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What is the most plausible WWIII scenario today?
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Date: February 19th, 2015 1:48 AM Author: Concupiscible range hairy legs Ukraine escalation?
Pakistan-India flashpoint?
China invades Taiwan?
Saudi-Iran escalation?
USA pwns self invading Fiji? |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 2:29 PM Author: deranged mental disorder parlour the OPEC - American shale price war continues to bankrupt Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Nigeria, etc. Out of money and desperate for legitimacy, Putin, selling his sheeple on the story that US / Saudis have conspired to wage de facto economic war against the Russians and Iranians - preemptively launches attacks against the US, Europe, and the middle east, relying heavily upon his voluminous stores of tactical nuclear weapons. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27369580) |
Date: February 19th, 2015 1:51 AM Author: mind-boggling personal credit line meetinghouse I actually think the chance of a conventional war is more plausible than people think. I don't think nukes would be launched just because fighting broke out among two countries with nukes. Fear of mutual destruction would still persist in a war environment. True, there could never be total defeat, as a country on the brink of defeat would eventually threaten and actually use its nukes, but one would think the countries would "settle" before it got to that point. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27347569) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 1:54 AM Author: Concupiscible range hairy legs (pompous British general, c. 1913) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27347579) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 1:56 AM Author: zippy pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27347590) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 2:39 AM Author: Titillating Laser Beams Sound Barrier (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27347764) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:57 PM Author: Ruby self-absorbed digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27349292) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 10:43 PM Author: Bipolar Comical Trailer Park Pozpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353098) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 10:59 PM Author: Cordovan Hideous Gunner Jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353244) |
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Date: November 30th, 2015 3:07 PM Author: red site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#29278087) |
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Date: December 2nd, 2015 12:31 AM Author: transparent vigorous shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#29287825) |
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Date: December 2nd, 2015 12:32 AM Author: Nubile corn cake 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#29287836) |
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Date: July 28th, 2016 8:35 PM Author: Fluffy salmon mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#31054807) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 10:41 AM Author: Yellow Gas Station Show me the leader who will stand in front of his people and say: "yeah we lost some soldiers and a bit of territory, but think of the consequences if we untied our hands and tried to win!"
he'd be pulled out of office that day |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:02 PM Author: cracking soggy native foreskin Obama would throw people out of the way to supplicat before a conquering dictator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348998) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 10:43 PM Author: Concupiscible range hairy legs (insufferable French sous-lieutenant, February 19th, 1915). (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353090) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 12:26 PM Author: Floppy Sex Offender Hell Nah. People know the consequences of using nukes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27368951) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 1:52 AM Author: zippy pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27347571) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 1:33 PM Author: cowardly stirring hospital Or this guy: http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanislav_Petrov (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27349440) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 1:59 AM Author: big mediation ceo Probably something stupid in East Asia. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27347603) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 2:53 AM Author: Onyx Regret (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27347815) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 2:52 AM Author: Onyx Regret China invades Japan. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27347814) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:02 PM Author: Up-to-no-good appetizing wrinkle theater stage Why would China bother invading a resource poor, demographically fucked country? China is and will continue to encroach on their neighbor's territorial waters for both natural gas and fishing. I could see some escalation if Japan and the ASEAN nations banded together to defend their waters, but I don't really see any Western powers getting involved in such a dispute. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27349002) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:08 PM Author: Onyx Regret those chinky bastards never forgave the japs for WWII. they are currently have border disputes re pacific islands (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353328) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 9:37 AM Author: Adventurous Abusive Bawdyhouse Many of those would be disastrous, but not all-enveloping the way WW2 was. For example, a Saudi-Iran war would likely not feature many players outside of NATO (I don't see anyone except terrorist groups joining Iran). Same thing with Pakistan-India...they have done that twice now and the world has managed to stay out of it. I don't see the U.S. or anyone else getting involved now that nukes are on the table.
