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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

...
violent locale
  07/21/18
0%
dark piazza
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Curious shaky public bath degenerate
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
hyperventilating trip cruise ship twinkling uncleanness
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Irradiated Office Roommate
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
comical vengeful feces
  07/21/18
jfc
Diverse bespoke mad cow disease
  07/21/18
90%
primrose cowardly dilemma old irish cottage
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
sepia nowag
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
exciting chocolate toaster
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Bat-shit-crazy Insanely Creepy Step-uncle's House
  07/21/18
...
bateful candlestick maker brethren
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Irradiated Office Roommate
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Laughsome dog poop
  07/21/18
45%
vivacious indian lodge regret
  07/21/18
75%
Mind-boggling orchestra pit roast beef
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Fear-inspiring azure sandwich
  07/21/18
...
fluffy black generalized bond
  07/21/18
80%
Laughsome dog poop
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: violent locale



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: dark piazza

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Curious shaky public bath degenerate

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: hyperventilating trip cruise ship twinkling uncleanness

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Irradiated Office Roommate

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: comical vengeful feces

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Diverse bespoke mad cow disease

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: primrose cowardly dilemma old irish cottage

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: sepia nowag

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: exciting chocolate toaster

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Bat-shit-crazy Insanely Creepy Step-uncle's House

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: bateful candlestick maker brethren



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Irradiated Office Roommate

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Laughsome dog poop

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: vivacious indian lodge regret

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Mind-boggling orchestra pit roast beef

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Fear-inspiring azure sandwich

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: fluffy black generalized bond



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Laughsome dog poop

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)