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If ur not buying TWX ur insane

The Time Warner/AT&T merger will go through despite the ...
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  11/15/17
FRIENDLY REMINDER
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  11/16/17
this is still a good buy?
leolenin
  11/16/17
Deal spread is $15 based on the current price of T (stock po...
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  11/16/17
It's a hell of a spread and you would be getting T at a GREA...
Refunkulus
  11/16/17
do you ENDORSE this buy?
leolenin
  11/16/17
I'm not the best at arbitrage operations - but I think this ...
Refunkulus
  11/16/17
Thank
FATCEPs
  11/16/17
u fuckin fagets are missin out
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  11/16/17
I bought 10 shares of TWX. We will see what unfolds
leolenin
  11/16/17
DOJ will likely sue to block the deal. TWX might spike down ...
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  11/16/17
Spread a little narrower! Let's hope AT&T settles with t...
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  11/17/17
Lawsuit is officially out. Looks like a weak complaint by th...
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  11/21/17
Judge is a GWB appointee! Wave it in boys!
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  11/21/17
How can I buy stocks on coinbase
chandler (friend of Corp slave)
  11/21/17
didn't even go down with yesterday's news
.;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,
  11/21/17
It was well expected the DOJ would sue to block, and without...
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  11/21/17
is it too late to buy?
.;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,
  11/21/17
If the deal gets approved there's still over $13 upside from...
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  11/21/17
In for $1000.
Just wants a hug.
  11/21/17
same
YukabuYorubas
  11/24/17
in for 3 grand. Not going to get Smuckers'd again by ignorin...
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  11/21/17
same
.;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,
  11/21/17
Same reasoning, same amount.
John Jacob Jingleheimerdood
  11/21/17
Ok, I dropped a couple grand in there. We'll see what unfold...
John Jacob Jingleheimerdood
  11/21/17
What does exeunt say
chandler (friend of Corp slave)
  11/21/17
Buy index funds
.,.,.,,,.,,.,.,.,,.,.,.,.,.,,.,.,.,.
  11/24/17
Note there are two risks here: -The main risk is the judg...
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  11/21/17
my family has a FUCKTON of twx. I hope you guys are right.
,.,...,..,.,.,:,.:,.,.,::,..,..,:,.,.:..,:.:,.
  11/21/17
btw this position should be a lawyer's wet dream, so any law...
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  11/21/17
Antitrust is voodoo magic.
Just wants a hug.
  11/21/17
PREACH XO should be handicapping the odds on this like ma...
Refunkulus
  11/21/17
CNBC just said they changed the judge
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  11/21/17
They did, from an Obama appointee (who had to recuse himself...
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  11/21/17
oh okay nice
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  11/21/17
copped $3,000 for fun. my condolences to all of you.
Kenneth Pinyan
  11/21/17
did you sellcuck?
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  11/21/17
no but i am investing cancer every time I pick stocks. last...
Kenneth Pinyan
  11/21/17
oh gotcha, 180. we can all move into a communal poorhouse
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  11/21/17
...
Kenneth Pinyan
  11/24/17
welp
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  11/27/17
What's the problem brother
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  11/29/17
did I destroy it? maybe I should buy some crypto and kill t...
Kenneth Pinyan
  11/29/17
No it's making new highs!
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  11/29/17
Probably not a terrible spot to make a sale, but the arb spr...
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  12/04/17
I've only made fifty bucks I can't sellcuck yet!
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  12/04/17
Then hold tight brother. This is more of a "tactical tr...
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  12/04/17
If you hold through the transaction the T shares you get hav...
Refunkulus
  12/04/17
Are all u TWX holders LOVING LIFE atm?
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  02/01/18
thank you for your good service
YukabuYorubas
  02/02/18
noTWXers crying, losing hoap
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  02/02/18
long term hold for you? or will you flip after the likely me...
YukabuYorubas
  02/02/18
This should close very quickly following approval, so you'll...
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  02/02/18
dem hedge funds are scooping up TWX stock per xo advice: ...
YukabuYorubas
  02/20/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  02/20/18
...
YukabuYorubas
  02/20/18
Just bought 120 shares @ 95. You guys better not be fucking ...
'""""'"
  02/20/18
I liked it better sub-90 but the thesis is still there - wou...
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  02/20/18
