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Yeb!'s last, best hope
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:25 AM Author: green stead - Cruz wins Iowa
- Trump wins NH
- Yeb! manages to place third in NH
-Rubio does poorly in both
-party elites freak out about cruz / trump
- some mainstream candidates drop out
- Yeb! continues to spend like crazy
I give this like a 5-10% chance
If trump wins Iowa, it's game over |
Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:27 AM Author: Comical lemon organic girlfriend church building (things that will never happen) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29654269) |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:29 AM Author: Comical lemon organic girlfriend church building Yeb is already in a circular firing squad. The campaign and his super pac are already pointing fingers at one another, which is pretty much a perfect indicator for a campaign in its death throes.
"BUSH BLAME GAME BEGINS: With Jeb failing, supporters, staff and donors start pointing the finger at the Super PAC's chief, Mike Murphy," by Anna Palmer and Eli Stokols: "They think his attacks on Marco Rubio are doing more harm than good. And they worry that, at the end, all he will have accomplished is the destruction of the Bush family brand. The big-money supporters fueling Jeb Bush's super PAC have found their bogeyman: Mike Murphy, a sharp-witted, Twitter-obsessed veteran GOP ad man who runs the pro-Bush super PAC Right to Rise.
"'It looks like they're blowing the whole thing up , like even if Jeb can't win, they're not going to let anyone else win either,' said a Florida Bush backer and Right to Rise donor ... 'You might as well light all of this money on fire. Most of all, they're hurting the reputation of a really great man.'" http://politi.co/1UdsDUX |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:30 AM Author: Comical lemon organic girlfriend church building Meanwhile . . .
WHAT MARCO IS THINKING: My favorability and poll numbers have remained steady, despite what my media buyers tell me is more than $22 million spent attacking me this cycle -- more than any other candidate. That shows who Jeb and Ted are REALLY afraid of! Attacks on others are minimal, compared to what I've faced: Kasich and Right to Rise have spent roughly $3.5 million in New Hampshire against Trump (including the desk ad that had me in it).
My media wizards tell me Jeb's super PAC, Right to Rise, has run at least $20 million against me, and Cruz super PACs have spent at least $2 million! The negative ads started the first week of December, and continue this week. And those numbers don't include radio and digital, which my guys say is likely several million more. |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:34 AM Author: Federal dead windowlicker set All of this insider shit is laughable. These consultants, pollsters, and media "gurus" are just lining their own pockets. I can't believe candidates fall for it over and over. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29654325) |
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Date: January 29th, 2016 11:29 AM Author: Appetizing turdskin fanboi cr. These hucksters create all of this shit to justify their own existence. Glad Trump is helping to shine a light on their fraud lies (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29706595) |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:34 AM Author: Ruby big codepig Yeb! is finished because of Snakegate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29654330) |
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Date: January 27th, 2016 3:02 PM Author: green stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29692468) |
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Date: January 28th, 2016 8:57 AM Author: green stead starting to think this is more like a 33% chance now based on recent polls
could see Cruz winning Iowa, Trump squeaking a victory in NH but Bush or Kasich doing OK
Give Bush the edge over Kasich after that since Kasich has no money or organization outside of NH
Establishment vote rushes to Bush
Brokered convention
????
MITT ROMNEY |
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Date: March 6th, 2016 1:46 PM Author: green stead the ???? MITT ROMNEY thing is starting to look more possible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29994465) |
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Date: January 28th, 2016 9:38 AM Author: motley territorial associate This is basically the strategy for all the establishment candidates. Bush, Rubio, Kasich, Christie. Hope to place #3 in IA or NH and have some other guys drop out. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29698040) |
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Date: January 29th, 2016 11:16 AM Author: green stead I think trump wins Iowa and takes the whole thing.
But if somehow Cruz manages to beat him, then i'm giving it a 60% chance that Yeb or Rubio or Kasich gets it through this strategy. Might be a brokered convention, but that would not end well for Trump. |
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Date: January 29th, 2016 1:43 PM Author: Splenetic Carnelian Shrine Trump will win almost every state. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29707463) |
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Date: January 29th, 2016 1:47 PM Author: green stead If he wins Iowa, I agree (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29707500) |
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Date: February 3rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: green stead Will be interesting if he drops out after NH. He needs to out-perform - at least 3rd place - to have any chance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29743387) |
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Date: February 8th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: green stead HERE WE GO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29782077) |
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Date: February 16th, 2016 2:48 PM Author: green stead OK, any possible reasonable reason for YEB! not dropping out if he doesn't finish in the top 3 in SC? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843348) |
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Date: February 16th, 2016 2:49 PM Author: iridescent diverse locus you seem weirdly obsessed with irrelevant things. trump is going to be the nominee. deal with it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843357) |
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Date: February 16th, 2016 2:50 PM Author: green stead well the only chance Rubio has at this point is if Kasich and Yeb! drop out - question is, will they? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843365) |
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Date: February 16th, 2016 2:50 PM Author: Marvelous cordovan philosopher-king garrison He has money and nothing else to do (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843367) |
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Date: February 16th, 2016 2:52 PM Author: green stead true but he probably also hates trump and must know that staying in the race just helps trump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843386) |
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Date: February 16th, 2016 2:54 PM Author: hairraiser impressive ape cruise ship this - superpac money changed the game, and now there's no reason not to hang in until the money is gone, the longer you stay in, the better your chances PLUS at the end you play your cards right you get a cush fox news position (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843393) |
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Date: February 16th, 2016 2:50 PM Author: Passionate Dopamine Degenerate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843370) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: green stead That's all she wrote, folks. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29877621) |