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2018 Baseball Hall Of Fame Predictions

ballot here: https://www.baseball-reference.com/awards/hof_2...
David Ben PDDJ-Gurion
  11/27/17
why is sosa getting shit on so much compared to bonds and cl...
sealclubber
  11/27/17
They were HOF without roids, he was shit
Big stuff. Deep State.
  11/27/17
i fail to see the logic in this. how was sosa "shit&quo...
David Ben PDDJ-Gurion
  11/27/17
McGwire is pretty borderline too even without the steroids t...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/27/17
b/c bonds and clemens were historically good and sosa wasn't
zarathustra
  11/27/17
lol. this is the guess?
sealclubber
  11/27/17
? sosa has fairly pedestrian numbers for a hall of famer al...
zarathustra
  11/27/17
ah, okay. that's a real argument. however, sosa has an mvp,...
sealclubber
  11/27/17
mcgriff is below sosa on every metric if we're ignoring ster...
zarathustra
  11/27/17
Hoff, Vlad, Chipper, Thome, Vizquel
Big stuff. Deep State.
  11/27/17
Can't comprehend why Hoffman and Vlad are getting more votes...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/27/17
hoffman is a fucking joke. Mariano is the only recent reliev...
Judas Jones
  11/27/17
...
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/27/17
...
David Ben PDDJ-Gurion
  11/27/17
leans into mic
sealclubber
  11/27/17
...
biggtp dog
  11/28/17
...
Ed Switzerland
  12/08/17
Schilling should be in.
.....,,.,.,.,..,.,.,,,,,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.
  11/28/17
10000% right
Mark Ironside
  11/28/17
Thome is a shoe-in
'"'""'"
  11/27/17
cr
zarathustra
  11/27/17
lol thome is the surest thing on this ballot
zarathustra
  11/27/17
Chipper
Judas Jones
  11/27/17
think they'll get similar %
zarathustra
  11/27/17
wtf. Was Thome ever one of the best 10 players in beisbol?S...
Alpha Dog
  11/28/17
yes he was. had four top 10 mvp finishes, led league in ops ...
zarathustra
  11/28/17
4 bottom of top 10 finishes, so with pitchers, he probably w...
Alpha Dog
  11/28/17
he finished fourth in 2003, sixth in 1997 i agree that he...
zarathustra
  11/28/17
LOL. Frank Thomas won TWO MVP's and was the most feared hit...
Alpha Dog
  12/08/17
Hoffman was not as good as Billy Wagner This is such a fu...
gastropub
  11/27/17
Vizquel is on there? What year is this for him? That dude do...
year of the puppies in china
  11/27/17
Vizquel is a much better hitter than you remember, and he wa...
wait till biggus dickus hears of this
  11/27/17
he wasn't all that valuable, certainly not by HOF measures. ...
Judas Jones
  11/27/17
I looked at his stats. Dude they're so whatever. 688 OPS. Th...
year of the puppies in china
  11/27/17
All's I'm saying is retarded writers will say "Omar? Ha...
wait till biggus dickus hears of this
  11/27/17
what year is vizquel in? year one? i don't think i've heard ...
year of the puppies in china
  11/28/17
He has a ton of golden gloves
gastropub
  11/28/17
he has zero chance
Alpha Dog
  12/08/17
Sheffield is getting in
David Icke
  11/28/17
No way
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/28/17
He has steroid issues and isn't as good as bonds
gastropub
  11/28/17
and was a grouch to the chubby white sportswriter set which ...
.,;'.,;'.,.;'.,.;'.,,.;,;.;,.''';[;.,,'
  11/28/17
E D G A R D G A R
Poster The Galleria of Harp-uary
  11/28/17
Larry Walker deserves to get in but he won't.
Buck "The Club" Paulette
  11/28/17
he's kind of a fag, and played all those years in Coors. He ...
Judas Jones
  11/28/17
Bonds, Clemens, Guerrero get my vote
biggtp dog
  11/28/17
jfc I can't believe a HOF spot will be wasted on Trevor fuck...
Mark Ironside
  12/08/17
edgar not getting in while a shithead rp like hoffman does i...
Ed Switzerland
  12/08/17
LOL at politics and steroids completely fucking up who shoul...
cis on my face
  12/08/17
What about Manny?
Judas Jones
  12/08/17
Chipper, Thome, and Hoffman get in. Vlad probably sneaks in ...
Jean Jacques Jingleheimerdood
  12/08/17
just lol if Hoffman, Rolen and Andruw Jones get in and Mussi...
Mark Ironside
  12/08/17
...
Mark Ironside
  12/11/17
Updated voting: https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid...
Mark Ironside
  01/08/18
so bonds and clemens arent getting any traction this year?
David Ben PDDJ-Gurion
  01/08/18
seems like it. Edgar and Mussina way up though. I hope...
Mark Ironside
  01/08/18
weird if vlad goes from 70 to ~95%. has a non-1st time gu...
David Ben PDDJ-Gurion
  01/08/18
not sure, but now that you mention it that's an interesting ...
Mark Ironside
  01/08/18
still cant find an answer for this. very curious
David Ben PDDJ-Gurion
  01/12/18
I'm comparing lists now starting with 90% https://www.bas...
Mark Ironside
  01/12/18
tyty. so, vlad will end up in the top 20 of all time. ver...
David Ben PDDJ-Gurion
  01/12/18
no he's projected at 90%. he won't stay at his public ballot...
Mark Ironside
  01/12/18
I've got: Robbie Alomar 90.01% Roberto Clemente 92.69%...
Mark Ironside
  01/12/18
Rolen should be getting more votes than Omar Vizquel
Judas Jones
  01/08/18
100%
Mark Ironside
  01/08/18
Updated predictions https://twitter.com/sarsdell/status/9...
Mark Ironside
  01/09/18
~43% of the ballot is projected to be in https://onedrive...
Mark Ironside
  01/11/18
mussina was -7.2% actual vs pre last year. doesnt look like...
David Ben PDDJ-Gurion
  01/12/18
this guy has him losing 15% on his projection https://twi...
Mark Ironside
  01/12/18
Vamos Moose Vamos!
Judas Jones
  01/12/18
...
David Ben PDDJ-Gurion
  01/12/18
...
Mark Ironside
  01/12/18
...
Ed Switzerland
  01/12/18
9 days until the announcement. Edgar sitting at 81% for p...
Mark Ironside
  01/15/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:01 PM
Author: David Ben PDDJ-Gurion (*)

