or 100s of 1000s before the end of the summer, and mass abandonment/defection decimates their internal security/suppression apparatus. And if that happens the regime is toast. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754693) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:21 AM Author: fatty nigger (✅🍑) I really hope you're right (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754877) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 9:13 AM Author: ,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,..,.,..,..,.,.,,..,.,,. the only dominance Iran has is that the US has an absolute buffoon making decisions (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754706) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:14 AM Author: ''''''''''''' Did people really think Iran would just go belly up after a few air strikes? This is the same people that fought Iraq, a technologically and materially superior opponent, for 10 years at enormous cost. They have zero reason whatsoever to give in as they know the Israeli states of America will just come back again later. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5847359&forum_id=2Reputation#49754856) |
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Date: March 19th, 2026 10:30 AM Author: TurboGook-16 ((zurich is stained)) "Did people really think Iran would just go belly up after a few air strikes?"
that appears to have been the entirety of our war strategy. pretty ballsy move! |