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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Demanding bat shit crazy goal in life fat ankles
  07/21/18
0%
obsidian theater
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Charcoal arousing library
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
exciting turdskin elastic band
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Gay razzmatazz hell
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
orchid home sneaky criminal
  07/21/18
jfc
Rebellious tanning salon crotch
  07/21/18
90%
talking university puppy
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
slap-happy business firm blood rage
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
overrated fragrant state
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Godawful rehab philosopher-king
  07/21/18
...
Glittery copper garrison
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Gay razzmatazz hell
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Indecent becky knife
  07/21/18
45%
Hairraiser claret toaster
  07/21/18
75%
Marvelous awkward national jewess
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
disturbing indian lodge mood
  07/21/18
...
Scarlet cruel-hearted dilemma persian
  07/21/18
80%
Indecent becky knife
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Demanding bat shit crazy goal in life fat ankles



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: obsidian theater

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Charcoal arousing library

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: exciting turdskin elastic band

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Gay razzmatazz hell

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: orchid home sneaky criminal

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Rebellious tanning salon crotch

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: talking university puppy

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: slap-happy business firm blood rage

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: overrated fragrant state

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Godawful rehab philosopher-king

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Glittery copper garrison



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Gay razzmatazz hell

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Indecent becky knife

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Hairraiser claret toaster

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Marvelous awkward national jewess

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: disturbing indian lodge mood

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Scarlet cruel-hearted dilemma persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Indecent becky knife

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)