ballot here: https://www.baseball-reference.com/awards/hof_2018.shtml

i assume hoffman and vlad eke in, and chipper maeks it on the 1st ballot

just those 3. edgar and thome dont get in.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34784954)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:08 PM
Author: sealclubber

why is sosa getting shit on so much compared to bonds and clemens?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785034)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:30 PM
Author: Big stuff. Deep State.

They were HOF without roids, he was shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785289)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:32 PM
Author: David Ben PDDJ-Gurion (*)

i fail to see the logic in this. how was sosa "shit"? he's closer to bonds and mac than an average steriod era guy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786259)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:58 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

McGwire is pretty borderline too even without the steroids thing.

https://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/WAR_career.shtml

Babe Ruth is #1 on this list.

Bonds is #4.

Clemens is #8.

McGwire is #161.

Sosa is #201, tied with Chuck Finley who got voted off on the first ballot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786421)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:31 PM
Author: zarathustra

b/c bonds and clemens were historically good and sosa wasn't

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785291)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:34 PM
Author: sealclubber

lol. this is the guess?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786277)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:49 PM
Author: zarathustra

?

sosa has fairly pedestrian numbers for a hall of famer all things considered. at 58.4 career war he’s tied with chuck finley for 201st all-time and behind guys like mark buehrle and tim hudson. he's obviously very deserving of consideration but being conservative clemens is one of the top 20 players ever and bonds is top 5.