What happens now
'""""'"
  02/20/18
idk, Makan seems intent on fighting to the bitter end, but i...
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  02/21/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  02/21/18
I HELD I LOVE YOU
'""""'"
  06/12/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  02/20/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  02/21/18
is it up big or down
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  02/21/18
Up 50 bps. Still a $11 spread.
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  02/21/18
unnnnghhhhhhhh
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  02/21/18
The DOJ's case is shit and everyone knows it. Now the trial ...
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  03/15/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  03/19/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  03/19/18
really shitty call so far, S&P is up 10% since OP. Basic...
imanxoxoposter
  03/19/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  03/19/18
Arbs like this are market isolated
Refunkulus
  03/19/18
lol jfc 10% is a GREAT return in 4 months,and there's sti...
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  03/19/18
great call actually and it's going to the moon
Wilbur Mercer-Bey
  03/19/18
when moon
YukabuYorubas
  03/20/18
Judge Leon gave the trial a 6-8 week timetable. Possible the...
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  03/20/18
ty
YukabuYorubas
  03/24/18
Civ #? Ty for the info.
twins
  03/24/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  03/23/18
DOJ is getting GAPED in litigation right now. Like, benzo-ti...
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  03/23/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  03/23/18
The DOJ's KEY WITNESS, one Carl "Faggot" Shapiro, ...
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  04/11/18
Btw the main headwind to this trade lately has been T stayin...
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  04/11/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  04/17/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  04/26/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  04/26/18
Problem is T is getting clobbered on earnings today (risk ou...
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  04/26/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  04/26/18
Yes, no idea whether they'll try to squeeze T for more thoug...
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  04/26/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  04/26/18
The trial should be done by early next week, and from there ...
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  04/26/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  04/26/18
Depends on your pain tolerance. At this point if the deal br...
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  04/26/18
When are you selling your TWX stock bro?
YukabuYorubas
  06/13/18
I'm tempted to get long some AT&T here - Anyone know if ...
Refunkulus
  04/26/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  04/26/18
ok very interesting - I think the DoJ does not have a case h...
Refunkulus
  04/26/18
Fuck twx is at 91 today
'""""'"
  05/09/18
:(
Just wants a hug.
  05/09/18
Is this also the nxpi merger arb masterman?
DrakeMallard
  05/09/18
Hovenkamp says TWX bros are fukt. https://www.bizjournals...
Just wants a hug.
  06/04/18
Ruling this week!
YukabuYorubas
  06/11/18
We maed it.
Just wants a hug.
  06/12/18
YES WE CAN
YukabuYorubas
  06/12/18
14% return from time op created this thread based on after h...
,.,.,.,..,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.
  06/12/18
14% since 2016? doesn't seem worth tying up investmnet dolla...
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  06/12/18
That would require risk, which is why xo didn't invest becau...
libcrusher180
  06/12/18
lmao Makan u faggot
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  06/12/18
how likely is it that TWX trades above 102 in the next coupl...
'""""'"
  06/12/18
Anyone know when the next ex dividend date for $T is? Solidl...
The Jewish Academy of Farts and Sinuses
  06/12/18
http://www.dividend.com/dividend-stocks/technology/telecom-s...
libcrusher180
  06/13/18
when are bros selling? Deal closes in 7 days
YukabuYorubas
  06/13/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  06/13/18
Depends what your view on T is. Probably going to be selling...
,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,
  06/13/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  06/13/18
I'd like to take my profits and run very soon. But don't kno...
YukabuYorubas
  06/13/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  06/13/18
cr. Will sell now
YukabuYorubas
  06/13/18
I sold June 22 100 calls on my shares. No way the deal close...
'""""'"
  06/13/18
The gross spread here is $2, which implies a close of ~$99.9...
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  06/13/18
...
Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle
  06/13/18
T getting crushed obviously did not help. But not totally un...
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  06/13/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 15th, 2017 3:04 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


