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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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balding costumed private investor
  07/21/18
0%
Hot lay milk
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Light insanely creepy hospital
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Deep Indian Lodge Filthpig
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Cerebral Painfully Honest Center
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
drab exhilarant knife step-uncle's house
  07/21/18
jfc
Rose home
  07/21/18
90%
White area
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Claret marketing idea
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
tan piazza friendly grandma
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
bronze black woman locus
  07/21/18
...
ruddy galvanic station cuck
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Cerebral Painfully Honest Center
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Marvelous brilliant range
  07/21/18
45%
Vivacious chrome codepig forum
  07/21/18
75%
Milky Vigorous Spot
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Provocative misanthropic toilet seat plaza
  07/21/18
...
Orange Territorial Genital Piercing Mexican
  07/21/18
80%
Marvelous brilliant range
  07/21/18


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Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: balding costumed private investor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Hot lay milk

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Light insanely creepy hospital

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Deep Indian Lodge Filthpig

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Cerebral Painfully Honest Center

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: drab exhilarant knife step-uncle's house

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Rose home

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: White area

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Claret marketing idea

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: tan piazza friendly grandma

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: bronze black woman locus

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: ruddy galvanic station cuck



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Cerebral Painfully Honest Center

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Marvelous brilliant range

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Vivacious chrome codepig forum

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Milky Vigorous Spot

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Provocative misanthropic toilet seat plaza

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Orange Territorial Genital Piercing Mexican



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Marvelous brilliant range

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)