the effect of steroids on hof candidacy doesn’t have to be all-or-none and i don’t think it will be. it'll just act as a very significant negative on a resume. lesser candidates like palmeiro and sosa and mcgwire will see or have seen their candidacy lapse instead of getting in on like the 3rd or 4th or 6th ballot or something, for bonds and clemens it will drop them from unanimous first-ballot status to getting in somewhere between years 8-10. down the line the other steroid guys might get in through the veterans committee or something but as with bonds and clemens the effect of steroids on their resumes will be that they’re treated and voted in as though they were much lesser candidates than they actually were wrt their numbers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786378)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:23 PM
Author: sealclubber

ah, okay. that's a real argument.

however, sosa has an mvp, 3 seasons above 60 hrs, he was one of the most popular players of his era, and he has over 600 career home runs.

steroids should be none or none, imo

while i agree sosa is more like mcgwire than bonds, that still doesn't explain all of the players between sosa and bonds, such as mcgriff

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786589)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:30 PM
Author: zarathustra

mcgriff is below sosa on every metric if we're ignoring steroids

if not, mcgriff just wasn't particularly stand-out for his generation. again if you look at WAR and JAWS and shit for mcgriff he's solidly among the group of very good but not hof first basemen.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786647)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 8:30 PM
Author: Big stuff. Deep State.

Hoff, Vlad, Chipper, Thome, Vizquel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785283)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:04 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

Can't comprehend why Hoffman and Vlad are getting more votes than Mussina and Schilling on any rational basis.

I think this may be the year when one of Bonds/Clemens gets in actually. People seem to care less and less about punishing them - both were over 50% last year.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785516)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:15 PM
Author: Judas Jones

hoffman is a fucking joke. Mariano is the only recent reliever i would consider putting in the hall. the fact is these dudes are failed starters who add relatively little value and could be replaced in a heartbeat by almost any decent starter.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785571)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:28 PM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786231)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:29 PM
Author: David Ben PDDJ-Gurion (*)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786239)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 10:35 PM
Author: sealclubber

leans into mic

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786289)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 11:04 AM
Author: biggtp dog (ggtp)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788779)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:28 PM
Author: Ed Switzerland



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870515)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:20 AM
Author: .....,,.,.,.,..,.,.,,,,,.,.,.,.,.,.,,.


Schilling should be in.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34787013)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 6:15 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

10000% right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34792523)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:29 PM
Author: '"'""'"


Thome is a shoe-in

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785672)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:30 PM
Author: zarathustra

cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785680)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:31 PM
Author: zarathustra

lol thome is the surest thing on this ballot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785684)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:43 PM
Author: Judas Jones

Chipper

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785777)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 9:45 PM
Author: zarathustra

think they'll get similar %

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34785799)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:43 AM
Author: Alpha Dog

wtf. Was Thome ever one of the best 10 players in beisbol?Seems like its just a participation award if he gets in on the first ballot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34787138)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:53 AM
Author: zarathustra

yes he was. had four top 10 mvp finishes, led league in ops once and finished in top five of ops seven times

loses some value for playing first base and gets overlooked a bit b/c he was a power hitter in an era full of power hitters but his full body of work is as good as pretty much any of them. compare his numbers to frank thomas'.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34787206)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 1:13 PM
Author: Alpha Dog

4 bottom of top 10 finishes, so with pitchers, he probably wasn't one of the top 10 players in the MLB's in any of his seasons. Only one Silver Slugger, and a terrible fielder and baserunner to boot. Basically just a pretty good hitter who played for a long time in an offensive juggernaut era.

And how the fuk is this guy not suspected of roiding? All of his best years were during the peak era.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34789656)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 6:06 PM
Author: zarathustra

he finished fourth in 2003, sixth in 1997

i agree that he wasn't *the* dominant power hitter of his time but that's not the standard for the hof. compare his stats to frank thomas, eddie murray, willie mccovey, rafael palmeiro (who'd be in the hof without the steroid shit). 9th highest career WAR all-time among first basemen too. he's not a "slam dunk" in the sense that someone like griffey was but by the hall's standards he's right there.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34792470)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:20 PM
Author: Alpha Dog