The Time Warner/AT&T merger will go through despite the tough stance the DOJ is taking right now. $15 upside from here. Will happen within a matter of months. CONVICTION BUY

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34693977)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:34 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


FRIENDLY REMINDER

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699879)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:34 AM
Author: leolenin

this is still a good buy?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699884)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:36 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Deal spread is $15 based on the current price of T (stock portion changes depending on where T falls within a certain collar, but given the current price of T it's well outside of that collar and fixed at 1.437). CONVICTION BUY.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699899)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:34 AM
Author: Refunkulus (never count out a MUSCLE NUT)

It's a hell of a spread and you would be getting T at a GREAT price

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699882)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:35 AM
Author: leolenin

do you ENDORSE this buy?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699892)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:36 AM
Author: Refunkulus (never count out a MUSCLE NUT)

I'm not the best at arbitrage operations - but I think this is a good risk. If you want the upside benefit you can buy straight T stock - almost a 6% yield.

I personally think that AT&T is doing the right thing to win in the long term right now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699903)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:38 AM
Author: FATCEPs

Thank

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34699914)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:51 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


u fuckin fagets are missin out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34700013)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:51 AM
Author: leolenin

I bought 10 shares of TWX. We will see what unfolds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34700015)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 16th, 2017 10:55 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


DOJ will likely sue to block the deal. TWX might spike down on that headline. But the DOJ will almost certainly lose if they make it to court. Most likely scenario is they settle with AT&T prior to the lawsuit ever seeing court.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34700043)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 17th, 2017 1:07 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Spread a little narrower! Let's hope AT&T settles with the DOJ so we can slam this bad boy shut!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34710049)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 10:59 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Lawsuit is officially out. Looks like a weak complaint by the DOJ. Any lawyers poast on this board?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739080)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:01 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Judge is a GWB appointee! Wave it in boys!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739091)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:02 AM
Author: chandler (friend of Corp slave)

How can I buy stocks on coinbase

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739095)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:03 AM
Author: .;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,


didn't even go down with yesterday's news

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739105)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:06 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


It was well expected the DOJ would sue to block, and without seeing the complaint people were afraid they might have a strong case. Complaint looked on the weaker side when it was released. Still a binary event here with some deal risk, but most observers think the DOJ doesn't have much of a case here.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739119)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:09 AM
Author: .;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,


is it too late to buy?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739127)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:11 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


If the deal gets approved there's still over $13 upside from here. If the deal get blocked you're likely looking at $8-10 downside. But today's news definitely appears bullish for approval.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739154)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:03 AM
Author: Just wants a hug.

In for $1000.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739107)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 24th, 2017 6:54 AM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

same

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34760892)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:09 AM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

in for 3 grand. Not going to get Smuckers'd again by ignoring xo tips

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739126)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:12 AM
Author: .;:..;:;.:.;.,,,.,.:,.;;,;;;..;,


same

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739158)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:22 AM
Author: John Jacob Jingleheimerdood (his name is my name)

Same reasoning, same amount.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739240)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:18 AM
Author: John Jacob Jingleheimerdood (his name is my name)

Ok, I dropped a couple grand in there. We'll see what unfolds.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739206)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:21 AM
Author: chandler (friend of Corp slave)

What does exeunt say

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739227)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 24th, 2017 8:52 AM
Author: .,.,.,,,.,,.,.,.,,.,.,.,.,.,,.,.,.,.


Buy index funds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34761064)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:26 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Note there are two risks here:

-The main risk is the judge sides with the DOJ and the merger gets blocked. This seems unlikely based on precedent, the strength of the complaint, and the assigned judge, but it could happen. The DOJ could produce smoking gun internal docs showing AT&T is looking to reduce competition with this merger or some such thing, and we could go back to pre-Bork antitrust precedent. If the deal breaks TWX probably trades in the low $80s.

