Why do libs find it so hard to believe that 3 milion illegals voted in election?
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Date: January 24th, 2017 12:58 PM Author: Judgmental Crystalline School Cafeteria Old Irish Cottage
Illegals voting isn't even disputed.
People voting multiple times or on behalf of others isn't disputed.
They know this simply from people applying to become citizens and answering "yes" when asked if they've ever registered to vote or voted.
Just in this last election, more votes were cast in Detroit than there are registered voters.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32447564) |
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Date: January 24th, 2017 4:20 PM Author: jet boiling water
woah woah woah, that's a little misleading don't you think.
God does not exist!
[NO EVIDENCE]
Thus the statement that God does not exist is not true.
TYTYTYTYTYTYTY
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32449351) |
Date: January 24th, 2017 11:20 AM Author: Spectacular Garrison
Doesn't California make it exceedingly easy for someone to register and vote without providing any evidence of citizenship?
Libs: Be honest. Give us a ballpark estimate of how many noncitizens you think voted in 2016. I assume it's less than 3M.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32446847) |
Date: January 24th, 2017 12:58 PM Author: impressive community account
Obviously some illegals vote and some other shady voting shit goes on for dems (see Detroit).
Almost certainly not enough to 3 million votes. But who gives a fuck, Trump should stop harping on the popular vote shit and inauguration numbers unless it is misdirection to distract from the other shit he is doing.
Either way shitlibs, you popular vote "lead" is not going to save you, lmao, ur all gonna die.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32447562) |
Date: January 24th, 2017 2:11 PM Author: Heady gold institution knife
alternative facts ftw jfc
all of you gas yourselves
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32448107) |
Date: January 24th, 2017 3:06 PM Author: beady-eyed mad cow disease main people
The evidence for this is equal to the evidence that xoTrump has reached an agreement with xoPutin to divide Europe right down the middle.
Since there is "no evidence that X didn't happen," should we just start reporting them as probably true?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32448663) |
Date: January 24th, 2017 3:18 PM Author: aromatic underhanded round eye
It isn't hard to believe, but there is zero evidence 3mm illegal aliens voted....which is what libs are up in arms about.
It gets old when Trump just literally makes shit up and then runs around spouting it like fact....if he continues to do this, eventually this will affect the US in a very negative way
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32448761) |
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Date: January 24th, 2017 4:04 PM Author: Sexy iridescent temple gunner
Because he's exaggerating, obviously.
Date: January 24th, 2017 3:31 PM
Author: Get Thee to the Gold House
This right here is the point. It's not likely as high as 3 million, but he knows it's a significant number much higher than zero. He always does this but no one seems to catch on. He keeps bringing it up so that the MSM will "take the bait," which they now have. Now people will look into it and find the number was less than 3 million (ZOMG TRUMP IS SUCH A LIAR!!) but more than zero (which will horrify most people). The MSM will think they "got him" while everyone else is focused on a legitimate problem that Trump has now put a spotlight on.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32448887)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32449179) |
Date: January 24th, 2017 3:55 PM Author: Cobalt jet-lagged office
Could control of the Senate in 2014 be decided by illegal votes cast by non-citizens? Some argue that incidents of voting by non-citizens are so rare as to be inconsequential, with efforts to block fraud a screen for an agenda to prevent poor and minority voters from exercising the franchise, while others define such incidents as a threat to democracy itself. Both sides depend more heavily on anecdotes than data.
In a forthcoming article in the journal Electoral Studies, we bring real data from big social science survey datasets to bear on the question of whether, to what extent, and for whom non-citizens vote in U.S. elections. Most non-citizens do not register, let alone vote. But enough do that their participation can change the outcome of close races.
Our data comes from the Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES). Its large number of observations (32,800 in 2008 and 55,400 in 2010) provide sufficient samples of the non-immigrant sub-population, with 339 non-citizen respondents in 2008 and 489 in 2010. For the 2008 CCES, we also attempted to match respondents to voter files so that we could verify whether they actually voted.
How many non-citizens participate in U.S. elections? More than 14 percent of non-citizens in both the 2008 and 2010 samples indicated that they were registered to vote. Furthermore, some of these non-citizens voted. Our best guess, based upon extrapolations from the portion of the sample with a verified vote, is that 6.4 percent of non-citizens voted in 2008 and 2.2 percent of non-citizens voted in 2010.
Estimated Voter Turnout by Non-Citizens
2008 2010
Self reported and/or verified 38 (11.3%) 13 (3.5%)
Self reported and verified 5 (1.5%) N.A.
