Sadly I agree, its simply impractical to think that they are all that far off. Is there time to change? of course... a lot can happen in that time. I sure as hell hope so...

2 posted on 8/9/2016, 11:48:06 AM by wyowolf (Be ware when the preachers take over the Republican party...)

To: baxtelf

After the 2012 “skewed polls” hysteria convincing us Romney had it locked up, complete with accompanying “more Romney yard signs” and “packed rallies” I’ve decided to check my poll skepticism at the door. And I donate regularly to the Trump campaign hoping he catches lightning in a bottle.

5 posted on 8/9/2016, 11:53:09 AM by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)

To: baxtelf

He certainly showed four years ago that he understands polls a lot better than the people who are “reweighting” the party support and “unskewing” the results.

7 posted on 8/9/2016, 11:54:03 AM by babble-on

To: baxtelf

It seems political commentators failed to learn their lesson from the 2012 election. If you recall many pundits and radio commentators were predicting that years polls were wrong-THEY WERE NOT WRONG.

11 posted on 8/9/2016, 11:55:42 AM by AEMILIUS PAULUS

To: baxtelf

Other than to demoralize us, what purpose do threads like this serve?

14 posted on 8/9/2016, 11:56:38 AM by Artcore (Trump 2016!)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3330673&forum_id=2#31253648)

I could not agree more. In 2012 we heard all the same things about the polls, and I saw with my own eyes a wave of enthusiastic support at a Romney rally, including lots of energetic young voters. It seemed impossible that Obama would be reelected.

Well, we couldn’t have been more wrong.

17 posted on 8/9/2016, 11:58:07 AM by LittleSpotBlog

To: wyowolf

Brexit was losing by something like 9% in the telephone polls the night before it passed by 2% at the ballot box.

19 posted on 8/9/2016, 11:58:50 AM by Uncle Miltie (This posting is a microaggression.)

To: Jagman

He’s pretty honest about the problems with state-level polling in primaries and about the non-polling based weightings that he got wrong in the primaries. That doesn’t undermine his getting all 50 states right last time, and even getting the percentages very close in each state

21 posted on 8/9/2016, 11:59:30 AM by babble-on

To: BlueStateRightist

I agree. I’ve lived through enough campaigns here at FR and heard “skewed polls”...”bumper stickers”...”yard signs”...”overflow rallies”...and guess what...We’ve had two elections where we got BHO. I fell for the “polls are skewed” in 2008 and 2012. Not going to fall for that again.

24 posted on 8/9/2016, 12:00:29 PM by NELSON111

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3330673&forum_id=2#31253673)