Only a few scenarios that would be a true "world" war:
North Korea actually attacks someone, you would prolly have some kind of UN-style counter-attack with literally everyone on the globe wiping them out;
China does something in East Asia (disputed islands, Taiwan, etc);
Russia triggers NATO.
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Date: November 30th, 2015 5:10 PM Author: Awkward contagious famous landscape painting set China will probably prevent a humanitarian crisis in North Korea and not precipitate it. China has intel in NK and would act to prevent anything ridiculous from NK.
They are also ready to move in and setup buffer/refugee zones for their own national security because they don't want millions of starving North Koreans streaming across the border, nor do they want American military bases sitting on the Chinese border.
Invading Japan or Taiwan is extremely unlikely. China will have domestic problems if their economic growth slows any more. They can't afford any unnecessary aggression.
I don't see war in East Asia any time soon even when NK collapses. Everyone is already preparing for NK to collapse. |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 9:54 AM Author: glassy water buffalo tell me more about the us-fiji hostilities. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348380) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:05 PM Author: Concupiscible range hairy legs Jeb Bush assembles Coalition of the Willing (Australia, Nauru, Palau, Kiribati, Tuvalu, Botswana, St. Kitts and Nevis) to restore democracy and secure vital Fiji water supplies. After an impressive military victory, the United States installs a Coalition Provisional Government. After purging the old regime officers, the CPG calls for elections. Indigenous suicide bomber attacks polling station with sewer skunk white woman farts. Coalition troops attempt to provide security, but Tuvalu tragically outsources to crazed Taiwanese NOWAGS. Protracted insurgency begins. Oil prices rise as U.S. despairs of a military solution. Jewish speculation on Wall Street leads to global financial meltodwn. Nigger riots break out. Dollar collapses as a reserve currency. Hyperinflation, breadlines, endless millennial blog updates. Two fratty military bros have horny consensual drunk sex with the barracks slut. "Was I raped?" she asks Twitter. Xoxo has plenty of lulz and starts a megathread impersonating the rape bros. A megapoaster goes too far, hacks into NORAD and changes the callsign to NOWAG. China goes nuts, fires nukes precisely targeted at dem white women. U.S. fires back, misses and hits Russia. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353298) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 2:48 PM Author: umber aphrodisiac address half-breed Stopped reading at Jeb Bush. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27369693) |
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Date: February 25th, 2015 2:08 AM Author: Concupiscible range hairy legs (Dubya) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27387839) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 10:34 AM Author: carmine multi-colored knife only Russia makes any sense, nobody else would have the stomach for it plus the ability to actually meaningfully fight on that scale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348515) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:23 AM Author: aqua quadroon area Bro, Russia would be curb stomped if NATO got involved. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348733) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:32 AM Author: carmine multi-colored knife eh, we don't have the balls for curb stomping even if they would lose (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348774) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:25 AM Author: racy theatre degenerate Seems correct but I think it would need to be something smaller at first. It won't be Crimea and the US doesn't have enough interest in Ukraine to go to war over it if they're fully annexed by Russia.
It would take full scale invasion of a NATO member and even then the US isn't obligated to commit fully to the war. |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:21 AM Author: Purple aromatic location Something between the Arab nations. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348723) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:27 AM Author: narrow-minded big-titted doctorate I would say war in the middle east with U.S. involvement (like maybe Israeli-Saudi joint attack on Iran), and then China and Russia take advantage and try to capture territory: Taiwan and some BS former Soviet republics. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348750) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:28 AM Author: arousing church building fortuitous meteor China is peaceful and dont give a fuck. All they care abt is development. Only white nations are violent. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348756) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:04 PM Author: Purple aromatic location ... said the sociopathic, hate-filled SY ... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27349022) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:51 PM Author: judgmental indirect expression what about japs? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27349259) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 10:55 PM Author: Bipolar Comical Trailer Park Pozpig never heard about this little thing?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiping_Rebellion
The Taiping Rebellion was a massive civil war in southern China from 1850 to 1864, against the ruling Manchu Qing dynasty. It was a millenarian movement led by Hong Xiuquan, who announced that he had received visions, in which he learned that he was the younger brother of Jesus. At least 20 million people died, mainly civilians, in one of the deadliest military conflicts in history.[4] |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 10:50 AM Author: Nudist Diverse Dysfunction Internally they can be violent apes but being imperialistic shits who get their sticky fingers all over the world is historically a european and american thing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27368594) |
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Date: December 1st, 2015 11:18 PM Author: Flushed locale Says someone who never studied history of Asia.
