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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Bull headed brindle sneaky criminal
  07/21/18
0%
Stimulating market
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Bat-shit-crazy dilemma
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
yapping bateful den
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Fear-inspiring contagious clown dragon
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
dashing tanning salon travel guidebook
  07/21/18
jfc
cerise lodge
  07/21/18
90%
Gay rigpig stock car
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Mustard location
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Maniacal becky juggernaut
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Odious hissy fit
  07/21/18
...
excitant mexican business firm
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Fear-inspiring contagious clown dragon
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Anal Abnormal Cruise Ship
  07/21/18
45%
flushed floppy office place of business
  07/21/18
75%
cracking wagecucks parlor
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Doobsian main people gaming laptop
  07/21/18
...
Hideous aphrodisiac ticket booth regret
  07/21/18
80%
Anal Abnormal Cruise Ship
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Bull headed brindle sneaky criminal



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Stimulating market

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Bat-shit-crazy dilemma

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: yapping bateful den

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Fear-inspiring contagious clown dragon

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: dashing tanning salon travel guidebook

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: cerise lodge

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Gay rigpig stock car

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Mustard location

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Maniacal becky juggernaut

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Odious hissy fit

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: excitant mexican business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Fear-inspiring contagious clown dragon

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Anal Abnormal Cruise Ship

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: flushed floppy office place of business

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: cracking wagecucks parlor

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Doobsian main people gaming laptop

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Hideous aphrodisiac ticket booth regret



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Anal Abnormal Cruise Ship

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)