-This is a cash-and-stock merger, so if AT&T goes down, the stock portion of the consideration will also go down. Right now the deal terms are 1.437 shares of T plus $53.75 cash, but the stock ratio will change if AT&T rallies significantly. If you want to hedge out the T risk, you could short T shares against the TWX buy. But T has gotten pummeled lately, so it's hard to see it getting smoked much more from here.

Bottom line, if you think this merger is going through, this spread is extremely juicy. But like anything else, it's not risk-free.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739265)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:27 AM
Author: ,.,...,..,.,.,:,.:,.,.,::,..,..,:,.,.:..,:.:,.


my family has a FUCKTON of twx. I hope you guys are right.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739276)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 11:56 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


btw this position should be a lawyer's wet dream, so any law dorks who care to take a look at this should be able to gain some insight here

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739521)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 12:00 PM
Author: Just wants a hug.

Antitrust is voodoo magic.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739539)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 8:46 PM
Author: Refunkulus (never count out a MUSCLE NUT)

PREACH

XO should be handicapping the odds on this like masterd00ds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34744304)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:05 PM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

CNBC just said they changed the judge

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34739990)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:20 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


They did, from an Obama appointee (who had to recuse himself because his wife works for a law firm who represented T) to a GWB appointee. We were on top of this at the time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740122)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:21 PM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

oh okay nice

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740131)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:09 PM
Author: Kenneth Pinyan (earl)

copped $3,000 for fun. my condolences to all of you.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740015)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:10 PM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

did you sellcuck?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740028)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:21 PM
Author: Kenneth Pinyan (earl)

no but i am investing cancer every time I pick stocks. last xo pick I ran with was Intrepid Potash.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740137)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 21st, 2017 1:22 PM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

oh gotcha, 180. we can all move into a communal poorhouse

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34740146)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 24th, 2017 8:46 PM
Author: Kenneth Pinyan (earl)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34764731)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 1:37 PM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

welp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34781898)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2017 3:46 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


What's the problem brother

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34799548)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2017 3:46 PM
Author: Kenneth Pinyan (earl)

did I destroy it? maybe I should buy some crypto and kill the entire market.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34799553)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 29th, 2017 3:56 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


No it's making new highs!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34799627)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2017 10:00 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Probably not a terrible spot to make a sale, but the arb spread is still super wide because T has been ripping. Will probably pull back a little bit from here (but lots of potential upside left if T wins/settles the lawsuit).



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34835068)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2017 10:02 AM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

I've only made fifty bucks I can't sellcuck yet!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34835076)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2017 10:03 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Then hold tight brother. This is more of a "tactical trading call."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34835094)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 4th, 2017 10:06 AM
Author: Refunkulus (never count out a MUSCLE NUT)

If you hold through the transaction the T shares you get have a very very solid yield

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#34835110)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 1st, 2018 9:31 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Are all u TWX holders LOVING LIFE atm?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35294682)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 12:01 PM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

thank you for your good service

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35304774)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 11:40 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


noTWXers crying, losing hoap

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35304591)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 12:01 PM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

long term hold for you? or will you flip after the likely merger approval?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35304769)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 2nd, 2018 3:35 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


This should close very quickly following approval, so you'll get cash and T shares. I have no real opinion on T shares, so I'll be out upon deal closure.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35307111)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 5:47 AM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

dem hedge funds are scooping up TWX stock per xo advice:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-16/hedge-funds-pile-into-time-warner-in-bet-on-merger-prevailing

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35443345)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 6:09 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35443387)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 10:48 AM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35444218)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 8:57 AM
Author: '""""'"


Just bought 120 shares @ 95. You guys better not be fucking with me

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35443651)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 9:02 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


I liked it better sub-90 but the thesis is still there - would be very hard to justify blocking the deal given the strength in streaming services.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35443663)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 4:08 PM
Author: '""""'"


What happens now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35446560)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:22 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


idk, Makan seems intent on fighting to the bitter end, but it's hard to see his path to success - AT&T just needs to pull up a chart of NFLX as their defense.