When did China become a country with one identity? |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:36 AM Author: Ebony newt new version China making a power play on the South China Seas and sparking an Asian explosion that drags in US v Russia etc.
But most likely use of a nuke is almost certainly some Russian loose nuke going missing and turning up in a World Cup game or something |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:58 AM Author: 180 rebellious private investor Doubtful though. They've already irritated everyone in that region and a US carrier would be there right away (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348981) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:04 PM Author: Up-to-no-good appetizing wrinkle theater stage See my comment above-China is already doing this and will continue. I don't really think Japan or the ASEAN nations have the stomach or power to fight back. If they did, I could see the US being drawn in as a mediator but I don't think we would actively engage in conflict with China over NOWAG seas. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27349021) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:07 PM Author: Filthy spruce hominid US nuke subs prevent China from doing jack shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27349042) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 1:29 PM Author: charcoal double fault senate It's not worth it for China anyways. The US is their biggest economic partner and Japan is #3. There's no military benefit in the SCS or east asia worth torching those markets over. They will continue to poke and prod at the boundaries but never cross the line.
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 8:20 AM Author: Concupiscible range hairy legs http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Illusion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27368270) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 2:01 PM Author: Avocado godawful national security agency tcr
all of this "China and the U.S. could never go to war because they trade with each other!" nonsense has been debunked before |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 10:52 AM Author: Nudist Diverse Dysfunction (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27368602) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:57 AM Author: Shaky Chest-beating Whorehouse i kind of want the unhinged NOWAG moonfaces in N Korea to do something stupid so we can just PWN them once and for all. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27348972) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:27 PM Author: learning disabled bistre juggernaut rigpig Not possible without losing Seoul. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353514) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 2:50 PM Author: umber aphrodisiac address half-breed I don't think he's saying we wouldn't get our hair mussed. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27369700) |
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Date: December 2nd, 2015 12:40 AM Author: canary odious liquid oxygen base (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#29287876) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:04 PM Author: Filthy spruce hominid a ground war in the middle east that drew in other countries (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27349016) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:06 PM Author: territorial insecure piazza striped hyena FWIW, Pakistan is the most likely to set off its nukes or get them jacked by a rogue group (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27349039) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:22 PM Author: Ivory Lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353480) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 12:57 PM Author: Hateful affirmative action nuke goes off in dc the us starts guessing who done it |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 2:54 PM Author: umber aphrodisiac address half-breed A la Jericho (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27369721) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 1:43 PM Author: charcoal double fault senate Russia is the odd man out. The US, EU, and China are all rational actors and too economically intertwined for war to make sense. Russia has the military power but no economic clout. It's hard to see what Russia has to offer China to draw them into war with their biggest economic partners.
So any realistic scenario would either be a "world war" where the most populous country with the second largest economy remains neutral, or else a 3 way US/EU/China gangbang on Russia with China making a power play on Siberia.
China will continue to prod at boundaries in the SCS but there's nothing worth going to war for there either. |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 10:58 PM Author: Bipolar Comical Trailer Park Pozpig The US, EU, and China are all rational actors and too economically intertwined for war to make sense.
