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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM Author: lemon unholy crackhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544) |
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: copper regret resort 0% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: Big-titted hyperactive pisswyrm Reply Favorite
Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)
0%
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578) |
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Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM Author: Puce chapel background story http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2
Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM Author: ...,.........,.........,....
I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported. Gillum is doing too well in central florida.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM Author: Multi-colored costumed den I would be shocked if they don't.
1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.
2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.
3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.
4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.
5. Democratic base is far more energized.
6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM Author: jade hospital http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2 https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: Soul-stirring Brethren Macaca jfc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM Author: arousing chocolate location toaster 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM Author: Charismatic emerald cuck box office them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM Author: Lascivious gaming laptop marketing idea They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM Author: Twinkling Buck-toothed Mood Sex Offender 65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: Fragrant Athletic Conference Business Firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM Author: Multi-colored costumed den Correct. It's 90%+. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM Author: soggy fluffy antidepressant drug You need to get a life outside xo bro (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM Author: provocative umber international law enforcement agency stock car 45% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM Author: Orchid insecure milk 75% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM Author: Dull marvelous electric furnace Every single day the same thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM Author: naked market (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM Author: soggy fluffy antidepressant drug 80% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986) |