My interpretation of the Hillary vs Trump polling
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Date: June 27th, 2016 11:27 PM Author: Pungent charcoal background story blood rage
she is leading by 5-7 points nationally, but in swing states, it's super tight, with hillary leading by 1-3 points or virtually tied.
WTF is going on?
I think what's happening now is that trump is getting absolutely PWND in big blue states such as CA, NY, IL, NJ, and is not doing as well as prior GOP nominees in red states. That is bringing down his popular vote total, but in swing states, he's still doing OK, despite like the worst month ever.
Now, eventually the national popular vote and the electoral college will more or less align on election day. I do think Hillary will win, but it will be closer than people think.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3268866&forum_id=2#30806403) |
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