(faggoty Austrian politician circa 1912) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 8:20 AM Author: Concupiscible range hairy legs this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27368271) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:02 PM Author: Bipolar Comical Trailer Park Pozpig at this moment the most likely scenario is russian powerplay in estonia or latvia. they're next on the chopping block, but problematically they're in NATO.
both have large ethnic russian populations. and even more russian speakers. it could not be surprising if russia will test the waters with covert supported russian nationalist uprisings.
i have no idea how nato would react to this.... if conflict breaks out it wouldn't be surprising to see china take the opportunity to invade taiwan.
i think that'd qualify as wwiii.
or a loose nuke could go off in a major NATO city. that'd stir up some trouble for sure.
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:11 PM Author: dark magical shitlib associate My dream come true. I would legit rape and slaughter my way through Vilnus when it happens. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353364) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:21 PM Author: Bipolar Comical Trailer Park Pozpig Lithuania has the smallest russian population of the baltics. it's only border with russia is konigsberg oblast. it would be tougher for russia to sustain covert operations in lithuania. at least until they fully annex latvia. tougher more so for demographic than geographic reasons. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353470) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:23 PM Author: dark magical shitlib associate That will make it all the more fun. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353487) |
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Date: February 20th, 2015 1:18 AM Author: elite pearl gaping point Yeah, I think the premise would have to be that you get Jeb Bush (along with Paul Wolfowitz) in the White House in 2016. Putin plays the same game in Estonia/Latvia that he did in Ukraine: encourages some Russian natives to revolt and sneaks some troops and weapons across the border while denying involvement. He thinks Jeb Bush is an easy mark like his brother (remember the "I looked into Putin's soul" comment?) and that he'll be as cautious as Obama. But Wolfowitz decides that it's time to show Putin who is the alpha and commits NATO to a war with Russia. Putin sees that NATO troops will take Moscow within two weeks unless he drops the bomb, and with memories of Hitler's march to Moscow in the very recent past, he decides that dropping the bomb is a better option than letting Russia get raped again.
Even in this nightmare worst-case scenario, I have to imagine that Putin just incinerates the troops marching on Moscow. He has to be smart enough to realize that launching ICBM's against the West would result in nuclear Armageddon and the end of civilization, so I don't think he goes that far. It could still get pretty scary, though. |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:07 PM Author: scarlet out-of-control public bath twinkling uncleanness Small nuke goes off in Mecca during the Hajj (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353320) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:08 PM Author: Onyx Regret 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353330) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:16 PM Author: scarlet out-of-control public bath twinkling uncleanness http://www.anthillart.com (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353411) |
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Date: December 2nd, 2015 12:41 AM Author: anal honey-headed stage 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#29287879) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:15 PM Author: Orange Heady Useless Brakes Heaven Pakistan instigates some India-China shitshow (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353404) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:26 PM Author: scarlet out-of-control public bath twinkling uncleanness Nationalist movement in India decides to settle the Kashmir issue. Small nuke exchange. Chinese peacekeepers stream in (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353505) |
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Date: February 21st, 2015 10:48 PM Author: Concupiscible range hairy legs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27366495) |
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Date: February 19th, 2015 11:30 PM Author: scarlet out-of-control public bath twinkling uncleanness Chinese men go on rape spree (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27353539) |
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Date: February 21st, 2015 10:51 PM Author: Startled Pale Gay Wizard OK bros I think we need to define our terms here. To me, to be a "World War", you gotta have more than two major participants. This excludes China-USA fighting over the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea, because while that would be a major great power war, it would not be a world war with big groups of allies going at each other.
I think for a "world war", it's gonna be something involving Russia or Kashmir |
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Date: February 21st, 2015 10:55 PM Author: Bipolar Comical Trailer Park Pozpig why would Kashmir necessarily involve more participants than taiwan?
i think the opposite is actually more likely. far more interested parties in relation to taiwan than to kashmir.
who gives a fug about kashmir besides shitskins?
