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Why 2016 Could Be Shattering For Republicans

You Trump freaks live in some fantasy land where the US is 9...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
By Stanley B. Greenberg
Mint Massive Useless Brakes Party Of The First Part
  11/14/15
SO u shld like it since u love JOOS
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
you're in the wrong neighborhood, hoss
french emerald theater stage
  11/14/15
...
Cocky Antidepressant Drug Rehab
  11/14/15
Ran here
Sticky forum national security agency
  11/14/15
...
french emerald theater stage
  11/14/15
...
Painfully honest puce french chef
  11/14/15
...
buck-toothed crotch elastic band
  11/14/15
White Americans, the native Americans of the 21st century
Indecent angry institution
  11/14/15
I wish people would voluntarily hie to reservations in the D...
Cocky Antidepressant Drug Rehab
  11/14/15
"For the GOP, 2016 may look like 1984 did for the Democ...
Aqua theater
  11/14/15
nigga wat?
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
To be fair, This.
silver stirring trump supporter
  11/14/15
the whole world is clickbait oh god turn it off
Contagious Faggot Firefighter
  11/14/15
*farts cum*
Nighttime Comical Brunch Hissy Fit
  11/14/15
ljl at reptiles not dealing with the underlying stat: in 201...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
It's weird then that Obama's approval rating is hovering aro...
mischievous menage boiling water
  11/14/15
and yet hillary still losing in national polls to carson rub...
ruby degenerate
  11/14/15
to carson but she's up 5 to trump u moron and i think 1.5 to...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
yeah and ur acting like its a landslide despite every GOP ca...
ruby degenerate
  11/14/15
they bashed his over stupid email shit for months.. wht bull...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
Twist: it could just as easily demolish the Democratic Party...
mischievous menage boiling water
  11/14/15
its hard as furk fo ra party to get three straight terms as ...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
you do realize that GOP is currently in its strongest positi...
ruby degenerate
  11/14/15
oh from gerrymandering and winning in 80% white states? oh w...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
hurr durr gerrymandering is the only reason! *drools* do ...
ruby degenerate
  11/14/15
no cause the system is really rigged and the GOP is 100% rac...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster Stanley B. Gre...
Bull Headed Godawful Mad Cow Disease Depressive
  11/14/15
do u have stats against anything he says faggot? he is talki...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
To be fair, "LOL u dumbfuck whitey stats don't lie&q...
silver stirring trump supporter
  11/14/15
...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
Shitminorities don't vote hth
Bull Headed Godawful Mad Cow Disease Depressive
  11/14/15
?
Bull Headed Godawful Mad Cow Disease Depressive
  01/20/18
Yet this same electorate has a solid GOP House, Senate, and ...
pink free-loading boltzmann chapel
  11/14/15
lol jfc, in 2012 the dems got 1.2m more votes in house but l...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
In 2014 the GOP did win the overall congressional vote by 6%...
mahogany disrespectful den azn
  11/14/15
YOUNG hispanics dont vote enough cause they are youNG.. ppl ...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
Turnout among Hispanics of all ages is awful. Turnout in off...
mahogany disrespectful den azn
  11/14/15
cr or also see repturd maryland as an example.
ruby degenerate
  11/14/15
...
pink free-loading boltzmann chapel
  01/20/18
...
laughsome infuriating kitty
  11/14/15
yea. plus also tons of those white libs are now white contur...
ruby degenerate
  11/14/15
lol u realize how many single women are going to go insane a...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
yeah i see that to a certain extent. plus it seems that whit...
ruby degenerate
  11/14/15
...
laughsome infuriating kitty
  11/14/15
ljl white male swing voters is like 8% of the electrorate.. ...
mind-boggling jap
  11/14/15
https://i.ytimg.com/vi/g_scVd18W5k/hqdefault.jpg
Thirsty brethren
  11/14/15
...
vibrant kitchen athletic conference
  01/19/18
...
passionate son of senegal
  01/19/18
https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/01/21/universal/21inaug...
pink free-loading boltzmann chapel
  01/20/18
...
Razzle-dazzle frozen yarmulke
  01/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 9:38 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

You Trump freaks live in some fantasy land where the US is 90% white. It's not and you are almost surely fucked:

By Stanley B. Greenberg November 13

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster and chief executive of the firm Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, is author of the new book “America Ascendant.”