Some sell-side shops are saying TWX would trade above deal price if the deal broke (I don't agree), but improving fundamentals for the space can't hurt. Most likely outcome is still judge rules in favor of AT&T and the deal goes through.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453348)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:24 PM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453361)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 9:41 PM
Author: '""""'"


I HELD I LOVE YOU

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36234482)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2018 10:58 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35444299)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:06 PM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453210)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:22 PM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

is it up big or down

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453351)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:23 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Up 50 bps. Still a $11 spread.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453353)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 21st, 2018 2:23 PM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

unnnnghhhhhhhh

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35453357)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 15th, 2018 2:05 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


The DOJ's case is shit and everyone knows it. Now the trial is getting delayed two days because people think a settlement is coming. It probably won't happen immediately but that doesn't change the fact that the DOJ has a pure and utter shit-tier case.

LJL at not owning this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35611951)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 9:49 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35636677)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 10:59 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637104)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:02 AM
Author: imanxoxoposter

really shitty call so far, S&P is up 10% since OP. Basically no alpha.

My longs are up 20-40% since then, mostly industrial names.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637110)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:03 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637119)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:04 AM
Author: Refunkulus (never count out a MUSCLE NUT)

Arbs like this are market isolated

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637123)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:05 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


lol jfc

10% is a GREAT return in 4 months,and there's still significant upside from here. You're also not wearing the downside risk of buying industrial or tech names or whatever the hell you have in your portfolio.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637129)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 19th, 2018 11:07 AM
Author: Wilbur Mercer-Bey (Short Pride World Wide)

great call actually and it's going to the moon

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35637134)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 20th, 2018 11:35 AM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

when moon

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35644755)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 20th, 2018 11:52 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Judge Leon gave the trial a 6-8 week timetable. Possible they settle before then (good) or they win at trial (good) or they lose at trial (bad). First two outcomes are far more likely though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35644859)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 24th, 2018 12:31 PM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

ty

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35677308)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 24th, 2018 12:35 PM
Author: twins

Civ #?

Ty for the info.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35677331)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2018 9:23 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35668718)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2018 9:33 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


DOJ is getting GAPED in litigation right now. Like, benzo-tier gaped. Thesis is looking better than ever.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35668762)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 23rd, 2018 9:35 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35668770)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 11th, 2018 10:22 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


The DOJ's KEY WITNESS, one Carl "Faggot" Shapiro, is set to take the stand today. The thrust of his argument is based on the Nash equilibrium model, which is more theoretical than practical and can be easily tweaked depending on the real world assumptions one uses. Most market participants feel the DOJ has done a poor job convincing Judge Leon this merger will substantially reduce competition thus far.

We will see what unfolds!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35815077)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 11th, 2018 10:30 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Btw the main headwind to this trade lately has been T staying in the gutter (which was a risk outlined in the OP). The theoretical deal spread is now tighter than it's been in months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35815142)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 17th, 2018 5:38 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35857361)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 7:33 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923066)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:46 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923224)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:48 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Problem is T is getting clobbered on earnings today (risk outlined upthread - if you are short T you can hedge against this)

On the flip side:

“AT&T IS KILLING THEM”: THE D.O.J. SPURNED A POSSIBLE PEACE OFFERING OVER THE $86 BILLION AT&T-TIME WARNER MERGER—AND NOW THE TRIAL IS ENTERING THE ENDGAME

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2018/04/att-time-warner-merger-doj-case



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923235)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:50 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923241)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:52 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Yes, no idea whether they'll try to squeeze T for more though

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923255)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 8:57 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923277)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 9:12 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


