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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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razzle-dazzle citrine jew
  07/21/18
0%
garnet cerebral hell
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Diverse scarlet stage
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Ruby trailer park
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Concupiscible navy dilemma
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
domesticated hunting ground crotch
  07/21/18
jfc
Heady umber headpube
  07/21/18
90%
Red curious newt twinkling uncleanness
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
brindle passionate cruise ship mad cow disease
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
orange geriatric stead masturbator
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Soul-stirring national security agency
  07/21/18
...
Painfully honest aphrodisiac weed whacker piazza
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Concupiscible navy dilemma
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Rough-skinned hairraiser roast beef range
  07/21/18
45%
stimulating slate partner chad
  07/21/18
75%
Canary unholy stain
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Infuriating French Gay Wizard Foreskin
  07/21/18
...
Onyx deep international law enforcement agency abode
  07/21/18
80%
Rough-skinned hairraiser roast beef range
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle citrine jew



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: garnet cerebral hell

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Diverse scarlet stage

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Ruby trailer park

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Concupiscible navy dilemma

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: domesticated hunting ground crotch

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Heady umber headpube

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Red curious newt twinkling uncleanness

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: brindle passionate cruise ship mad cow disease

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: orange geriatric stead masturbator

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Soul-stirring national security agency

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Painfully honest aphrodisiac weed whacker piazza



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Concupiscible navy dilemma

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Rough-skinned hairraiser roast beef range

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: stimulating slate partner chad

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Canary unholy stain

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Infuriating French Gay Wizard Foreskin

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Onyx deep international law enforcement agency abode



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Rough-skinned hairraiser roast beef range

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)