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According to this metric we're still a ways off from the next recession

https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/capit...
Motley charcoal digit ratio
  03/27/17
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Poppy galvanic temple
  03/27/17
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Motley charcoal digit ratio
  03/27/17
it predicted four of the last 8 recessions. it's literally a...
iridescent flirting space hominid
  03/27/17
...
Motley charcoal digit ratio
  03/27/17
...
Poppy galvanic temple
  03/27/17
So how far off are we then?
soul-stirring misanthropic sneaky criminal factory reset button
  03/27/17
That's a sps metric though because the spread can radically ...
bronze wonderful stead ladyboy
  03/27/17
...
Motley charcoal digit ratio
  03/27/17
...
Motley charcoal digit ratio
  07/25/17
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Motley charcoal digit ratio
  01/05/18
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Motley charcoal digit ratio
  03/22/19
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Motley charcoal digit ratio
  08/14/19


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Date: March 27th, 2017 10:53 AM
Author: Motley charcoal digit ratio

https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/capital_markets/Prob_Rec.pdf

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#32927776)



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Date: March 27th, 2017 10:56 AM
Author: Poppy galvanic temple



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#32927800)



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Date: March 27th, 2017 5:39 PM
Author: Motley charcoal digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#32931343)



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Date: March 27th, 2017 5:49 PM
Author: iridescent flirting space hominid

it predicted four of the last 8 recessions. it's literally a coin flip

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#32931434)



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Date: March 27th, 2017 5:51 PM
Author: Motley charcoal digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#32931453)



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Date: March 27th, 2017 5:52 PM
Author: Poppy galvanic temple



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#32931456)



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Date: March 27th, 2017 5:44 PM
Author: soul-stirring misanthropic sneaky criminal factory reset button

So how far off are we then?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#32931383)



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Date: March 27th, 2017 5:44 PM
Author: bronze wonderful stead ladyboy

That's a sps metric though because the spread can radically shift within the span of less than a year. The "prediction power" is kind of fraud given some crazy swing is usually happening in the context of financial chaos to begin with

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#32931391)



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Date: March 27th, 2017 5:49 PM
Author: Motley charcoal digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#32931438)



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Date: July 25th, 2017 5:45 PM
Author: Motley charcoal digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#33853671)



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Date: January 5th, 2018 10:15 AM
Author: Motley charcoal digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#35086976)



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Date: March 22nd, 2019 11:40 AM
Author: Motley charcoal digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#37971161)



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Date: August 14th, 2019 1:16 PM
Author: Motley charcoal digit ratio



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3565514&forum_id=2#38685939)