The trial should be done by early next week, and from there the judge may take 4-6 weeks to write his opinion based on his previous comments. I expect we'll have a pretty good sense of how he'll rule before the opinion is published, but you're looking at like a June 1st-15th ruling.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923339)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 9:16 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923349)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 9:42 AM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Depends on your pain tolerance. At this point if the deal broke, TWX probably settles higher than the deal price, but it will take time and you'd have arb selling pressure in the short term. If you're looking for a quick profit, you just want the judge to rule in AT&T's favor and the deal to get done.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35923499)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:46 PM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

When are you selling your TWX stock bro?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238426)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 11:29 AM
Author: Refunkulus (never count out a MUSCLE NUT)

I'm tempted to get long some AT&T here - Anyone know if theyre gonna win this case to buy TWX?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35924107)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 11:31 AM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35924117)



Reply Favorite

Date: April 26th, 2018 11:34 AM
Author: Refunkulus (never count out a MUSCLE NUT)

ok very interesting - I think the DoJ does not have a case here.

If you buy the AT&T stock right and TWX cashflow helps the company like the CEO of AT&T says it will - I think AT&T is an extremely solid long term hold for many years

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#35924134)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2018 11:58 AM
Author: '""""'"


Fuck twx is at 91 today

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36014864)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2018 12:16 PM
Author: Just wants a hug.

:(

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36014997)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 9th, 2018 12:02 PM
Author: DrakeMallard (Daring Duck of Mystery, Champion of Right)

Is this also the nxpi merger arb masterman?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36014897)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 4th, 2018 3:30 PM
Author: Just wants a hug.

Hovenkamp says TWX bros are fukt.

https://www.bizjournals.com/dallas/news/2018/05/29/u-s-government-more-likely-to-win-at-t-time-warner.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36182275)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 11th, 2018 2:57 AM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

Ruling this week!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36221862)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Just wants a hug.

We maed it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232560)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:52 PM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

YES WE CAN

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232566)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: ,.,.,.,..,.,..,:,,:,,.,:::,.,,.,:.,,.:.,:.,:.::,.


14% return from time op created this thread based on after hours price of $101.50

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232578)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 9:48 PM
Author: ........... ............ ............

14% since 2016? doesn't seem worth tying up investmnet dollars for paltry sum

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36234550)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: libcrusher180

That would require risk, which is why xo didn't invest because they're risk adverse lawcucks.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232584)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


lmao Makan u faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36232600)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 9:45 PM
Author: '""""'"


how likely is it that TWX trades above 102 in the next couple days? i will probably sell then.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36234518)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 12th, 2018 10:38 PM
Author: The Jewish Academy of Farts and Sinuses

Anyone know when the next ex dividend date for $T is? Solidly below 1yr and 5yr highs, and that dividend is juicy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36234906)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 9:16 AM
Author: libcrusher180

http://www.dividend.com/dividend-stocks/technology/telecom-services-domestic/t-atandt/

the dividend is the only reason to own T. Just park your money there and cop dat der dividend.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36236573)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:44 PM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

when are bros selling? Deal closes in 7 days

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238410)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:47 PM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238434)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:48 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


Depends what your view on T is. Probably going to be selling pressure from arbs until 6/20, after which it will probably rally.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238439)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 1:49 PM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36238453)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:12 PM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

I'd like to take my profits and run very soon. But don't know if I should expect another 5 to 10% bump or not within the next week or so

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239495)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:17 PM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239545)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:19 PM
Author: YukabuYorubas (IRL height: 6'3; Xo height: 6'8)

cr. Will sell now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239556)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:15 PM
Author: '""""'"


I sold June 22 100 calls on my shares. No way the deal closes below 100, right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239519)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:19 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


The gross spread here is $2, which implies a close of ~$99.90. really depends where T goes from here. Arbs were clearly underhedged going into this, but T should bounce hard either soon before the deal closes or right after.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239561)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:21 PM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239578)



Reply Favorite

Date: June 13th, 2018 4:24 PM
Author: ,,..,.,.,,.,,.,,,,,...,,,.,,,,,.....,.,.,..,


T getting crushed obviously did not help. But not totally unforeseen given arb flows.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3798285&forum_id=2#36239601)