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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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violent irate locus
  07/21/18
0%
bistre theater stage
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Razzle-dazzle chrome psychic
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Swashbuckling Brilliant Step-uncle's House Kitty
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Gay really tough guy
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Henna Piazza
  07/21/18
jfc
judgmental slate voyeur rigpig
  07/21/18
90%
Amethyst weed whacker
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
adventurous orchestra pit
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Harsh bipolar hominid
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
electric stag film coffee pot
  07/21/18
...
Floppy effete parlor gaping
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Gay really tough guy
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Dull Genital Piercing
  07/21/18
45%
Mildly autistic azn school cafeteria
  07/21/18
75%
balding supple elastic band
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Spruce Puppy
  07/21/18
...
Duck-like garrison pervert
  07/21/18
80%
Dull Genital Piercing
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: violent irate locus



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: bistre theater stage

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle chrome psychic

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Swashbuckling Brilliant Step-uncle's House Kitty

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Gay really tough guy

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Henna Piazza

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: judgmental slate voyeur rigpig

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Amethyst weed whacker

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: adventurous orchestra pit

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Harsh bipolar hominid

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: electric stag film coffee pot

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Floppy effete parlor gaping



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Gay really tough guy

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Dull Genital Piercing

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Mildly autistic azn school cafeteria

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: balding supple elastic band

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Spruce Puppy

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Duck-like garrison pervert



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Dull Genital Piercing

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)