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Just sold all my index funds, putting all investments ~500k in Apple on Monday.
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 2:50 PM Author: Charismatic degenerate library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29655655) |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 2:55 PM Author: mustard point nowag Enjoy your taxes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29655704) |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:00 PM Author: Charismatic degenerate library its all 401k and pension so no taxes. :) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29655738) |
Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:01 PM Author: Bistre base partner Why does Apple have such a consistently low p/e?
Is the market worried about the eventual post-Jobs loss of 'it' factor?
IDK Tim Cook seems to be keeping it together pretty good. |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:02 PM Author: Mischievous area giraffe arent its earnings insane? it seels a fuking iphone for 700 bucks or whatever, it costs like 70 bucks to make that shit in china right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29655749) |
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Date: January 27th, 2016 7:31 PM Author: seedy buff shrine new version "Shoppers can easily drop at least $749 to get their hands on an unsubsidized and unlocked iPhone 6S Plus. But it only costs Apple $236 to make it, according to a teardown performed by market research group IHS."
http://www.ibtimes.com/iphone-6s-plus-costs-apple-inc-16-more-make-iphone-6-plus-ihs-teardown-reveals-2120667 |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:03 PM Author: Charismatic degenerate library no idea, I'm not an investor masterman. I'm just looking for a quick 10-20% come up and this is the best bet in a while. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29655758) |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:06 PM Author: Naked aphrodisiac chapel codepig LJL
"Just sold all my index funds, putting all investments..."
to
"no idea, I'm not an investor mastermind...the best bet in a while." |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:08 PM Author: Charismatic degenerate library Investment Masterman = someone who does the research and invest.
Me = someone who thinks its a good bet Apple will be at 110-120 within 12-24 months but has done no research. |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:16 PM Author: mustard point nowag Your index funds could just as easily be up 10-20% in that time frame. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29655840) |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:15 PM Author: mustard point nowag Because investors doubt their earnings will continue to be astronomical. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29655832) |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:21 PM Author: Provocative Dark Address Multi-billionaire Because how much bigger can it realistically get? It's one of the biggest companies in the world already. It has pretty much maxed out its growth, and consumer electronics is a fickle industry. It's unlikely it stays this large for 10+ years. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29655868) |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:45 PM Author: aquamarine offensive coldplay fan mad cow disease apple spends about $150-$250 to manufacture an iphone, which it then sells for $600-$700. even worse, the iphone has close substitutes that are much cheaper. because the device industry refreshes very quickly and has a lot of aggressive players, investors worry about a sudden decline (see blackberry, which once had what was thought to be a near-unassailable position in enterprise devices).
more recently, marginal growth has come from china. china looks fucked. so investors worry about that, too. |
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Date: January 22nd, 2016 3:22 PM Author: buck-toothed famous landscape painting either way, this will be a great thread to bump in a few months (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29655879) |
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Date: January 24th, 2016 12:56 AM Author: Charismatic degenerate library (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29665754) |
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Date: January 24th, 2016 1:01 AM Author: Clear office why would you do this the day after aapl went up 5% to $101 instead of buying when it fell below $95? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29665782) |
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Date: January 27th, 2016 7:22 PM Author: Rusted cerebral ticket booth elastic band Well, fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29694438) |
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Date: January 27th, 2016 7:29 PM Author: Chestnut liquid oxygen What about Bitcoins? You could ENJOY WINKLEVOSS. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29694469) |
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Date: January 27th, 2016 7:31 PM Author: laughsome pea-brained brethren how much did you lose? 8%? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29694480) |
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Date: January 27th, 2016 7:39 PM Author: aquamarine offensive coldplay fan mad cow disease lol dumbass (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29694537) |
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Date: January 27th, 2016 7:42 PM Author: Rose indian lodge stock car There was literally no way of knowing this was a bad idea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29694569) |
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Date: January 27th, 2016 7:48 PM Author: aquamarine offensive coldplay fan mad cow disease the sale of index funds was ex ante a terrible idea for the following reasons:
1) massive underdiversification; there is no way he knew enough about aapl to justify a 100% stake under the kelly criterion
2) sudden move from index funds to a single stock
even if it had worked out, it would be luck, not skill |
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Date: February 11th, 2016 2:10 AM Author: mustard point nowag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3105004&forum_id=2#29802133) |