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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Wonderful trailer park
  07/21/18
0%
Glittery community account
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
talented cream hall therapy
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
razzle-dazzle zippy newt
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Hideous ivory theater marketing idea
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Galvanic casino famous landscape painting
  07/21/18
jfc
gay frozen temple
  07/21/18
90%
Bistre Infuriating Office French Chef
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Impressive Seedy Home Idiot
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Ebony meetinghouse
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Navy laughsome hospital
  07/21/18
...
vigorous fear-inspiring nibblets faggotry
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Hideous ivory theater marketing idea
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
self-centered ticket booth
  07/21/18
45%
thriller umber crotch
  07/21/18
75%
curious goyim
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
sooty cruise ship
  07/21/18
...
fluffy medicated main people stage
  07/21/18
80%
self-centered ticket booth
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Wonderful trailer park



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Glittery community account

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: talented cream hall therapy

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: razzle-dazzle zippy newt

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Hideous ivory theater marketing idea

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Galvanic casino famous landscape painting

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: gay frozen temple

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: Bistre Infuriating Office French Chef

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Impressive Seedy Home Idiot

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Ebony meetinghouse

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Navy laughsome hospital

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: vigorous fear-inspiring nibblets faggotry



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Hideous ivory theater marketing idea

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: self-centered ticket booth

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: thriller umber crotch

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: curious goyim

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: sooty cruise ship

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: fluffy medicated main people stage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: self-centered ticket booth

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)