taiwan on the other hand is a mid size fully industrialized market and production center in a critical strategic position... japan, australia, korea, would be likely participants. |
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Date: February 21st, 2015 10:56 PM Author: Startled Pale Gay Wizard kashmir = India, Pakistan, China
I love Australia, Japan, Korea. They are all good US allies. But they are not Great Powers. |
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Date: February 21st, 2015 10:57 PM Author: racy theatre degenerate I think the idea of a Great Power is seriously outdated in the age of nuclear ICBMs. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27366558) |
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Date: February 21st, 2015 10:57 PM Author: Bipolar Comical Trailer Park Pozpig neither is pakistan dipshit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#27366561) |
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Date: December 2nd, 2015 12:50 AM Author: Nudist Diverse Dysfunction What's your definition of great power? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#29287910) |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 10:30 AM Author: big mediation ceo Bro, WW1 started over stupid bullshit in Bosnia. Taiwan works well because it can easily lead to the entire Pacific Rim getting sucked in. China also opens up the possibility of proxy fights in the Middle East.
I think secondary countries like Russia and Iran would mostly get involved by trying to exploit America's distraction by being more aggressive. Maybe we get an Iran/Saudi war on the side or somesuch. |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 2:11 PM Author: Avocado godawful national security agency "WW1 started over stupid bullshit in Bosnia"
Exactly, everyone in this thread is assigning way too much rationality to global actors, and focusing too much on the handful of highly-discussed potential flashpoints (e.g., Kashmir,Taiwan, etc.).
MAJOR wars have been started over stupid shit. I could see something like the Japanese textbook controversy instigating a war between Japan and China, and thus bringing China and the U.S. into a general war. Alternatively, the Balkans have always been a great source of wars. Maybe another Balkans ethnic genocide issue spins out of control if Russia backs one side and we back another? |
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Date: February 23rd, 2015 1:01 PM Author: elite pearl gaping point "Big groups of allies going at each other"? Sorry, bro, but I just don't see that happening any time soon. To have "big groups of allies going at each other," that presupposes that both sides have allies. The only two countries in the world that could realistically pose any kind of challenge to the U.S. are Russia and China. But what allies do either of these countries have? North Korea? A Syria regime that is on the brink of collapse?
True, China has been giving money to countries in Latin America (bypassing the World Bank/IMF) to try to build alliances. But this seems to be motivating entirely by the desire to secure access to resources/raw materials (particularly oil) rather than forming military alliances. China thus far has shown zero interest in becoming a global military superpower like the U.S. Their current strategy focuses on becoming a regional power that is strong enough to keep the U.S. from meddling in a conflict over Taiwan or the SCC, but they have no capability (nor any indication of a desire to have the capability) to fight a military conflict outside their home region.
The closest thing you could have to a world war these days would involve Putin causing enough problems in Eastern Europe that NATO decides to go Article 5 on his ass or some conflict involving China and Taiwan or its neighbors in the SCC. But I have a hard time imagining that either Russia or China has many allies fighting on their side.
The only possible way I see this developing into a "World War" under your definition is if China and Russia decided to form some kind of alliance against the U.S. I can't think of any reason they would do that, though, other than a desire to stick it to the Yanks. That seems unlikely, though. Both countries have to realize that even if they form an alliance, they would probably lose a conventional war against the U.S. and its allies. And the costs of losing such a war would greatly outweigh any benefit from an unlikely victory. |
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Date: February 22nd, 2015 10:41 AM Author: Nudist Diverse Dysfunction There's plenty of grudges and disputes among powers, but neither party is willing to go balls deep into war because it isn't worth the costs
To fulfill the definition of a WW3, I'd see a conflict across at least two continents.
My guess is a war in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, with the US/UK/Saudi Arabia/Sunni Kingdoms/pro western Eastern Euro nations like Poland one one side, and Russia/Iran/Syria on another. US/Saudi nations will win that war, further plunging Russia into irrelevancy. It will be a limited war as well, with death tolls at most "only" a few 100k
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Date: November 30th, 2015 5:25 PM Author: Awkward contagious famous landscape painting set Nothing convincing in here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#29278887) |
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Date: July 28th, 2016 8:40 PM Author: puce boyish black woman Taiwan (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=2812319&forum_id=2#31054843) |