Election Day 2016 will produce a shattering crash larger than anything the pundits anticipate because the revolutionary economic and social changes occurring in the United States have now pushed both the burgeoning new majority and the conservative Republicans’ counterrevolution beyond their tipping points.

The United States is being transformed by revolutions remaking the country at an accelerating and surprising pace. Witness the revolutions in technology, the Internet, big data and energy, though just as important are the tremendous changes taking place in immigration, racial and ethnic diversity, the family, religious observance and gender roles. These are reaching their apexes in the booming metropolitan centers and among millennials.

As the revolutions interact, they are accelerating the emergence of a new America. Consider that nearly 40 percent of New York City’s residents are foreign-born, with Chinese the second-largest group behind Dominicans. The foreign-born make up nearly 40 percent of Los Angeles’s residents and 58 percent of Miami’s. A majority of U.S. households are headed by unmarried people, and, in cities, 40 percent of households include only a single person. Church attendance is in decline, and non-religious seculars now outnumber mainline Protestants. Three-quarters of working-age women are in the labor force, and two-thirds of women are the breadwinners or co-breadwinners of their households. The proportion of racial minorities is approaching 40 percent, but blowing up all projections are the 15 percent of new marriages that are interracial. People are moving from the suburbs to the cities. And in the past five years, two-thirds of millennial college graduates have settled in the 50 largest cities, transforming them.

Shifting attitudes were underscored in this year’s Gallup Poll when 60 to 70 percent of the country said gay and lesbian relations, having a baby outside of marriage, sex between an unmarried man and woman, and divorce are all “morally acceptable.”

The United States is emerging out of its revolutions as racially blended, immigrant, multinational and multilingual — and diversity is becoming more central to our multicultural identity.

Further, these revolutionary transformations have accelerated the growth of a new majority coalition of racial minorities, single women, millennials and seculars. Together, these groups formed 51 percent of the electorate in 2012, but our analysis of census survey data and exit poll projections indicates that they will comprise fully 63 percent in 2016. With these growing groups each supporting Hillary Clinton by more than 2 to 1 in today’s polls, it is fair to say that the United States has reached an electoral tipping point.

The Republican Party’s battle to defeat this new majority has reached a tipping point, too. The brand of the Republican Party today has probably not been as tarnished since the Watergate era.

Republicans have joined a ferocious and intensifying decade-long counterrevolution in an attempt to stop this new majority from governing successfully. In 2004, George W. Bush campaign strategist Karl Rove launched the battle for American values when he gave up on the so-called swing voter and worked to engage millions more evangelicals. That has required pouring ever more fuel on the fire — including warning of Armageddon if the liberal Democrats were to govern.

This battle has left the Republicans with mostly married voters, as well as the oldest, most rural and most religiously observant voters in the country. That creates formidable odds against its winning an electoral college majority.

It has also left a Republican Party where three-quarters of its base voters are tea party supporters, evangelicals or religiously observant. That in turn has catapulted to the top of the Republican presidential race candidates who promise to challenge this new America before it’s too late.

That this counterrevolution has reached its own tipping point is evident in the shrinking proportion of people who think of themselves as conservative. When Republicans challenged President Obama in the off-year elections of 2010, 46 percent of the country was conservative at the high point. That figure is now 37 percent.

For Republicans, 2016 will prove to be no normal election, because it will confirm that the new America is here and that the counterrevolution has lost. That is why I expect the result to be shattering for the Republican Party as we know it.

But it may not prove to be so shattering for the Republican Party that emerges afterward, or for the republic.

For the GOP, 2016 may look like 1984 did for the Democratic Party. It emerged divided out of a bitter primary, and the Democrats’ mainstream candidate, Walter Mondale, lost in a landslide. Afterward, the modernizers got the upper hand. They might well have elected Gary Hart in 1988 and did elect Bill Clinton in 1992.

It is easy to imagine, then, that after the coming shattering election, some Republican leaders will repudiate this campaign’s anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim appeals and actively embrace the United States as an immigrant nation. Other leaders might accept the sexual revolution and the new gender roles and work to help the modern working family. Others might embrace again the need for national investment in education and modern infrastructure.