Adjusted estimate 21 (6.4%) 8 (2.2%)
Because non-citizens tended to favor Democrats (Obama won more than 80 percent of the votes of non-citizens in the 2008 CCES sample), we find that this participation was large enough to plausibly account for Democratic victories in a few close elections. Non-citizen votes could have given Senate Democrats the pivotal 60th vote needed to overcome filibusters in order to pass health-care reform and other Obama administration priorities in the 111th Congress. Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) won election in 2008 with a victory margin of 312 votes. Votes cast by just 0.65 percent of Minnesota non-citizens could account for this margin. It is also possible that non-citizen votes were responsible for Obama’s 2008 victory in North Carolina. Obama won the state by 14,177 votes, so a turnout by 5.1 percent of North Carolina’s adult non-citizens would have provided this victory margin.
We also find that one of the favorite policies advocated by conservatives to prevent voter fraud appears strikingly ineffective. Nearly three quarters of the non-citizens who indicated they were asked to provide photo identification at the polls claimed to have subsequently voted.
An alternative approach to reducing non-citizen turnout might emphasize public information. Unlike other populations, including naturalized citizens, education is not associated with higher participation among non-citizens. In 2008, non-citizens with less than a college degree were significantly more likely to cast a validated vote, and no non-citizens with a college degree or higher cast a validated vote. This hints at a link between non-citizen voting and lack of awareness about legal barriers.
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There are obvious limitations to our research, which one should take account of when interpreting the results. Although the CCES sample is large, the non-citizen portion of the sample is modest, with the attendant uncertainty associated with sampling error. We analyze only 828 self-reported non-citizens. Self-reports of citizen status might also be a source of error, although the appendix of our paper shows that the racial, geographic, and attitudinal characteristics of non-citizens (and non-citizen voters) are consistent with their self-reported status.
Another possible limitation is the matching process conducted by Catalist to verify registration and turnout drops many non-citizen respondents who cannot be matched. Our adjusted estimate assumes the implication of a “registered” or “voted” response among those who Catalist could not match is the same as for those whom it could. If one questions this assumption, one might focus only on those non-citizens with a reported and validated vote. This is the second line of the table.
Finally, extrapolation to specific state-level or district-level election outcomes is fraught with substantial uncertainty. It is obviously possible that non-citizens in California are more likely to vote than non-citizens in North Carolina, or vice versa. Thus, we are much more confident that non-citizen votes mattered for the Minnesota Senate race (a turnout of little more than one-tenth of our adjusted estimate is all that would be required) than that non-citizen votes changed the outcome in North Carolina.
Our research cannot answer whether the United States should move to legalize some electoral participation by non-citizens as many other countries do, and as some U.S. states did for more than 100 years, or find policies that more effectively restrict it. But this research should move that debate a step closer to a common set of facts.
Jesse Richman is Associate Professor of Political Science and International Studies at Old Dominion University, and Director of the ODU Social Science Research Center. David Earnest is Associate Professor of Political Science and International Studies at Old Dominion University, and Associate Dean for Research & Graduate Studies in the College of Arts and Letters.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2014/10/24/could-non-citizens-decide-the-november-election/?utm_term=.7b3ff4b0d3cf
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32449098) |
Date: January 24th, 2017 3:56 PM Author: hairraiser wild abode
It's strange seeing XO opinions starting to move away from trump, with a few loyalists holding on "libs are all gonna die".
My cousin was a hardcore trumpmo, fresh out of college and works at the fed as a bank analyst. Yesterday, I told him to watch out, the hiring freezes could mean that his job is in jeopardy. He laughed and told me "bullshit". Today he received an email saying that they may have to pull his job offer, after he's been working there for 6 months. He's in disbelief and I don't want to be a dick with the "I told you so" shit.
Those of us with money/biglaw/good jobs are going to be fine, it's pretty pathetic when we whine that the world is ending. I just know it's going to be sad watching my less-educated, less-monied friends and relatives panic when prices start rising from a trade war etc, and they start realizing that they voted for an idiot purely because they hated the PC shit that's riddled our society.
But no one forced them. They did this to themselves, and part of me will silently enjoy watching it happen.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32449103) |
Date: January 24th, 2017 4:00 PM Author: stimulating misanthropic foreskin nursing home
Well there's no proof.
Also, if you've ever spent time with illegals you'd know they try to keep as low a profile as possible for fear of triggering some sequence of events that will get then deported. I really don't see them taking any kind of risks to register their identity and illegally vote when there is virtually no benefit to doing so.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32449141) |
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Date: January 24th, 2017 4:37 PM Author: Bronze razzle-dazzle hospital
I agree with you that it is highly unlikely that a recent Mexican immigrant would take the initiative on his own to jump to through hoops necessary to vote, but, without sounding too consipratorial, I'm sure there are turn out the vote organizations that target Hispanic communities to register and purposely don't inquire too much about citizenship, if you know what I mean.
Additionally, there is a decent sized demographic of DACA types who have prb been here all their life, might be in university and are very politicallly active, like many other college students. In California, there are likely thousands of these types that voted.
I'm not saying that all this amounted to millions of votes that cost Donald the popular vote, but it's funny to hear people claim that illegals NEVER vote. A decent number of them prb do.
180 story btw.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3502105&forum_id=2#32449511) |
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