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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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hilarious double fault roast beef
  07/21/18
0%
charismatic slimy voyeur sanctuary
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
talented crackhouse windowlicker
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Dashing Greedy Bawdyhouse
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
lime depressive faggotry
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
topaz aphrodisiac range
  07/21/18
jfc
Heady property
  07/21/18
90%
Razzmatazz Burgundy Menage Toaster
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
sick rambunctious corn cake multi-billionaire
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
lascivious disturbing library boiling water
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
maniacal base faggot firefighter
  07/21/18
...
honey-headed talking parlor
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
lime depressive faggotry
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
out-of-control stage genital piercing
  07/21/18
45%
Violet passionate skinny woman shrine
  07/21/18
75%
Insanely Creepy Deranged Office Patrolman
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
bull headed senate
  07/21/18
...
Mewling death wish principal's office
  07/21/18
80%
out-of-control stage genital piercing
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: hilarious double fault roast beef



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: charismatic slimy voyeur sanctuary

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: talented crackhouse windowlicker

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Dashing Greedy Bawdyhouse

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: lime depressive faggotry

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: topaz aphrodisiac range

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Heady property

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Burgundy Menage Toaster

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: sick rambunctious corn cake multi-billionaire

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: lascivious disturbing library boiling water

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: maniacal base faggot firefighter

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: honey-headed talking parlor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: lime depressive faggotry

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: out-of-control stage genital piercing

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Violet passionate skinny woman shrine

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Insanely Creepy Deranged Office Patrolman

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: bull headed senate

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Mewling death wish principal's office



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: out-of-control stage genital piercing

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)