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My interpretation of the Hillary vs Trump polling

she is leading by 5-7 points nationally, but in swing states...
Pungent charcoal background story blood rage
  06/27/16
*leans into mic*
umber milk hospital
  10/21/18
Actually he wasn't that far off
insanely creepy mood rigor
  10/21/18
yeah he wasn't way off, even though he thought HRC would win...
umber milk hospital
  10/21/18


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Date: June 27th, 2016 11:27 PM
Author: Pungent charcoal background story blood rage

she is leading by 5-7 points nationally, but in swing states, it's super tight, with hillary leading by 1-3 points or virtually tied.

WTF is going on?

I think what's happening now is that trump is getting absolutely PWND in big blue states such as CA, NY, IL, NJ, and is not doing as well as prior GOP nominees in red states. That is bringing down his popular vote total, but in swing states, he's still doing OK, despite like the worst month ever.

Now, eventually the national popular vote and the electoral college will more or less align on election day. I do think Hillary will win, but it will be closer than people think.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3268866&forum_id=2#30806403)



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Date: October 21st, 2018 2:34 PM
Author: umber milk hospital

*leans into mic*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3268866&forum_id=2#37067209)



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Date: October 21st, 2018 2:41 PM
Author: insanely creepy mood rigor

Actually he wasn't that far off

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3268866&forum_id=2#37067238)



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Date: October 21st, 2018 2:46 PM
Author: umber milk hospital

yeah he wasn't way off, even though he thought HRC would win. i view this genre as the "HRC will win, of course, but you might be surprised at how close it will be."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3268866&forum_id=2#37067260)