That would allow a different kind of debate within the Republican Party and, perhaps, a different kind of politics in the country.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185136)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 9:39 PM
Author: Mint Massive Useless Brakes Party Of The First Part

By Stanley B. Greenberg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185143)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 9:43 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

SO u shld like it since u love JOOS

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185172)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:21 PM
Author: french emerald theater stage

you're in the wrong neighborhood, hoss

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185455)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 9:44 PM
Author: Cocky Antidepressant Drug Rehab



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185177)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 9:56 PM
Author: Sticky forum national security agency

Ran here

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185302)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:19 PM
Author: french emerald theater stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185440)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:20 PM
Author: Painfully honest puce french chef



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185447)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:02 PM
Author: buck-toothed crotch elastic band



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185647)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 9:43 PM
Author: Indecent angry institution

White Americans, the native Americans of the 21st century

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185171)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 9:44 PM
Author: Cocky Antidepressant Drug Rehab

I wish people would voluntarily hie to reservations in the Dakotas and Wyoming.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185185)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 9:43 PM
Author: Aqua theater

"For the GOP, 2016 may look like 1984 did for the Democratic Party. It emerged divided out of a bitter primary, and the Democrats’ mainstream candidate, Walter Mondale, lost in a landslide. Afterward, the modernizers got the upper hand. They might well have elected Gary Hart in 1988 and did elect Bill Clinton in 1992.

It is easy to imagine, then, that after the coming shattering election, some Republican leaders will repudiate this campaign’s anti-immigrant and anti-Muslim appeals and actively embrace the United States as an immigrant nation. Other leaders might accept the sexual revolution and the new gender roles and work to help the modern working family. Others might embrace again the need for national investment in education and modern infrastructure."

This is an interesting thing to speculate about. I'm not sure what this would look like in practice.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185174)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 9:59 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

nigga wat?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185319)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:06 PM
Author: silver stirring trump supporter

To be fair,

This.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185352)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:08 PM
Author: Contagious Faggot Firefighter

the whole world is clickbait oh god turn it off

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185373)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:09 PM
Author: Nighttime Comical Brunch Hissy Fit

*farts cum*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185377)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:14 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

ljl at reptiles not dealing with the underlying stat: in 2012 52% of ppl were lib shits (fags, single women yearning for abortions, nigs, beaners, NOWAGS).... in 2016 this JOO says it will be over 60%.. JFC over 60%!! thats insanae, HRC just has to NOT fuk up to win

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185412)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:17 PM
Author: mischievous menage boiling water

It's weird then that Obama's approval rating is hovering around 44-45 percent, no?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185434)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:59 PM
Author: ruby degenerate

and yet hillary still losing in national polls to carson rubio by 8+ points each

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185632)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:03 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

to carson but she's up 5 to trump u moron and i think 1.5 to rubio

ljl at carson

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185650)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:06 PM
Author: ruby degenerate

yeah and ur acting like its a landslide despite every GOP candidate being competitive with her

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185661)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:07 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

they bashed his over stupid email shit for months.. wht bullshit will they come up with the general? she is going to counter attack..e ven omeone like rubio who i think is actually electable is a moron cause his budget is a joke, sshe will destroy hhim over that

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185675)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:15 PM
Author: mischievous menage boiling water

Twist: it could just as easily demolish the Democratic Party.

It's possible that the GOP could have the House, the Senate, the presidency and a majority of the state governments coming out of 2016. If that happens, expect an epic meltdown on the Dem side (assuming that they aren't so stupid that they still run around acting like smug idiots).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185419)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:17 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

its hard as furk fo ra party to get three straight terms as POTUS so yeah eventually the GOP will win back the WH but the imp thing is the long term trend.. the GOP is absolutely fuked unless it gretly changes message and i dont even know how it does that considering how retard the basse is

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185427)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:02 PM
Author: ruby degenerate

you do realize that GOP is currently in its strongest position in decades, right? they hold 2/3 of governorships, congress, including a huge majority in the house, and the majority of state houses as well.

yes the GOP has some challenges on the federal level, but even then their candidates are polling compettively if not ahead of hillary.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185645)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:04 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

oh from gerrymandering and winning in 80% white states? oh what success... they are fuked at the national level unless they cut out their racist shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185654)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:06 PM
Author: ruby degenerate

hurr durr gerrymandering is the only reason! *drools*

do u ever have any substantive response besides the system being rigged or the other side being racist?



