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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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spectacular home goyim
  07/21/18
0%
Harsh Bossy Property Potus
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
pink irate casino gaming laptop
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
vibrant copper puppy
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Ruby irradiated den
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
bateful sapphire spot prole
  07/21/18
jfc
carmine pit
  07/21/18
90%
blue swashbuckling legend
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
citrine house hominid
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
tan mewling cuckoldry
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
up-to-no-good ceo liquid oxygen
  07/21/18
...
chestnut principal's office
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Ruby irradiated den
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Onyx messiness office
  07/21/18
45%
saffron knife
  07/21/18
75%
Razzmatazz crystalline library
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Orchid aggressive stead pervert
  07/21/18
...
Dashing cruise ship becky
  07/21/18
80%
Onyx messiness office
  07/21/18


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Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: spectacular home goyim



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Harsh Bossy Property Potus

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: pink irate casino gaming laptop

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: vibrant copper puppy

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Ruby irradiated den

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: bateful sapphire spot prole

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: carmine pit

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: blue swashbuckling legend

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: citrine house hominid

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: tan mewling cuckoldry

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: up-to-no-good ceo liquid oxygen

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: chestnut principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Ruby irradiated den

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Onyx messiness office

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: saffron knife

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Razzmatazz crystalline library

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Orchid aggressive stead pervert

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Dashing cruise ship becky



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Onyx messiness office

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)