LOL. Frank Thomas won TWO MVP's and was the most feared hitter in beisbol for 5+ years. Eddie didn't win any MVP's but had a similar 5 year stretch. Just because their power numbers are similar is meaningless.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870455)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:08 PM
Author: gastropub (chandler)

Hoffman was not as good as Billy Wagner

This is such a fucking joke

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786471)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:38 PM
Author: year of the puppies in china (sellcuck)

Vizquel is on there? What year is this for him? That dude doesn't pass the smell test. Vizquel as a HOFer sounds ridiculous.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786710)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:42 PM
Author: wait till biggus dickus hears of this

Vizquel is a much better hitter than you remember, and he was one of the best and most exciting defenders in the 90s. I think he'll show very well bc he wasn't a roided out freak

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786743)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:50 PM
Author: Judas Jones

he wasn't all that valuable, certainly not by HOF measures. But he was remarkable to watch in the infield.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786807)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:54 PM
Author: year of the puppies in china (sellcuck)

I looked at his stats. Dude they're so whatever. 688 OPS. That sucks. Some steals I guess. 688 OPS is garbage and this is HOF talk. I guess my point is because of shot like that he doesn't pass the smell test. His defense was great. Not enough.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786838)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 27th, 2017 11:59 PM
Author: wait till biggus dickus hears of this

All's I'm saying is retarded writers will say "Omar? Ha, all glove no bat!" Then they'll be drinking at the bar and someone will say "actually he was a career .280 hitter with 2,800+ hits" and this voter will say "huh, yeah and he was doing it THE RIGHT WAY without steroids!!" And vote for him in part as a protest against the Sosas on the ballot. Prob not enough to get him to 75% but I think he'll vastly outperform.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786886)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:04 AM
Author: year of the puppies in china (sellcuck)

what year is vizquel in? year one? i don't think i've heard his name in hof conversations before.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786928)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:45 AM
Author: gastropub (chandler)

He has a ton of golden gloves

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788662)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:21 PM
Author: Alpha Dog

he has zero chance

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870470)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 12:12 AM
Author: David Icke

Sheffield is getting in

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34786960)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:46 AM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

No way

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788667)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:47 AM
Author: gastropub (chandler)

He has steroid issues and isn't as good as bonds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788671)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:50 AM
Author: .,;'.,;'.,.;'.,.;'.,,.;,;.;,.''';[;.,,'


and was a grouch to the chubby white sportswriter set which is a death sentence for HOF

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788684)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:52 AM
Author: Poster The Galleria of Harp-uary

E D G A R

D

G

A

R

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788694)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:56 AM
Author: Buck "The Club" Paulette

Larry Walker deserves to get in but he won't.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788730)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 10:59 AM
Author: Judas Jones

he's kind of a fag, and played all those years in Coors. He really was an excellent all-around player though.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788751)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 28th, 2017 11:03 AM
Author: biggtp dog (ggtp)

Bonds, Clemens, Guerrero get my vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34788773)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:09 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

jfc I can't believe a HOF spot will be wasted on Trevor fucking Hoffman.

Hoffman, Vlad and Chipper all get in

Edgar, Mussina and Thome get close. Mussina and Thome def get in eventually imo. Edgar only has 1 more year on the ballot after this year so who knows. Part of me wants him out as ammo for keeping Big Sloppy out.

Very interested to see Schilling's vote total given his politics. if it doesn't track Mussina's, then you know guys are voting based on political motivations.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870378)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:26 PM
Author: Ed Switzerland

edgar not getting in while a shithead rp like hoffman does is some bullshit http://www.sportingnews.com/mlb/news/edgar-martinez-hall-of-fame-vote-ballot-stats-seattle-mariners-greatest-dh-designated-hitters/1dwopulzkbw2d14uikwv9k69ld

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870511)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:31 PM
Author: cis on my face

LOL at politics and steroids completely fucking up who should be in the hall.

Sosa, Sheffield, Schilling, Mussina, Bonds, Clemens, Thome and Andruw are no brainers.