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185666)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:08 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

no cause the system is really rigged and the GOP is 100% racist they have no real positions its all racist

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185678)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:20 PM
Author: Bull Headed Godawful Mad Cow Disease Depressive

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster

Stanley B. Greenberg, a Democratic pollster

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185445)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:20 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

do u have stats against anything he says faggot? he is talking stats and demographics.. they are unquestionable, FAGGOT

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185448)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:39 PM
Author: silver stirring trump supporter

To be fair,

"LOL u dumbfuck whitey stats don't lie" - T. Turdskin

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185534)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:40 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185538)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:41 PM
Author: Bull Headed Godawful Mad Cow Disease Depressive

Shitminorities don't vote hth

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185540)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 20th, 2018 12:21 AM
Author: Bull Headed Godawful Mad Cow Disease Depressive

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#35194317)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:29 PM
Author: pink free-loading boltzmann chapel

Yet this same electorate has a solid GOP House, Senate, and governors from coast to coast. Why?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185483)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:38 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

lol jfc, in 2012 the dems got 1.2m more votes in house but lost house cause if gerrymandering

the senate almost surely will go to dems in 2016

the governor shit is stupid look at all the reptile shit states with 1mm ppl who are reptile as furk like north dakota or some shit.. its a stupid way to look at shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185526)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 10:57 PM
Author: mahogany disrespectful den azn

In 2014 the GOP did win the overall congressional vote by 6% and they took some deep blue governorships. Both parties face long term problems. The GOP has the demographic bomb and the slow death of social conservatism. However, the demographic advantage means shit if they don't vote. Young people and Hispanics might be checking out of the political process entirely.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185624)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:04 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

YOUNG hispanics dont vote enough cause they are youNG.. ppl across all ethnicities vote more as they get older

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185657)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:21 PM
Author: mahogany disrespectful den azn

Turnout among Hispanics of all ages is awful. Turnout in off-year elections is steadily declining and has reached all time lows. Even from 2008 to 2012 turnout decreased. The overall population is more diverse and less conservative, but the big decline in turnout favors the GOP. For dems, the turnout problem (especially at the local level) may be indicative of a more rootless base (people move around a lot now for work and don't bother getting involved).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185741)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:04 PM
Author: ruby degenerate

cr or also see repturd maryland as an example.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185651)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 20th, 2018 12:17 AM
Author: pink free-loading boltzmann chapel



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#35194284)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:37 PM
Author: laughsome infuriating kitty



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185822)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:39 PM
Author: ruby degenerate

yea. plus also tons of those white libs are now white conturds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185836)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:46 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

lol u realize how many single women are going to go insane at thought of voting for a female cunt so they can get free birth control and abortions? 60% of HRC's doners are fuking female.. she is going to clean up that shit, she isnt playing games this time and is open abt being first female, dumb white shrews will eat that shit u

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185872)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:48 PM
Author: ruby degenerate

yeah i see that to a certain extent. plus it seems that white shrews hate hate hate trump for some reason..

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185884)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:48 PM
Author: laughsome infuriating kitty



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185887)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:49 PM
Author: mind-boggling jap

ljl white male swing voters is like 8% of the electrorate.. no one gives a fuk

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185896)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 14th, 2015 11:42 PM
Author: Thirsty brethren

https://i.ytimg.com/vi/g_scVd18W5k/hqdefault.jpg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#29185857)



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Date: January 19th, 2018 11:27 PM
Author: vibrant kitchen athletic conference



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#35193947)



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Date: January 19th, 2018 11:31 PM
Author: passionate son of senegal



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#35193975)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 20th, 2018 12:20 AM
Author: pink free-loading boltzmann chapel

https://static01.nyt.com/images/2017/01/21/universal/21inaugurationphotos10/21inaugurationphotos10-videoSixteenByNine1050.jpg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#35194301)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 20th, 2018 12:34 AM
Author: Razzle-dazzle frozen yarmulke



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3045432&forum_id=2#35194417)