still no good explanation for Moore's loss
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Date: December 16th, 2017 2:13 PM Author: Indecent Goyim Roommate
it doesn't add up.
AL is not a 'swing state,' it's solidly red. the 'black women' vote is not an adequate explanation.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3831237&forum_id=2#34935634) |
Date: December 16th, 2017 2:18 PM Author: Cheese-eating Glassy Lay
uh he shouldn't have said America was last great during slavery
that wasn't true for almost anyone. more like 1997 or even 2007
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3831237&forum_id=2#34935673) |
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Date: December 16th, 2017 3:34 PM Author: multi-colored mood theater stage
GOP turnout down + black turnout way up
its not just -7 down from our side, its also +7 from their side
dont be fooled by the `20% margins that sessions and shelby routinely got. thats not a true reflection of GOP strength in Alabama. blacks/libs just didnt bother to vote in those elections bcos it was pointless for them. not this time
If a normal GOP candidate without any baggage (say brooks) had run and for some reason DEMS/blacks were very energized and turned up even then GOP would win by 5~8%. That 5~8% disappeared for Moore due to his baggage (pedo allegations as well as other unhinged stuff)
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3831237&forum_id=2#34936149) |
Date: December 16th, 2017 2:38 PM Author: multi-colored mood theater stage
republicans didn't show up. GOP turnout was way down compared to regular senate elections despite this being a controversial, heavily publicized contested race
you are right that if GOP voters had shown up Moore would have won comfortably (~5% margin) despite the heavy black turnout. Under a normal GOP turnout black vote cant flip the seat. they could bring down the margin from 15%~20% to 6~8% thats all. but the problem (actually blessing imo) here is that a lot of the GOP voters stayed home or went for a write in candidate
its that simple
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3831237&forum_id=2#34935817) |
Date: December 16th, 2017 2:54 PM Author: Bistre duck-like pit
here is a good explanation of the PROGRESSIVE VISION that nationwide libs have, taking root in alabama:
http://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/16/us/alabama-democrats-doug-jones.html
"Much like many other parts of the South, the progressive vision of the future has arrived here, though only in spots. In downtown Birmingham, a half-block of Third Avenue includes a Japanese gastro pub, a company called Covalence that promises “coding boot camp and career altering education,” and a branch of the elegant cafe chain, Revelator Coffee.
Janna Stevens, 30, a Jones voter, was sitting on the Revelator’s sofa Thursday night, her body covered in runic tattoos. She talked about her taste in literature, which runs to High Modernism (Joyce, Eliot), the Alabama conservatism she grew up with but moved away from, and her glass-half-empty view of Mr. Moore’s defeat."
OH WHAT CULTURE AND COFFEE SHOPS AND LITERARY TASTE! What a political worldview hehe
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3831237&forum_id=2#34935922) |
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