Isringhaus, Matsui and Rolen should also be in.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870537)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:45 PM
Author: Judas Jones

What about Manny?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870646)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:44 PM
Author: Jean Jacques Jingleheimerdood (his name is my name)

Chipper, Thome, and Hoffman get in. Vlad probably sneaks in too. PED suspects continue to get no breakfast. Rolen and Andruw Jones get in sometime in next three years.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870638)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 8th, 2017 4:50 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

just lol if Hoffman, Rolen and Andruw Jones get in and Mussina and Schilling do not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34870687)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 11th, 2017 2:40 PM
Author: Mark Ironside



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#34891365)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 5:46 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

Updated voting:

https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid=F2E5D8FC5199DFAF!8063&ithint=file,xlsx&app=Excel&authkey=!AAAsz3uDsmqy_Vw

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111645)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 5:51 PM
Author: David Ben PDDJ-Gurion (*)

so bonds and clemens arent getting any traction this year?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111680)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 8th, 2018 5:52 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

seems like it.

Edgar and Mussina way up though.

I hope to god Hoffman never gets in, but it's inevitable.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111692)



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Date: January 8th, 2018 5:55 PM
Author: David Ben PDDJ-Gurion (*)

weird if vlad goes from 70 to ~95%.

has a non-1st time guy ever got 90+%?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111707)



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Date: January 8th, 2018 6:00 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

not sure, but now that you mention it that's an interesting jump. probably some group of writers who didn't vote him in solely cause it was his first year.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111744)



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Date: January 12th, 2018 3:27 PM
Author: David Ben PDDJ-Gurion (*)

still cant find an answer for this. very curious

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141755)



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Date: January 12th, 2018 3:32 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

I'm comparing lists now starting with 90%

https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/First_Ballot_Hall_of_Famer

https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/Hall_of_Fame_Voting_Percentages

Robbie Alomar got 90.01% and was not a first ballot guy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141783)



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Date: January 12th, 2018 3:37 PM
Author: David Ben PDDJ-Gurion (*)

tyty.

so, vlad will end up in the top 20 of all time. very odd

looks like alomar got the benefit of perhaps a weak class

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141811)



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Date: January 12th, 2018 3:46 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

no he's projected at 90%. he won't stay at his public ballot number

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141889)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:35 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

I've got:

Robbie Alomar 90.01%

Roberto Clemente 92.69%

That's the list

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141800)



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Date: January 8th, 2018 6:01 PM
Author: Judas Jones

Rolen should be getting more votes than Omar Vizquel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111754)



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Date: January 8th, 2018 6:06 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

100%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35111798)



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Date: January 9th, 2018 2:51 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

Updated predictions

https://twitter.com/sarsdell/status/950530355731329029

Looking like a 4-person class, potentially 5.

If Moose ends over 60% he'll get in eventually.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35118193)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 11th, 2018 11:57 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

~43% of the ballot is projected to be in

https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resid=F2E5D8FC5199DFAF!8063&ithint=file,xlsx&app=Excel&authkey=!AAAsz3uDsmqy_Vw

looking like it may be a 5-person class

Mike Mussina at almost 74%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35137474)



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Date: January 12th, 2018 3:22 PM
Author: David Ben PDDJ-Gurion (*)

mussina was -7.2% actual vs pre last year. doesnt look like he's getting in if you follow that trend.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141721)



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Date: January 12th, 2018 3:23 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

this guy has him losing 15% on his projection

https://twitter.com/Rosscarey/status/951891157851803648

in any event i wasn't counting moose as one of the 5.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141727)



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Date: January 12th, 2018 3:23 PM
Author: Judas Jones

Vamos Moose Vamos!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141731)



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Date: January 12th, 2018 3:28 PM
Author: David Ben PDDJ-Gurion (*)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141763)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:32 PM
Author: Mark Ironside



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141784)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 12th, 2018 3:44 PM
Author: Ed Switzerland



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35141871)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 15th, 2018 1:48 PM
Author: Mark Ironside

9 days until the announcement.

Edgar sitting at 81% for public ballots. He needs a hair over 70% on the remaining ballots to get elected. Last year his support on private ballots was -12.1%, so if that trend holds he'd be *just* out.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3810691&forum_id=2#35160931)